Vain-Ketch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

225

Trades

955

lifetime

Volume

$196.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-05 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% -$12,270

Crypto

1% 40% -$1,065

Politics

1% 67% -$356

Sports

0% 50% -$196

Tech

0% 100% +$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-185	-$10	3¢	$-5	+$5	06-30 12:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bun stu wol 2026 03 01 btts	58	$5.7K	5,289	2,089	+3,200	No	-$1,486	03-01 16:33
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	7	$5.1K	3,716	3,316	+400	Yes	+$981	02-13 21:27
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 btts	2	$4.7K	2,850	2,850	+0	Yes	+$966	02-28 18:13
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	8	$3.9K	4,139	2,487	+1,652	Yes	-$2,148	04-04 15:58
lal bar mal 2026 02 07 bar	2	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$278	02-07 17:13
lal rso cel 2026 01 25 btts	11	$3.6K	2,560	2,560	+0	Yes	+$883	01-25 19:32
sea com tor 2026 01 24 com	2	$3.4K	2,100	2,100	+0	Yes	+$817	01-24 17:25
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 draw	15	$3.3K	5,800	2,900	+2,900	No	-$21	01-24 19:09
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	5	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	-$135	05-02 18:51
sea int pis 2026 01 23 total 4pt5	3	$3.0K	3,900	0	+3,900	Over	-$3,042	01-23 14:31
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$3.0K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$966	02-17 21:53
bun dor bay 2026 02 28 btts	5	$2.8K	3,590	0	+3,590	Yes	+$790	02-28 18:34
bun ein fre 2026 03 01 btts	4	$2.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	-$1,426	03-01 17:46
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	2	$2.6K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$527	02-07 13:22
sea rom mil 2026 01 25 total 3pt5	5	$2.6K	1,540	1,540	+0	Under	+$196	01-25 20:26
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	3	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Under	+$42	04-29 20:42
fl1 psg met 2026 02 21 psg	1	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$420	02-21 19:38
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$448	04-28 19:29
sea int bol 2026 01 04 int	2	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$448	01-05 05:18
sea rom mil 2026 01 25 btts	11	$2.4K	3,900	0	+3,900	Yes	-$486	01-25 20:27
lal vil rea 2026 01 24 draw	3	$2.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$570	01-24 21:45
lal mad mal 2026 01 25 btts	20	$2.3K	1,831	1,831	+0	No	+$240	01-25 15:23
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	2	$2.0K	1,180	1,180	+0	Yes	+$224	03-15 16:23
bun koe wol 2026 01 30 btts	22	$2.0K	2,556	1,864	+692	No	-$948	01-30 21:09
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$2.0K	1,605	1,005	+600	Yes	+$42	05-03 16:11
fl1 str psg 2026 02 01 draw	4	$1.8K	4,400	2,200	+2,200	No	-$176	02-01 21:12
epl tot new 2026 02 10 btts	5	$1.8K	2,476	699	+1,777	Yes	+$505	02-10 20:54
bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 btts	2	$1.8K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$380	03-01 19:20
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 draw	5	$1.8K	2,150	2,150	+0	No	+$761	02-13 21:23
ucl psg1 asm1 2026 02 25 psg1	1	$1.8K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	-$1,771	02-25 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 15:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0x0bf29e…
07-29 11:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	294	33¢	$98	0xc77a62…
07-29 10:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x78dab2…
07-29 10:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x80f121…
07-29 10:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x4294c0…
07-29 10:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xda4c86…
07-29 10:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x78b91f…
07-29 10:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x7e0d68…
07-29 10:35:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x320365…
07-29 10:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3d00e6…
07-29 10:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x78d17b…
07-29 10:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x4884d0…
07-29 09:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x953e30…
07-29 09:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x6965fe…
07-29 09:09:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x3e0ae7…
07-29 09:09:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6dc4e6…
07-29 08:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x4dfa60…
07-29 08:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x1aca61…
07-29 08:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x4ce1d7…
07-29 08:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xc5ecd5…
07-29 08:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x6783ed…
07-29 08:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x6391cd…
07-29 08:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xef0de4…
07-29 08:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x31e360…
07-29 08:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xfe8ccb…
07-29 08:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x98fde9…
07-29 08:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xa6c458…
07-29 07:57:44	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1ea204…
07-26 10:15:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	603	74¢	$446	0x4ef6d2…
07-26 09:59:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x46660b…
07-26 08:03:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xef76cd…
