Musty-Peertopeer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$90

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 11-04 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$5

Other

35% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+30	$30	100¢	$30	+$0	11-04 12:24
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+30	$30	100¢	$30	+$0	11-04 12:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+20	$20	98¢	$20	+$0	10-06 13:59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	10-06 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x50605d…
11-04 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xac54bb…
11-04 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xae4187…
11-04 12:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfe7688…
11-04 12:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa09194…
10-06 14:00:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x181080…
10-06 13:59:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc55dfa…
10-06 13:57:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5a9e22…
10-06 13:57:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4eee2…
10-06 13:57:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcf3c41…
10-06 13:55:58	Will Zhenan Bao win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x88de24…
10-06 13:55:36	Will Jin-Quan Yu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x650794…
10-06 13:55:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda0ce0…
08-24 10:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xbb42f9…
07-26 08:41:01	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x63d078…
06-22 11:20:07	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x296eb4…
06-22 11:19:59	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x17448d…
06-03 09:55:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f1b09…
06-03 09:55:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x91f9c5…
06-03 09:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x98eb5e…
06-03 09:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x69500d…
05-17 13:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x46d382…
05-17 13:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x979fc4…
05-17 13:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4192d…
05-17 13:33:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x54cd9c…
05-03 11:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xab7008…
04-18 13:35:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x92ea3b…
03-29 11:48:56	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xddf7f7…
03-15 15:09:15	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51e31f…
03-07 14:47:21	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xadd996…
03-07 14:46:27	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1df77f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 26?	1	$113	113	0	+113	Yes	+$0	08-24 10:27
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	07-26 08:41
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-22 11:19
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-07 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	04-18 13:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-29 11:48
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-15 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-03 11:15
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-07 14:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-17 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-17 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	11-04 12:24
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	11-04 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 13:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 09:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 09:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 09:54
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-06 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	11-04 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	11-04 12:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	10-06 14:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-06 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 09:54
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in june 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-22 11:20
Will Jin-Quan Yu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-06 13:55
Will Zhenan Bao win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-06 13:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-06 13:57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-06 13:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-17 13:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-06 13:55