That-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

101

Trades

867

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-27 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 37% -$1,186

Politics

11% 0% -$16

Other

1% 100% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	16	$1.9K	1,438	1,438	+0	Up	+$396	05-10 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.5K	894	894	+0	No	-$16	05-10 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	52	$813	754	698	+56	Up	+$262	05-10 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	9	$643	3,369	88	+3,280	Up	-$601	05-14 08:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	30	$620	540	540	+0	Down	+$236	05-10 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	23	$602	1,570	406	+1,163	Up	-$17	05-10 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 07:30 UTC	27	$495	903	596	+307	Up	+$89	06-10 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	17	$479	342	342	+0	Up	+$199	05-10 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	6	$439	382	382	+0	Down	+$319	05-14 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	28	$413	573	573	+0	Up	+$114	05-10 05:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 07:45 UTC	38	$283	652	226	+426	Down	-$75	06-10 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:15 UTC	35	$262	441	241	+200	Down	-$28	06-10 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	46	$256	968	54	+914	Down	-$201	05-10 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	58	$213	786	0	+786	Down	-$213	05-10 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	37	$212	877	0	+877	Up	-$212	05-10 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	28	$210	1,303	0	+1,303	Down	-$210	05-10 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	43	$192	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$192	05-10 08:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:00 UTC	34	$182	600	31	+569	Down	-$152	06-10 08:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	8	$167	364	164	+200	Down	+$17	07-24 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC	3	$154	85	85	+0	Up	+$14	06-09 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	4	$140	266	266	+0	Down	+$60	07-24 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 17:15 UTC	3	$134	74	74	+0	Up	+$14	06-09 17:30
bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	8	$116	1,210	1,026	+184	No	-$70	06-10 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$114	276	0	+276	Down	-$114	05-14 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	5	$112	73	73	+0	Up	+$33	06-09 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	75	$112	1,510	0	+1,510	Up	-$112	05-10 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 07:00 UTC	2	$110	176	0	+176	Up	+$66	06-10 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	2	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	06-09 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	1	$100	500	0	+500	Up	-$100	05-10 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:15 UTC	1	$100	266	0	+266	Down	-$100	07-24 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 10:01:07	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x7755ae…
07-27 09:36:51	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x374c65…
07-27 09:27:03	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x017fac…
07-27 09:26:57	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x428975…
07-27 09:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6549a3…
07-26 08:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5e46ad…
07-26 08:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0xf61ca4…
07-26 08:17:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd5d0cf…
07-26 08:17:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x64e0f7…
07-25 06:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7bf1dc…
07-25 05:53:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xac73c2…
07-25 05:53:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x176d03…
07-25 05:52:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x807357…
07-25 05:52:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x553925…
07-25 05:52:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x5aaf78…
07-25 05:48:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe17ece…
07-24 01:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbd23fe…
07-24 01:33:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x2d78c7…
07-24 01:15:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0xd47944…
07-24 01:10:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0xdaaa32…
07-24 01:05:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x9c8a70…
07-24 01:04:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x429fb1…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf751ce…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd7bce9…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb33356…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9642c5…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x950739…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5b4c29…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5743b0…
07-24 01:04:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3d330a…
07-24 00:54:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x8cd36f…
07-24 00:46:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x395901…
07-24 00:45:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x2ce518…
07-24 00:44:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe3c658…
07-24 00:44:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0x01c0e4…
07-24 00:43:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	79	81¢	$64	0xb72c01…
07-24 00:36:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1c15e8…
07-24 00:35:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	85	33¢	$28	0xb11bed…
07-24 00:34:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x14e26f…
07-24 00:31:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7f50e5…
07-24 00:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfac1f1…
07-24 00:27:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x5769ee…
07-24 00:26:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe0f6cb…
07-24 00:26:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	222	33¢	$73	0xb59cc0…
07-24 00:24:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x98297f…
07-23 21:48:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xcdd802…
07-23 21:47:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x5a3aef…
07-23 15:46:19	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x33b024…
07-23 15:39:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfd7e34…
07-23 15:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x83856a…
07-23 15:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x8334b1…
07-23 15:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x433369…
07-23 15:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x322c8d…
07-23 15:35:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x99604f…
07-23 15:35:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x293588…
07-23 15:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	326	3¢	$10	0x05e0d9…
07-23 15:19:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x928819…
07-23 15:17:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf6141f…
07-19 16:19:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1b778b…
07-19 16:07:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xedc772…
07-19 16:07:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xade8c1…
07-19 16:02:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5f4fcb…
07-19 16:01:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2b331e…
07-19 16:01:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe8a9f1…
07-19 15:51:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x733bd3…
07-19 15:51:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2ef69d…
07-19 15:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1e5692…
07-19 15:51:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x94abb2…
07-19 15:51:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x209117…
06-11 05:53:27	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x523c7c…
06-11 05:44:12	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9fa65f…
06-11 04:05:49	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc81a3d…
06-11 04:05:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	473	5¢	$22	0x496000…
06-10 13:13:30	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	390	3¢	$11	0x0f6582…
06-10 11:05:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	453	4¢	$20	0xecafd2…
06-10 11:04:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc6aaa3…
06-10 11:04:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7528d6…
06-10 11:03:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xb0300b…
06-10 11:03:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xff0f23…
06-10 11:03:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbda721…
06-10 11:03:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x871595…
06-10 11:03:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x8ad114…
06-10 10:50:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x950b77…
06-10 10:44:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x2a4d2e…
06-10 10:38:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf5776e…
06-10 10:38:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc07604…
06-10 10:38:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa48f60…
06-10 10:38:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0f3b58…
06-10 10:38:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4e4e68…
06-10 10:37:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xee0cc6…
06-10 10:17:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xea816a…
06-10 10:17:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd4c96f…
06-10 10:17:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb415eb…
06-10 10:17:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x5629f7…
06-10 10:03:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd9d672…
06-10 10:03:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3b33d1…
06-10 10:01:21	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x61f635…
06-10 09:26:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb084f…
06-10 09:13:39	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	435	3¢	$12	0xe096e0…
06-10 08:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1e1743…