Scared-Lawyer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$452

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

1,516

Trades

1,821

lifetime

Volume

$112.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 268 days

Categories

Other

79% 79% +$430

Crypto

20% 91% +$52

Sports

1% 51% +$0

Politics

0% 62% -$32

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+40	$18	31¢	$12	-$6	06-09 11:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$3	15¢	$2	-$1	06-09 11:14
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$4	4¢	$1	-$3	05-04 18:21
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+7	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	06-09 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$76	06-21 18:24
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$48	06-23 14:02
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 ray	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$75	03-21 19:34
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 egy	1	$1000	1,047	0	+1,047	No	+$47	03-31 14:31
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 esp	1	$900	989	0	+989	No	+$89	04-10 14:53
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	2	$878	900	0	+900	No	+$22	06-22 10:20
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	10	$857	900	0	+900	No	+$43	06-27 10:14
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	1	$846	900	0	+900	No	+$54	06-26 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	09-04 19:27
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$650	867	0	+867	No	+$217	04-14 16:12
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 sev	1	$600	652	0	+652	No	+$52	03-15 10:33
uwcl fcb rma 2026 04 02 rma	1	$600	628	0	+628	No	+$28	04-02 14:42
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	1	$589	600	0	+600	No	+$11	06-14 09:43
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	1	$500	602	0	+602	No	+$102	03-18 13:30
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	1	$500	549	0	+549	No	+$49	03-18 13:30
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	1	$500	538	0	+538	No	+$38	02-01 10:35
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 alb	1	$500	532	0	+532	No	+$32	02-03 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on October 6?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	10-05 11:10
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	01-31 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	09-02 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 28?	3	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	09-28 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 17?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	09-16 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 21?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	09-20 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22?	2	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	10-21 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	10-07 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on September 28?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	09-27 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26?	4	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	09-25 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 10?	2	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$2	07-09 13:42
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	1	$484	500	0	+500	No	+$16	09-07 19:12
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	1	$483	500	0	+500	No	+$17	10-19 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 19:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf05ad0…
10-22 19:33:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x339ae2…
10-22 19:32:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x65ce28…
10-22 19:31:38	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb95f1b…
10-22 19:31:18	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5d620b…
10-22 19:29:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x60aeb4…
10-21 18:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	492	100¢	$491	0xe3cfd8…
10-21 10:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf2663e…
10-21 10:32:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb815e4…
10-21 10:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeb8aa…
10-21 10:29:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7b7f3d…
10-21 10:28:44	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd1a74c…
10-20 14:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x134a23…
10-20 14:43:14	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc6c1e4…
10-19 18:44:09	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x2974e5…
10-19 18:43:36	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x383caf…
10-19 18:42:23	Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$483	0x1a4879…
10-16 10:43:54	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x51780e…
10-16 10:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 17?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x7bcd4e…
10-16 10:41:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 17?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x6f83d9…
10-16 10:40:57	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x148979…
10-14 18:47:21	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xfda988…
10-14 18:46:54	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe8b910…
10-14 18:45:18	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7e7b8d…
10-14 18:45:00	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe65c33…
10-13 20:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0abad1…
10-13 14:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0x29eec6…
10-13 14:41:52	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x94b959…
10-13 14:41:41	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x4c1377…
10-13 14:41:22	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x149fea…
10-13 14:40:14	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x84765d…
10-10 14:38:12	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x117681…
10-10 14:37:25	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x9d1318…
10-10 14:36:28	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xe1e486…
10-10 14:35:55	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x98a6b9…
10-10 14:35:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7305fc…
10-07 18:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x0b6d41…
10-07 18:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x692e37…
10-07 18:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x007ea7…
10-07 18:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbf19d8…
10-05 11:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7648e4…
10-05 11:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x182667…
10-05 11:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdafd14…
10-05 11:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc1e8c8…
10-05 11:09:59	Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xda6028…
10-05 11:09:41	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x120275…
09-30 18:15:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xbfb435…
09-30 15:19:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x005025…
09-30 15:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd7b10f…
09-30 15:15:45	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa702c1…
09-30 15:14:42	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xc0d097…
09-30 15:14:05	Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x71553f…
09-28 07:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xc6db13…
09-27 19:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15e514…
09-27 15:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b3227…
09-27 15:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x43ba1d…
09-27 15:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xd781bf…
09-27 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3b59cc…
09-27 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x2ddb3a…
09-25 12:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	389	100¢	$389	0x369ac1…
09-25 12:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe1757d…
09-25 12:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x593412…
09-25 05:52:12	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xeced8e…
09-25 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on September 26?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa7a560…
09-25 05:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x304f28…
09-23 21:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa182ac…
09-22 09:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x76d8fa…
09-22 09:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ef39f…
09-22 09:53:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x409045…
09-22 09:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x37a1c2…
09-22 09:51:45	Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18ecde…
09-20 18:31:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	366	100¢	$365	0x928b83…
09-20 16:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0xb9bc9e…
09-20 09:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb696ed…
09-20 09:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x93bd15…
09-20 09:07:43	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x913a6e…
09-19 10:16:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x64d3b1…
09-19 10:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0x3a1814…
09-19 10:13:59	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf8dc3d…
09-16 10:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x550c07…
09-16 10:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 17?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xde3592…
09-16 10:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xbd926d…
09-16 10:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 17?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xa63801…
09-16 10:24:52	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x105a51…
09-16 10:22:54	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	199	97¢	$193	0x001f38…
09-14 07:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 14?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x52ad16…
09-14 05:42:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 14?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0xbb131f…
09-14 05:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35685c…
09-13 18:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xceb0cc…
09-13 18:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 14?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xe73ca7…
09-13 18:51:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x854edc…
09-13 18:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x43ced7…
09-13 18:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6513b1…
09-13 18:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 14?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x62d0c6…
09-13 18:50:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 14?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x604ea1…
09-11 19:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 12?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd59c2d…
09-11 19:33:33	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa0fc68…
09-11 19:32:52	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xdbae2b…
09-10 15:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xe4da8c…
09-10 15:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on September 11?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xea7311…