That-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

787

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-11 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 38% $-311

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	16	$1.9K	1,438	1,438	+0	Up	+$396	05-10 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.5K	894	894	+0	open	—	05-10 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	52	$813	754	698	+56	Up	+$262	05-10 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	9	$643	3,369	88	+3,280	open	—	05-14 08:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	30	$620	540	540	+0	Down	+$236	05-10 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	23	$602	1,570	406	+1,163	Up	$-17	05-10 04:28
btc updown 15m 1781076600	27	$495	903	596	+307	open	—	06-10 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	17	$479	342	342	+0	Up	+$199	05-10 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	6	$439	382	382	+0	open	—	05-14 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	28	$413	573	573	+0	Up	+$114	05-10 05:04
btc updown 15m 1781077500	38	$283	652	226	+426	open	—	06-10 07:54
btc updown 15m 1781079300	35	$262	441	241	+200	open	—	06-10 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	46	$256	968	54	+914	Down	$-201	05-10 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	58	$213	786	0	+786	Down	$-213	05-10 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	37	$212	877	0	+877	Up	$-212	05-10 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	28	$210	1,303	0	+1,303	Down	$-210	05-10 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	43	$192	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-192	05-10 08:07
btc updown 15m 1781078400	34	$182	600	31	+569	open	—	06-10 08:11
btc updown 15m 1781024400	3	$154	85	85	+0	open	—	06-09 17:15
btc updown 15m 1781025300	3	$134	74	74	+0	open	—	06-09 17:30
bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	8	$116	1,210	1,026	+184	open	—	06-10 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$114	276	0	+276	open	—	05-14 09:23
btc updown 15m 1781023500	5	$112	73	73	+0	open	—	06-09 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	75	$112	1,510	0	+1,510	Up	$-112	05-10 05:29
btc updown 15m 1781074800	2	$110	176	0	+176	open	—	06-10 07:06
btc updown 5m 1781025600	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	06-09 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	1	$100	500	0	+500	Up	$-100	05-10 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$100	398	0	+398	open	—	05-14 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$99	186	74	+112	Up	+$9	05-11 10:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$95	63	63	+0	Down	+$26	05-10 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 05:53:27	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x523c7c…
06-11 05:44:12	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9fa65f…
06-11 04:05:49	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc81a3d…
06-10 11:05:09	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	453	4¢	$20	0xecafd2…
06-10 11:04:40	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc6aaa3…
06-10 11:04:21	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7528d6…
06-10 11:03:54	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xb0300b…
06-10 11:03:43	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xff0f23…
06-10 11:03:43	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbda721…
06-10 11:03:43	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x871595…
06-10 11:03:15	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x8ad114…
06-10 10:50:37	btc updown 15m 1781088300	Down	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x950b77…
06-10 10:38:43	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf5776e…
06-10 10:38:40	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc07604…
06-10 10:38:40	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa48f60…
06-10 10:38:40	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0f3b58…
06-10 10:38:39	btc updown 15m 1781087400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4e4e68…
06-10 10:17:57	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xea816a…
06-10 10:17:55	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd4c96f…
06-10 10:17:55	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb415eb…
06-10 10:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x5629f7…
06-10 10:03:12	btc updown 15m 1781085600	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd9d672…
06-10 10:03:12	btc updown 15m 1781085600	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3b33d1…
06-10 10:01:21	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x61f635…
06-10 09:26:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcb084f…
06-10 08:34:21	btc updown 15m 1781080200	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1e1743…
06-10 08:32:57	btc updown 15m 1781080200	Down	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x6670fe…
06-10 08:31:19	btc updown 15m 1781080200	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe116f9…
06-10 08:23:55	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x54e958…
06-10 08:23:01	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0xa3b10d…
06-10 08:23:01	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5a1b20…
06-10 08:23:01	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x49119b…
06-10 08:23:01	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x2a4765…
06-10 08:23:01	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1666a7…
06-10 08:21:48	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x036fd2…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xea239c…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xcb0c7c…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xc1c118…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0xbd9f13…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x94457e…
06-10 08:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x71e2a9…
06-10 08:20:40	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xf516cc…
06-10 08:20:40	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2947aa…
06-10 08:20:39	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xffc5d3…
06-10 08:20:39	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xe379e9…
06-10 08:20:39	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x8ea603…
06-10 08:20:39	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x740dab…
06-10 08:20:37	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe49989…
06-10 08:20:37	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xc59c31…
06-10 08:20:37	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x81e7c3…
06-10 08:20:37	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x664661…
06-10 08:18:52	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xf5c982…
06-10 08:18:52	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xb53a46…
06-10 08:18:52	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x6ca110…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xa95341…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xa6a81d…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0x852807…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x5b5c79…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x441eec…
06-10 08:18:51	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x13b021…
06-10 08:18:42	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xfab163…
06-10 08:17:58	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xeca193…
06-10 08:17:54	btc updown 15m 1781079300	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x759b7d…
06-10 08:11:22	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x2d1e88…
06-10 08:11:21	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xae1774…
06-10 08:11:21	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x85b484…
06-10 08:11:21	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x72c49d…
06-10 08:11:21	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x330cf0…
06-10 08:11:21	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x21c4ed…
06-10 08:09:42	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0ac070…
06-10 08:07:00	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x9a10c7…
06-10 08:05:31	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x009516…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe10bf5…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc64ce8…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xc11a10…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x6c7aff…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6a68d9…
06-10 08:03:18	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5c6c6b…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdf1b77…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa28f7a…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x936852…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x735b96…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x61ac8a…
06-10 08:01:12	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x3faa57…
06-10 08:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb73564…
06-10 08:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x81b64b…
06-10 08:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x783c23…
06-10 08:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x4a2105…
06-10 08:01:10	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x04a0d9…
06-10 08:01:09	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x9c1727…
06-10 08:01:09	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6d8b3c…
06-10 08:01:04	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2b7ffe…
06-10 08:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6c9e7d…
06-10 08:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x6a317e…
06-10 08:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x651c3b…
06-10 08:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x33938a…
06-10 08:01:03	btc updown 15m 1781078400	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x1d6790…
06-10 07:54:25	btc updown 15m 1781077500	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x179fbf…
06-10 07:54:13	btc updown 15m 1781077500	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x774714…
06-10 07:52:43	btc updown 15m 1781077500	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd1b66e…