(anonymous) 0x4b4381…0de244
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,278
lifetime
Volume
$3.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 07-20 12:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% — —
Politics
6% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$0 07-01 10:16
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +6 $2 40¢ $2 $-0 07-01 12:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$1 06-30 17:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$0 06-30 07:27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 07-01 14:03
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-0 06-30 12:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 07-14 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +33 $12 1¢ $0 $-11 06-30 20:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $-0 07-03 11:55