Hearty-Bubble — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$260

Unrealized P&L

+$76

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

6,086 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$712

$247.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$2.26K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

72% 57% -$403

Sports

22% 67% -$3,076

Politics

6% 73% +$263

Crypto

0% 62% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,100	$991	96¢	$1.1K	+$60	09-01 03:44
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	+456	$408	93¢	$424	+$17	10-26 15:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$184	98¢	$196	+$12	09-11 16:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+200	$102	80¢	$159	+$57	09-01 16:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-150	-$123	96¢	$-144	-$21	04-30 05:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-130	-$124	99¢	$-128	-$4	05-28 06:17
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,000	$50	4¢	$45	-$5	09-02 20:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+200	$96	20¢	$41	-$55	08-31 00:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-40	-$39	92¢	$-37	+$3	08-28 14:30
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$19	92¢	$28	+$9	10-28 08:29
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	-40	-$8	8¢	$-3	+$4	05-03 18:40
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	6¢	$1	$0	09-16 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	198	$11.8K	17,325	17,406	-80	Yes	+$186	07-14 21:04
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	122	$7.2K	9,466	9,466	+0	No	-$51	07-19 18:11
tur bes gal 2026 03 07 draw	15	$5.1K	2,990	2,990	+0	No	+$899	03-07 22:27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$4.2K	18,000	18,000	+0	No	+$267	06-27 15:32
tur riz sam 2026 04 09 sam	5	$3.5K	2,747	2,718	+29	No	-$39	04-09 17:42
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	65	$3.0K	5,772	4,005	+1,767	No	+$417	04-08 20:11
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	97	$2.4K	1,854	754	+1,100	open	—	09-01 03:44
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	28	$2.3K	1,840	1,840	+0	Yes	+$277	05-15 09:16
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte3	12	$2.0K	2,197	60	+2,137	No	+$229	07-03 21:51
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	3	$2.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	-$2	06-25 21:51
nba mem den 2026 02 11	2	$1.9K	2,268	0	+2,268	Nuggets	+$340	02-11 17:12
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	55	$1.9K	1,275	819	+456	open	—	10-26 15:17
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	2	$1.8K	1,893	0	+1,893	No	+$83	06-20 00:12
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	26	$1.8K	3,025	3,525	-500	No	-$6	05-16 10:43
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	4	$1.7K	1,885	0	+1,885	No	+$151	07-19 18:16
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	19	$1.7K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	-$70	05-03 00:04
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	21	$1.7K	2,253	1,903	+350	Yes	+$326	05-16 19:38
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	30	$1.7K	953	1,033	-80	open	—	08-28 14:30
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	114	$1.7K	8,387	8,387	+0	No	+$15	07-14 17:09
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	17	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	04-15 07:00
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	16	$1.6K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$323	07-14 18:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$1.5K	5,300	5,300	+0	Yes	-$225	06-27 15:32
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	3	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	No	+$41	06-22 03:37
uel fen1 ast4 2026 01 22 draw	23	$1.4K	2,221	1,100	+1,121	No	+$303	01-22 11:45
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals achraf hakimi gte1	4	$1.4K	1,539	0	+1,539	No	+$141	07-09 14:35
nba den phi 2026 01 05	4	$1.4K	1,565	0	+1,565	Nuggets	-$1,362	01-05 21:07
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	6	$1.3K	2,035	445	+1,590	Yes	-$958	07-07 15:52
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	72	$1.3K	14,526	14,526	+0	No	-$172	05-16 17:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	5	$1.3K	1,605	0	+1,605	Yes	-$1,299	07-18 20:04
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte2	3	$1.3K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$507	07-04 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:59:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xc4e66b…
10-28 08:29:32	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x601ee3…
10-28 00:57:08	Will Amedspor win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf2e81b…
10-27 01:57:59	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x28a751…
10-27 01:42:17	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xedd6e1…
10-27 01:35:23	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x32f227…
10-27 00:57:38	Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd032e3…
10-26 20:52:39	Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8010b0…
10-26 20:23:20	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x25a951…
10-26 20:23:20	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	677	3¢	$20	0x047b10…
10-26 20:23:17	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xa9086d…
10-26 20:20:42	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdc50cb…
10-26 20:20:41	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf9b462…
10-26 20:20:39	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x787d33…
10-26 20:19:38	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x756ce4…
10-26 20:15:08	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x9efa73…
10-26 20:13:30	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xdde2e6…
10-26 20:11:47	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x018440…
10-26 20:06:42	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc3b3ab…
10-26 15:17:38	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xf7b15e…
10-26 15:17:15	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xbfe0e7…
10-26 10:53:41	Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xba9126…
