Ruddy-Gastropod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$2

Other

41% 94% +$5

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+0	-$16	96¢	$0	+$16	11-01 11:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	9	$2.6K	1,361	1,361	+0	open	—	11-01 11:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	4	$535	270	270	-0	No	+$1	06-27 09:05
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	6	$521	262	262	+0	No	+$1	03-20 11:22
trump out as president by march 31	6	$519	266	266	+0	No	+$1	03-03 22:09
netanyahu out by july 31	4	$271	136	136	+0	No	+$0	07-16 12:37
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$267	135	135	+0	No	+$0	06-17 08:32
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$264	134	134	+0	No	+$1	04-04 17:24
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	3	$262	132	132	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 05:49
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$262	131	131	+0	No	+$0	03-30 05:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$0	06-29 07:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$0	07-16 15:41
Will Netflix reach $298 in April?	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$1	04-19 11:29
will solana dip to 65 on march 15	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-15 12:11
googl above 350 on march 31 2026	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-30 05:58
will nflx close below 30 week february 20 2026	1	$129	129	0	+129	No	+$0	02-17 08:01
will msft reach 645 in january	1	$129	129	0	+129	No	+$0	01-26 12:47
will nflx close between 130 and 140 week january 16 2026	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	01-15 01:14
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	01-23 07:28
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	01-06 01:05
will there be a us x venezuela military engagement on december 31	2	$127	128	0	+128	No	+$1	01-01 02:02
xi jinping out in 2025	1	$127	0	127	-127	No	$0	01-01 01:18
Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?	2	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-27 11:37
will xrp dip to 0pt7 june 29 july 5 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	07-03 06:55
Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 25-31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-27 11:37
will xrp dip to 0pt6 may 25 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-27 11:37
msft above 330 on february 13 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-12 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:55:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	430	97¢	$417	0xfb3bf3…
11-01 11:13:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x079ff8…
11-01 10:50:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb5d226…
11-01 10:25:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xfe1087…
11-01 10:10:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0x5608b2…
10-23 08:17:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	684	96¢	$657	0x788e0a…
10-15 18:35:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	677	97¢	$657	0xd0bf6d…
09-30 08:46:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	533	96¢	$512	0x6a742d…
08-08 09:01:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	144	94¢	$135	0x565e64…
07-16 15:41:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbb608c…
07-16 15:30:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5f006f…
07-16 15:21:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd5931e…
07-16 15:15:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x02d873…
07-16 14:48:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0bba35…
07-16 14:42:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1f7522…
07-16 14:11:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x274184…
07-16 14:11:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa9bf7f…
07-16 14:06:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xae4500…
07-16 12:37:31	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0x8449de…
07-13 14:59:29	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x20ed6d…
07-13 13:16:29	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc61a87…
07-13 07:16:37	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0866fe…
07-03 06:55:44	will xrp dip to 0pt7 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb5c5ed…
06-29 07:25:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x319fc7…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xb07ef7…
06-17 09:00:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x0037d5…
06-17 08:32:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x64008a…
06-06 08:57:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x8381fd…
06-06 08:52:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xc5fc78…
05-27 11:37:50	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x41c257…
05-27 11:37:29	Will XRP dip to $0.80 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8e2e7…
05-27 11:37:13	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8dd74…
05-27 11:37:02	will xrp dip to 0pt6 may 25 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe31d0…
05-27 11:34:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0xdead83…
05-04 14:01:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x806a4c…
04-19 11:29:02	Will Netflix reach $298 in April?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x4b7273…
04-04 17:24:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0xb43017…
04-02 03:25:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0x9b4822…
03-30 05:58:00	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x20721b…
03-30 05:55:36	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xfc8a34…
03-25 05:49:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x30ea30…
03-25 05:49:03	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x8618f7…
03-25 05:48:33	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x43a1e8…
03-22 13:55:09	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x607c29…
03-20 11:22:09	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0xdf14cd…
03-17 14:42:35	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4d5c3a…
03-17 09:16:45	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdfc834…
03-17 06:54:21	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x609d33…
03-15 12:11:17	will solana dip to 65 on march 15	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x3f5693…
03-15 12:09:15	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0xfbf4b1…
03-04 06:54:29	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xe983d7…
03-03 22:09:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0xc22960…
02-22 13:00:44	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0xe3cb57…
02-22 13:00:26	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5946a9…
02-22 12:58:58	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x193c14…
02-17 08:01:05	will nflx close below 30 week february 20 2026	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x1f1ed3…
02-12 16:08:33	msft above 330 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb8734…
02-12 07:54:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	133	97¢	$130	0x402545…
02-04 10:40:38	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x7c5115…
01-26 12:47:01	will msft reach 645 in january	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x26b4da…
01-23 07:28:12	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0016c8…
01-15 01:14:54	will nflx close between 130 and 140 week january 16 2026	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xcd1b03…
01-06 01:05:49	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xfcf0d6…
01-01 02:02:23	will there be a us x venezuela military engagement on december 31	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xa48654…
01-01 01:24:35	will there be a us x venezuela military engagement on december 31	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x91d89e…
01-01 01:18:53	xi jinping out in 2025	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x8ee18f…