Dear-Leap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% $-45

Politics

1% 25% $-28

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	14	$271	199	199	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	8	$217	134	134	+0	Down	+$17	05-05 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$205	163	93	+70	Up	$-19	05-05 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$201	193	121	+72	open	—	05-03 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	7	$180	2,613	113	+2,500	Up	$-20	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$152	165	98	+67	open	—	05-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	11	$138	103	94	+9	Up	$-2	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$137	133	98	+36	open	—	05-03 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$124	162	100	+63	open	—	05-03 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	7	$124	84	76	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	8	$123	77	77	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	8	$117	83	59	+24	Up	$-4	05-05 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$110	120	89	+31	open	—	05-03 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$110	82	64	+19	Up	$-4	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	12	$107	79	71	+8	Up	$-3	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	05-03 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$92	94	46	+48	Down	$-24	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$91	107	59	+48	open	—	05-03 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$91	83	52	+30	open	—	05-03 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	8	$81	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	7	$77	58	47	+11	Up	$-3	05-05 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$75	99	0	+99	open	—	05-01 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$75	98	0	+98	open	—	05-01 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$75	110	0	+110	open	—	05-01 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$75	107	0	+107	open	—	05-03 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$75	105	0	+105	open	—	05-03 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$71	39	39	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$60	68	32	+36	Down	$-20	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	13	$59	57	49	+7	Down	$-3	05-05 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$57	73	0	+73	open	—	05-03 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 19:14:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x22b04a…
05-08 19:14:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x086d2e…
05-08 19:13:24	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xa1d5fb…
05-08 19:12:11	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0x912d79…
05-06 03:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x49778c…
05-06 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6e52ac…
05-06 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbf8e17…
05-05 15:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x1bbee2…
05-05 15:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0f014a…
05-05 15:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x46a404…
05-05 15:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5601ef…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2b9edb…
05-05 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6e0ed4…
05-05 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xee317b…
05-05 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcf43bf…
05-05 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1e1e75…
05-05 15:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x89aded…
05-05 15:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xe6147b…
05-05 15:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa21e3e…
05-05 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0526d…
05-05 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x93a7a9…
05-05 15:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3eb296…
05-05 15:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x1bc4c5…
05-05 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xfa1142…
05-05 15:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x8c58b1…
05-05 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa758c8…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xe8bcb0…
05-05 15:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x02a662…
05-05 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xbbfa27…
05-05 15:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe36370…
05-05 15:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xd9a7ef…
05-05 15:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd44206…
05-05 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xaff3fe…
05-05 15:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb4d9f4…
05-05 15:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x1b157d…
05-05 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x02bb9e…
05-05 04:02:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x152ace…
05-05 03:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x8d1522…
05-05 03:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xc43ecf…
05-05 03:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf4bbd4…
05-05 03:39:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xad36aa…
05-05 03:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe70c05…
05-05 03:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0340c1…
05-05 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x137faf…
05-05 03:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdfbcab…
05-05 03:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x3b11de…
05-05 03:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc43300…
05-05 03:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x40293a…
05-05 03:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4a2a44…
05-05 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbe3722…
05-05 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x4c5efb…
05-05 03:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8f59d6…
05-05 03:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x27daf1…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91397d…
05-05 03:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xcecab7…
05-05 03:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb91ed2…
05-05 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4adf76…
05-05 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe05da5…
05-05 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5d5907…
05-05 03:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x628f62…
05-05 03:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb3fbff…
05-05 02:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x26f47f…
05-05 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x98239e…
05-05 02:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x0b04ce…
05-05 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2fe872…
05-05 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2cb298…
05-05 02:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x7b8954…
05-05 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcafd28…
05-05 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x713c20…
05-05 02:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x413e9f…
05-05 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5bdcd6…
05-05 02:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x479e61…
05-05 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb09415…
05-05 02:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xee7a0f…
05-05 02:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x47926a…
05-05 02:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xa197cf…
05-05 02:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x50c16d…
05-05 02:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4afc6e…
05-05 02:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37a123…
05-05 02:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9e02c6…
05-05 02:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd65809…
05-05 02:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xcba7fd…
05-05 02:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4e198f…
05-05 02:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xbeca3d…
05-05 02:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4c2662…
05-05 02:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xc8395e…
05-05 02:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa66797…
05-05 02:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4f0835…
05-05 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x2cb0fb…
05-05 02:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb2901d…
05-05 02:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x491b66…
05-05 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x7f9495…
05-05 02:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xc58d3a…
05-05 02:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc91bb6…
05-05 02:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x7e6463…
05-05 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x33e6c5…
05-05 02:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x02e236…
05-05 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x68a064…
05-05 02:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3aa6be…
05-05 02:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xd60870…