Unhappy-Drag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,021

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-14 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 80% +$11

Other

24% 0% $-228

Politics

12% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 765 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$698	458	458	+0	open	—	05-06 12:23
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$672	400	400	+0	open	—	05-07 03:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$621	400	400	+0	open	—	05-06 00:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$594	400	400	+0	open	—	05-07 02:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$503	400	400	+0	open	—	05-07 02:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$416	400	400	+0	open	—	05-05 15:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$368	372	372	+0	open	—	05-06 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$327	535	0	+535	open	—	05-14 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$324	400	400	+0	Yes	$-12	05-05 19:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 19:54
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$268	400	400	+0	open	—	05-05 22:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	05-05 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$235	476	0	+476	open	—	05-14 17:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	4	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	05-05 18:59
btc updown 4h 1776355200	4	$202	190	185	+5	open	—	04-16 16:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	5	$177	100	100	+0	Yes	$-0	05-05 19:28
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 11am et	14	$170	133	179	-46	open	—	04-17 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	29	$162	279	0	+279	open	—	04-28 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	30	$161	307	0	+307	open	—	04-28 21:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	2	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 14:39
eth updown 5m 1776436800	41	$142	319	0	+319	open	—	04-17 14:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	4	$141	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 15:02
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$131	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	8	$128	261	0	+261	open	—	05-14 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	15	$127	259	0	+259	open	—	05-14 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	18	$121	250	0	+250	open	—	05-14 17:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	2	$112	100	100	+0	Yes	$-20	05-07 15:02
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	2	$109	100	100	+0	Yes	$-25	05-07 15:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	15	$105	192	0	+192	open	—	04-28 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x5d17dc…
05-14 21:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x59af55…
05-14 21:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc0e9eb…
05-14 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	412	62¢	$255	0xce2ab1…
05-14 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	102	58¢	$59	0x8e45d3…
05-14 18:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x54ca3b…
05-14 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x14ab10…
05-14 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	98	60¢	$59	0x086b9f…
05-14 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x208f45…
05-14 17:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x88324e…
05-14 17:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xd32512…
05-14 17:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x415aa8…
05-14 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xe012ff…
05-14 17:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	153	35¢	$53	0x930939…
05-14 17:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	214	57¢	$123	0x88c92e…
05-14 17:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0x073711…
05-14 17:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x4b03cb…
05-14 17:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	34¢	$24	0x8af660…
05-14 17:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x60ec76…
05-14 17:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x667cb3…
05-14 17:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x11269f…
05-14 17:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	58¢	$59	0xfeb2d3…
05-14 17:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x33ca2f…
05-14 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x694c8e…
05-14 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x7dff80…
05-14 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcc8970…
05-14 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x556fae…
05-14 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4cb956…
05-14 17:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x5a391a…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xfc8f93…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe16199…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xce3831…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf4ac0…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x961b88…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8f0899…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x64c727…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1e4e96…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1c4bfc…
05-14 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x02d832…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xce5b60…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbed236…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7f8057…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7aebfa…
05-14 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4376f7…
05-14 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x34bc5c…
05-14 17:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	58¢	$73	0xe02e0c…
05-14 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf7de7c…
05-14 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xc03245…
05-14 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa95266…
05-14 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6d9e49…
05-14 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4b1c02…
05-14 17:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0bc15d…
05-14 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xc90278…
05-14 17:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x1e23bd…
05-14 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x6df90f…
05-14 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x3e0e4c…
05-14 17:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x2d20b6…
05-14 17:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf049a8…
05-14 17:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x78ce56…
05-14 17:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xa29197…
05-14 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xc75b61…
05-14 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x84763b…
05-14 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x52ef0a…
05-14 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xb8fe1f…
05-14 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x38ae88…
05-14 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x5498ae…
05-14 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x42790e…
05-14 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x3d1b86…
05-14 16:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x045217…
05-14 16:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9acf2d…
05-14 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xcf26af…
05-14 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5959ef…
05-14 16:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xb96339…
05-14 16:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xa82c7b…
05-14 16:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x8314ea…
05-14 16:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x96bc52…
05-14 16:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x30cc33…
05-14 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x54ac0f…
05-14 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x3a5dab…
05-14 16:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x1bd911…
05-14 16:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xcd7e6d…
05-14 16:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x66e8e5…
05-14 16:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x9c8304…
05-14 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf66e41…
05-14 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xc47ef5…
05-14 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x383540…
05-14 16:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf10699…
05-14 16:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xc9d46f…
05-14 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xc6e843…
05-14 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x66bcce…
05-14 16:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xce612e…
05-14 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5d030d…
05-14 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe69335…
05-14 15:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x38dd3d…
05-14 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x33ffd2…
05-14 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba5b23…
05-14 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xaaa012…
05-14 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa1e0ef…
05-14 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x656b54…
05-14 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x58e600…