10-26 07:30:12	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xe401c0…
10-26 03:28:42	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x9832c5…
10-26 00:52:59	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x7db0cc…
10-26 00:52:57	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xab97dd…
10-25 23:57:14	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x5057e9…
10-25 23:08:53	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x9d5d8b…
10-25 23:07:48	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	248	41¢	$102	0x07d169…
10-25 22:24:26	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd6b18b…
10-24 21:12:38	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x64b60d…
10-23 11:33:51	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf036a4…
10-23 11:33:51	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xb7cba6…
10-22 15:05:17	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x3c0309…
10-22 07:12:11	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xaae134…
10-22 07:12:11	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x0d6a88…
10-21 03:06:54	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xfa229e…
10-21 03:06:54	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x0a1870…
10-20 22:46:44	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	999	1¢	$12	0x68d0db…
10-20 20:18:45	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe8d51b…
10-20 17:36:15	Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x3c7827…
10-20 17:31:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0xf0fa05…
10-20 17:29:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	505	60¢	$303	0x034fb2…
10-20 10:01:09	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x14571c…
10-20 09:51:56	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xfdf005…
10-20 09:38:59	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xfb1232…
10-20 09:33:24	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xb78a88…
10-20 09:29:32	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x2b94d4…
10-20 09:26:36	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x5f6784…
10-20 09:16:24	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0bbc27…
10-19 23:33:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	505	21¢	$106	0x1b4fe1…
10-19 23:33:23	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	635	40¢	$254	0xeb0995…
10-19 20:08:36	Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	SELL	135	74¢	$100	0x19af47…
10-19 17:24:05	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xe982d3…
10-19 08:55:03	Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xaa13b5…
10-19 05:11:39	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x077457…
10-19 05:11:39	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x04cfc3…
10-19 05:11:35	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xaa5a2e…
10-19 05:11:35	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x2fa4d7…
10-19 05:04:08	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xffa5d2…
10-19 05:04:06	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x15fa25…
10-19 05:04:05	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x18c7ce…
10-19 05:04:03	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x851704…
10-19 04:54:59	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3f3923…
10-19 04:54:53	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x265059…
10-19 04:54:48	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x25901e…
10-19 04:54:47	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc372ee…
10-19 04:50:35	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x936786…
10-19 04:50:33	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbce84a…
10-19 04:50:30	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd1086a…
10-19 04:50:30	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x6ea951…
10-19 04:42:27	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa4bf64…
10-19 04:42:26	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8d5aa4…
10-19 04:42:20	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa530e9…
10-19 04:42:17	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc4ce6d…
10-18 14:28:44	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	148	59¢	$87	0x001c79…
10-17 22:49:30	Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	215	29¢	$62	0xef561f…
10-17 22:43:05	Will Samsunspor win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	215	33¢	$71	0x5982d7…
10-17 22:42:45	Will Samsunspor win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	405	33¢	$134	0x4993a0…
10-17 18:42:51	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x9d3487…
10-17 18:40:38	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x4441c4…
10-17 16:17:24	Will Trabzonspor win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x31b24d…
10-17 09:34:21	Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xaf58cf…
10-17 00:05:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	245	40¢	$98	0xa0403e…
10-17 00:04:54	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	260	69¢	$179	0x72de57…
10-16 05:15:52	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xe2435d…
10-14 18:57:46	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	210	60¢	$126	0x22fee3…
10-14 18:16:36	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x37021c…
10-14 18:13:25	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	555	59¢	$327	0x7e37d7…
10-13 17:12:37	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	No	BUY	332	75¢	$250	0x2ba733…
10-13 17:07:52	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x48fef7…
10-13 17:07:01	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x853648…
10-13 17:04:45	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0xab7f5f…
10-13 17:04:43	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2eea3e…
10-13 17:04:43	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x00cc04…
10-13 16:47:52	Will Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	325	26¢	$84	0xed9843…
10-12 22:30:17	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x0dda18…
10-12 21:36:06	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xd2b72a…
10-12 21:36:06	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x7b5945…
10-12 21:35:41	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x53257d…