Dismal-Poet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$876

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-25 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 81% +$6

Sports

28% 100% +$2

Other

10% 100% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$87	53	53	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 01:19
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 02:32
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 02:03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$33	37	0	+37	open	—	05-15 21:05
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	5	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$22	24	0	+24	Down	+$2	05-12 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 01:22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 23:54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 01:29
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 02:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-25 19:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	4	$17	26	6	+20	open	—	05-15 21:18
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 06:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	2	$11	7	7	+0	Luciano Darderi	+$1	05-13 23:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 22:19
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-12 00:32
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-12 17:53
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$10	11	0	+11	Thunder	+$1	05-06 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 01:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 01:24
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 19:32
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 19:06
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 19:07:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9782ad…
05-20 19:07:48	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x878221…
05-20 19:05:09	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x513e07…
05-20 19:02:31	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb7fade…
05-20 19:00:23	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xd81ab2…
05-20 18:50:41	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcef171…
05-17 19:32:39	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa3ba7e…
05-17 19:06:12	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x899b69…
05-17 02:03:44	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ace99…
05-17 02:03:39	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x59222c…
05-17 01:22:37	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xc4fd8e…
05-17 01:19:21	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7fb608…
05-17 00:52:22	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa62e98…
05-17 00:28:09	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfce34d…
05-16 23:57:55	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x575c4f…
05-16 23:56:22	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x88a43a…
05-16 23:54:23	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaeda3c…
05-16 23:54:18	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe81b34…
05-16 22:46:34	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfa849d…
05-16 22:46:31	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1894af…
05-16 21:29:08	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdae36b…
05-16 21:26:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8233d5…
05-16 21:26:15	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d4c9b…
05-16 16:56:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0xad7799…
05-16 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x0723ad…
05-16 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeaa713…
05-16 04:19:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x25b7f4…
05-16 04:19:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc25a2a…
05-16 04:16:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x911c37…
05-16 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f4480…
05-16 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf55b10…
05-16 04:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdbc57f…
05-16 01:24:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x84a808…
05-15 22:10:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xc32b70…
05-15 21:18:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x1c19d6…
05-15 21:18:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1c19d6…
05-15 21:16:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9c3e39…
05-15 21:05:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe806eb…
05-15 20:52:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2581e7…
05-15 20:51:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x5a6f8d…
05-15 02:32:12	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x18ad1c…
05-15 02:01:01	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11c4b5…
05-15 01:59:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa69539…
05-15 01:56:54	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x420b06…
05-15 01:56:26	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfc3c78…
05-15 01:42:28	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x39dcf7…
05-15 01:33:20	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12ab3d…
05-15 01:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d1eca…
05-15 01:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x739dd7…
05-15 01:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xca5c78…
05-13 23:09:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x1ef896…
05-13 22:44:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd554c6…
05-13 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x320d4f…
05-13 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x91392e…
05-13 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c3b28…
05-13 22:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xccb661…
05-13 21:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x5bc250…
05-13 21:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x174913…
05-13 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9a9424…
05-13 20:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x607e7d…
05-13 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xaaec19…
05-13 00:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc9589f…
05-13 00:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x46243b…
05-12 18:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xae9aeb…
05-12 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb27efd…
05-12 17:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69acc4…
05-12 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa872a5…
05-12 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc7d9c5…
05-12 01:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8b9f0e…
05-12 01:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x60dd3e…
05-12 01:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbfa8cb…
05-12 01:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x7daa26…
05-12 01:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd9812f…
05-12 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8c1905…
05-12 01:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x56b068…
05-12 01:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x6d1cd7…
05-12 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb1461c…
05-12 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf7e4a…
05-12 01:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf53b4c…
05-12 00:44:19	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0bd46b…
05-12 00:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4edee8…
05-12 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x92988d…
05-12 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4f1366…
05-12 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdfa0f8…
05-12 00:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x80a59d…
05-12 00:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x83c4be…
05-12 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa4dd18…
05-12 00:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x10f3ec…
05-12 00:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe1e438…
05-12 00:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7b6bb4…
05-11 21:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6be9a5…
05-11 21:14:17	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xb2a2c9…
05-11 21:13:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x26f21c…
05-11 20:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91539b…
05-11 20:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xeb439a…
05-11 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x489f77…
05-09 01:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x6ad817…
05-09 01:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf46d44…
05-09 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x053688…
05-09 00:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc43a8d…