Serious-Proposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.51K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

4,089

Trades

8,978

lifetime

Volume

$383.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$36

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-27 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

61% 71% -$4,682

Crypto

33% 85% -$3,308

Sports

5% 61% -$532

Politics

0% 67% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No		+100	$33	36¢	$36	+$2	10-22 02:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	42	$2.8K	2,175	2,174	+0	Alcaraz	-$316	01-30 09:19
atp fearnle fritz 2026 03 06	6	$2.5K	1,278	1,278	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$6	03-08 04:21
wta pegula anisimo 2026 02 20	29	$2.5K	1,856	1,856	+0	Pegula	+$73	02-20 17:02
atp poljica coppeja 2026 03 28	17	$2.4K	1,289	1,289	+0	Mili Poljicak	+$44	03-28 15:26
atp dias virtane 2026 07 20	41	$2.4K	2,500	1,800	+700	Otto Virtanen	-$230	07-21 17:03
atp fritz jodar 2026 02 19	30	$2.0K	1,203	1,000	+203	Fritz	+$16	02-20 03:25
atp mcdonal ymer 2026 02 21	9	$2.0K	1,703	1,703	+0	Ymer	-$685	02-22 01:50
atp popyrin kypson 2026 03 30	2	$1.7K	892	892	+0	Alexei Popyrin	+$35	04-01 03:16
atp villanu aboian 2026 03 30	2	$1.7K	888	886	+2	Gonzalo Villanueva	+$53	03-30 23:06
atp bennan halys 2026 03 30	6	$1.7K	865	865	+0	Karim Bennani	+$42	03-30 17:04
atp glinka kukushk 2026 03 30	5	$1.7K	857	857	+0	Daniil Glinka	+$51	03-30 13:22
atp shimizu broady 2026 07 20	20	$1.6K	1,434	1,293	+141	Yuta Shimizu	-$190	07-21 21:27
atp mart huesler 2026 03 30	2	$1.6K	840	838	+2	Dan Martin	+$58	03-31 03:41
atp mena galan 2026 02 21	7	$1.6K	900	900	+0	Galan	-$180	02-21 19:58
atp gomez tabur 2026 03 29	4	$1.5K	786	786	+0	Federico Agustin Gomez	+$31	03-29 18:22
atp torres dellie 2026 03 23	11	$1.5K	963	963	+0	Juan Bautista Torres	-$284	03-23 23:00
wta karatan cross 2026 02 21	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	Karatancheva	+$20	02-21 22:29
atp ivashka kjaer 2026 03 29	2	$1.5K	756	756	+0	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	+$29	03-29 14:16
atp poljica gentzsc 2026 03 29	3	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Mili Poljicak	+$35	03-29 12:20
atp tirante tabilo 2026 02 20	13	$1.4K	826	826	+0	Tabilo	-$43	02-21 05:33
atp gojo ficovic 2026 03 28	2	$1.4K	694	694	+0	Borna Gojo	+$27	03-29 02:41
wta parry watson 2026 02 21	17	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Watson	+$54	02-22 00:36
atp giron ruud 2026 02 18	19	$1.3K	1,149	349	+800	Ruud	+$44	02-19 03:34
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	3	$1.3K	888	888	+0	Mattia Bellucci	-$362	03-31 14:01
atp medvede tabilo 2026 03 07 first set winner Medvedev vs Tabilo	3	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Medvedev	+$26	03-08 05:23
atp hernand mejia 2026 03 30	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Nicolas Mejia	+$26	04-01 04:18
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	8	$1.3K	943	442	+500	Lakers	+$102	02-21 05:45
atp safiull ruiz 2026 03 28	2	$1.2K	625	625	+0	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$24	03-28 14:23
atp barrios dellien 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	Hugo Dellien	+$23	03-27 23:38
atp bertra hernan 2026 03 23	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Peter Bertran	+$23	03-23 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x796219…
10-27 23:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4f2911…
10-27 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6b190d…
10-27 23:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x424f28…
10-27 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8ca37e…
10-27 22:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe7235b…
10-27 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x930728…
10-27 22:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x24035c…
10-27 22:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x2818f1…
10-27 22:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa76118…
10-27 21:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc1923d…
10-27 21:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4ba81f…
10-27 21:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xff7dfa…
10-27 21:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x606682…
10-27 21:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x4f6186…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ad134…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0fd167…
10-27 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xf26dd3…
10-27 20:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x13c185…
10-27 20:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3b4313…
10-27 20:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xbe5f9a…
10-27 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x83d966…
10-27 20:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x223721…
10-27 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6a032e…
10-27 20:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcaa4af…
10-27 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x167b56…
10-27 19:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x608521…
10-27 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x402e00…
10-27 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xcefe6b…
10-27 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xbddc1f…
10-27 12:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8fb3ca…
10-27 11:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd78e8e…
10-27 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8b5d3…
10-27 06:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xe251de…
10-27 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x47183a…
10-27 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x11a265…
10-27 06:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x04926e…
10-27 06:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x92e26c…
10-27 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xc7ac1b…
10-27 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xb0a8fc…
10-27 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xb0b7a8…
10-27 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x3ffc7f…
10-27 05:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x098787…
10-27 05:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xd83156…
10-27 05:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x91ac46…
10-27 04:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xb643a0…
10-27 04:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0a7c7e…
10-27 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc25c2e…
10-27 04:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x2ad7ff…
10-27 04:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xfe46c2…
10-27 04:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6423d3…
10-27 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xcba832…
10-27 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x749347…
10-27 04:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0xe31aad…
10-27 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xa9247e…
10-27 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1d5310…
10-27 04:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xfce5f0…
10-27 04:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8fb65b…
10-27 03:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x1d4141…
10-27 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdde5c9…
10-27 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb4f5be…
10-27 03:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xef1a25…
10-27 02:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x96b0f0…
10-27 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x20f76f…
10-27 02:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xebb824…
10-27 02:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xae8a52…
10-27 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xe9c8a7…
10-27 02:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xbac557…
10-27 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xd4b169…
10-27 01:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x551ea0…
10-27 01:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd228b2…
10-27 01:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x319fbb…
10-27 01:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xce23d8…
10-27 00:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xb91d74…
10-27 00:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xc475c1…
10-27 00:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9b2f23…
10-26 23:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x15ec77…
10-26 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4709d1…
10-26 22:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0xb186ef…
10-26 22:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x3e76ca…
10-26 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xe8e9d9…
10-26 22:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x7680fa…
10-26 22:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x9d3af4…
10-26 22:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0xcab0c5…
10-26 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x8ebd3e…
10-26 22:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xfe1842…
10-26 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x516aa4…
10-26 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3faa5f…
10-26 22:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x421cdf…
10-26 22:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x9583ab…
10-26 21:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xda0c1c…
10-26 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x8e713f…
10-26 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xa3a51f…
10-26 21:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xa6f2fb…
10-26 17:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1d166b…
10-26 16:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf4647b…
10-26 05:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xa8efb1…
10-26 04:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfc52ad…
10-26 04:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x9f370d…
10-26 04:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x409108…