Scared-Lawyer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,111

lifetime

Volume

$43.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$21

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 92% +$1

Other

46% 41% +$2

Sports

2% 67% +$13

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+40	$18	44¢	$17	$-1	06-09 11:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$3	28¢	$3	$-0	06-09 11:14
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+7	$1	14¢	$1	$-0	06-09 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 ray	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	03-21 19:34
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 egy	1	$1000	1,047	0	+1,047	open	—	03-31 14:31
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 esp	1	$900	989	0	+989	open	—	04-10 14:53
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$650	867	0	+867	open	—	04-14 16:12
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 sev	1	$600	652	0	+652	open	—	03-15 10:33
uwcl fcb rma 2026 04 02 rma	1	$600	628	0	+628	open	—	04-02 14:42
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	1	$500	602	0	+602	open	—	03-18 13:30
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	1	$500	549	0	+549	open	—	03-18 13:30
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	1	$500	538	0	+538	open	—	02-01 10:35
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 alb	1	$500	532	0	+532	open	—	02-03 10:33
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	01-31 10:28
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	1	$400	449	0	+449	open	—	02-16 11:12
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	1	$400	435	0	+435	open	—	04-22 18:56
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	02-27 11:30
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 6	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	02-06 11:30
ethereum above 2500 on february 10	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	02-10 10:49
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	2	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-09 12:29
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-04 11:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-27 11:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	11	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 02:47
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 bar	1	$369	415	0	+415	open	—	02-21 20:57
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	1	$368	438	0	+438	open	—	03-03 13:32
atp alcaraz khachan 2026 02 19	1	$341	367	0	+367	open	—	02-19 10:49
fif rus mli 2026 03 31 mli	1	$314	366	0	+366	open	—	03-31 14:32
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 elc	1	$300	333	0	+333	open	—	03-14 17:17
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	1	$300	353	0	+353	open	—	04-15 12:32
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	1	$300	326	0	+326	open	—	03-17 11:34
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	1	$300	341	0	+341	open	—	01-28 11:13
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-07 11:06
ethereum above 1500 on february 12	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-12 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:36:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e5f19…
06-09 11:14:39	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xc231aa…
06-09 11:14:25	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xeda1f3…
06-09 11:13:37	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xc2c742…
06-09 10:44:04	will bitcoin reach 78k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fdbda…
06-09 10:43:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbc5dd…
06-09 10:43:18	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x326437…
06-09 10:43:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eb3a0…
06-08 10:30:01	ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a6750…
06-08 10:29:51	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd0cac7…
06-08 10:29:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b6f24…
06-08 10:29:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x070edf…
06-06 09:42:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a66dc…
06-06 09:42:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5b6c20…
06-05 10:35:25	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x17ba4d…
06-05 10:35:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0dec27…
06-04 10:09:13	itf sandru pop 2026 06 04	Maria Sara Popa	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x72ad15…
06-04 10:08:48	atp trungel hsu 2026 06 04	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd4bf72…
06-04 10:08:18	atp doubles granzeb bolevav 2026 06 04	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x249d48…
06-04 10:07:03	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaa7042…
06-04 10:06:57	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6aecea…
06-03 10:45:41	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x900f16…
06-03 10:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x51f21d…
06-03 10:19:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04962d…
06-03 10:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7096d5…
06-02 13:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef746a…
06-02 13:11:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x55bf71…
06-01 12:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf34b84…
05-31 09:51:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x721b8a…
05-31 09:51:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x58df01…
05-30 04:02:16	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd3daa…
05-29 18:47:59	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6aee3b…
05-28 10:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xba94e7…
05-28 10:48:52	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x17d9e9…
05-28 10:47:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x6250f4…
05-28 02:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6d9e1…
05-28 02:46:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaf8aa8…
05-28 02:46:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x08c3fe…
05-28 02:37:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x8eaf33…
05-28 02:33:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x634c1f…
05-28 02:33:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde979b…
05-27 12:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2862ef…
05-27 11:23:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6dc47c…
05-26 14:41:21	Will "China" or "Chinese" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6590e1…
05-26 14:34:45	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x287db4…
05-26 14:32:18	ITF Szentendre: Linda Sevcikova vs Marie Vogt	Marie Vogt	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x49d076…
05-26 14:30:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa699b5…
05-26 14:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78e2ee…
05-25 12:44:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6e65f7…
05-25 12:27:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe5c4cf…
05-25 12:21:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcbc428…
05-25 12:12:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1c799f…
05-25 12:09:12	MLP Dallas: Orlando Squeeze vs Utah Black Diamonds	Utah Black Diamonds	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd8e3bf…
05-25 12:07:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30f90b…
05-24 10:15:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8d6167…
05-24 10:14:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x177d22…
05-24 10:06:53	Roland Garros WTA: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McNally	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x62b660…
05-24 10:05:25	Roland Garros WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1b33e0…
05-24 10:05:17	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfa115d…
05-24 10:05:03	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Gea	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa88438…
05-24 10:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a41ce…
05-23 12:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8b943f…
05-23 09:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x49ddb3…
05-23 09:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce435d…
05-22 14:52:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xceb55a…
05-22 14:48:08	Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb23e7c…
05-22 14:47:56	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2c65ef…
05-22 14:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x44584a…
05-22 14:35:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd0a5c8…
05-22 04:55:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7c2e91…
05-21 18:45:30	ITF Changwon: Ha Eum Lee vs Hanna Chang	Hanna Chang	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x429855…
05-21 18:44:41	World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Slovakia	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x43ccfe…
05-20 13:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x52b444…
05-20 12:57:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6b5ffa…
05-20 12:56:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf85b94…
05-20 11:09:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa84d15…
05-20 11:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x73305c…
05-19 15:10:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4d47e5…
05-19 13:08:27	Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x03b082…
05-19 12:43:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9544d4…
05-19 12:36:45	Geneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x38cb7e…
05-19 12:35:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb325c…
05-18 10:43:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a935b…
05-18 10:43:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b89a2…
05-17 14:28:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe772ed…
05-16 09:42:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x56d53d…
05-15 08:36:56	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe81602…
05-15 08:33:19	Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Myneni	Dev/Sinha	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd6b527…
05-15 08:32:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87a52e…
05-15 08:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58fb8f…
05-14 10:27:10	Zagreb: Luka Mikrut vs Chris Rodesch	Chris Rodesch	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x52a061…
05-14 10:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44abdb…
05-14 10:26:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6b42e3…
05-13 15:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5be599…
05-13 14:51:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x890488…
05-13 14:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7eef3…
05-12 23:13:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x028a4d…
05-12 15:18:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb13265…
05-12 15:14:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e0988…
05-11 22:59:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x52d2ec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	460	$10.6M	50,489	06-05 12:02
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	416	$6.04M	55,530	06-04 13:44
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	403	$33.8K	9,918	06-08 19:00
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	392	$6.24M	32,877	05-14 10:48
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	381	$142.7K	15,110	03-19 01:06
(anonymous) 0x2652…2a1d	374	$2.71M	28,627	04-06 15:11
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	374	$1.64M	7,920	06-05 11:59
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	353	$19.3K	10,319	06-09 21:43