Unnatural-Mess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 05:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:55
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:10
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab6a4d…
10-31 15:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x82fd18…
10-30 14:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f9cfe…
10-29 17:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x697d98…
10-29 09:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde321a…
10-28 07:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d2c64…
10-27 09:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3a8d16…
10-26 09:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf08e97…
10-24 11:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf05ae1…
10-22 10:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x985540…
10-20 07:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f746c…
10-19 09:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f9355…
10-18 10:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c0ecd…
10-17 15:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b409c…
10-16 09:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x940da6…
10-15 09:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4123cc…
10-14 09:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecbc11…
10-13 09:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef7b77…
10-12 09:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a08c9…
10-11 09:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f7664…
10-08 12:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68d88e…
10-07 15:28:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9eb62…
10-06 15:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13faf7…
10-05 06:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x021698…
10-03 08:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826f14…
10-02 13:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f04e6…
10-01 08:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24403f…
09-30 02:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x304d06…
09-28 09:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf07673…
09-27 08:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f4ecb…
09-25 16:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2af4c…
09-24 08:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebc591…
09-23 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2200f5…
09-22 08:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x490d6d…
09-21 09:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9fa6…
09-20 05:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8bbfb…
09-19 08:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33bb8d…
09-18 07:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe3d7…
09-17 04:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ea65c…
09-16 08:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95effd…
09-15 10:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca04c4…
09-14 09:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58e8b3…
09-13 02:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2f060…
09-11 07:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cce81…
09-10 08:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae1d77…
09-09 12:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4740ef…
09-08 15:47:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaeed2…
09-08 06:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74400d…
09-07 08:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe261c2…
09-06 16:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f162e…
09-06 10:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ac2a5…
09-05 01:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97ba86…
09-03 17:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1382…
09-02 07:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8b058…
08-30 09:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x031278…
08-29 09:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19fad3…
08-28 08:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x952d3e…
08-27 09:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c53e…
08-26 08:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb50d36…
08-25 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e9632…
08-24 13:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9147bc…
08-23 15:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2c0cc…
08-22 09:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x803b60…
08-21 07:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecd888…
08-20 09:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdb608…
08-18 08:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63702…
08-17 08:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f06c0…
08-16 14:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823b57…
08-15 10:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1358a…
08-14 06:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48182e…
08-13 08:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe8e9e…
08-12 08:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x447b45…
08-11 07:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49be87…
08-10 08:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0574c1…
08-09 06:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd70ea3…
08-08 07:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf18e3f…
08-07 07:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x649c6f…
08-06 06:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8077a1…
08-05 08:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x726313…
08-04 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07b01a…
08-03 07:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6954a6…
08-02 06:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7bfcc…
08-01 07:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ce2d6…
07-31 13:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb54b43…
07-30 07:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684bfc…
07-29 07:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69b50c…
07-28 07:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ca4d5…
07-27 08:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c5e3…
07-26 07:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8571b9…
07-25 08:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51e6da…
07-24 13:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c2529…
07-23 08:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78d91f…
07-22 02:08:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca204f…
07-21 09:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1e6b9…
07-21 00:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875c72…
07-20 08:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x567155…
07-18 23:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1cfd3…
07-18 00:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aa776…
07-17 07:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x476ac2…
07-15 22:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7603dc…