07-26 08:03:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5e2073…
07-26 07:17:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x05d36a…
07-26 06:43:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5e9f4f…
07-26 05:19:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x3438ba…
07-26 00:22:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	213	74¢	$158	0xf2707d…
07-26 00:19:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	114	62¢	$71	0xaccaa7…
07-26 00:19:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	120	62¢	$74	0x92f24f…
07-26 00:19:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	767	62¢	$475	0x766e77…
07-25 09:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0xd953b2…
07-25 09:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x01c97c…
07-25 08:39:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9d66da…
06-30 12:53:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	5¢	$10	0xa6766f…
05-17 19:56:15	Will Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x243d9f…
05-17 19:53:20	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0xaa0648…
05-17 17:47:57	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	146	59¢	$86	0x40f033…
05-17 17:47:55	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	254	58¢	$148	0x008303…
05-17 17:46:42	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x59ffcc…
05-17 17:45:44	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x998efb…
05-17 17:45:42	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	912	66¢	$602	0xc1e518…
05-17 11:30:21	Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	900	34¢	$306	0x66b256…
05-17 11:29:34	Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8957a1…
05-17 11:29:32	Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x74cf7d…
05-14 19:21:52	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x080f32…
05-10 20:51:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0x2646c7…
05-10 20:41:19	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	500	68¢	$340	0xd11e8a…
05-10 20:39:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x7cacf0…
05-10 20:35:10	Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0xfadacf…
05-10 20:32:53	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0xf9c413…
05-10 20:27:12	Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	450	52¢	$234	0x6e9fc5…
05-10 19:30:58	Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	900	81¢	$729	0x6e6b47…
05-10 19:26:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	129	30¢	$39	0xb9ff36…
05-10 19:26:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc93aef…
05-10 19:26:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	870	30¢	$260	0x446ab2…
05-09 18:17:29	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0x4d1d65…
05-09 16:58:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xde3d0b…
05-09 14:40:15	Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd58c5e…
05-09 14:40:13	Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	759	31¢	$235	0x20fada…
05-09 14:40:09	Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x25dd8f…
05-08 20:10:57	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	392	14¢	$55	0x528ed7…
05-08 20:09:12	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	800	42¢	$336	0x88232c…
05-08 19:19:32	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0xd185d6…
05-06 16:10:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0xf23846…
05-03 19:19:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,024	52¢	$533	0x6d1eb5…
05-03 18:12:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb0c681…
05-03 18:12:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	224	45¢	$101	0x9dcf42…
05-03 18:12:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x933ea8…
05-03 18:12:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	600	45¢	$270	0x640689…
05-03 18:11:38	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	65	45¢	$29	0xe844e2…
05-03 18:11:10	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x923534…
05-03 18:10:50	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcc7ff6…
05-03 18:09:06	Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x6315fe…
05-03 17:29:00	Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	700	36¢	$252	0x871f60…
05-03 17:22:42	Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x43bde1…
05-03 16:49:36	Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	260	87¢	$226	0xab4786…
05-03 16:30:28	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	263	81¢	$213	0xec111b…
05-03 16:30:28	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x7052f7…
05-03 16:30:28	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	482	81¢	$391	0x676afc…
05-03 16:30:22	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x5540e3…
05-03 16:30:20	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	263	81¢	$213	0xb56577…
05-03 16:30:10	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	263	81¢	$213	0xd611ea…
05-03 16:29:44	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xb55f5b…
05-03 16:29:40	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xac0cfe…
05-03 16:29:28	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3ca089…
05-03 16:29:26	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$51	0x572234…
05-03 16:29:12	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x7f5dee…
05-03 16:29:12	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x20c8b4…
05-03 16:29:04	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xe107db…
05-03 16:28:52	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xff49f4…
05-03 16:28:52	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x61b520…