Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
511
Trades
951
lifetime
Volume
$5.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$93
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-27 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 93% -$8
Other
20% 54% -$89
Politics
5% 50% -$7
Sports
2% 60% +$5
Tech
0% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +19 $12 82¢ $16 +$3 10-27 20:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +17 $12 93¢ $16 +$3 10-27 18:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $12 94¢ $13 +$1 10-27 15:53
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +19 $12 67¢ $12 +$0 10-26 16:26
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +19 $12 63¢ $12 $0 10-27 04:31
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +36 $12 32¢ $12 $0 10-27 04:31
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +15 $12 72¢ $11 -$2 10-27 19:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +3 $4 88¢ $3 -$1 10-27 19:50