Raw-Maelstrom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$294

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

426

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$7.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-19 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

57% 77% +$79

Crypto

34% 65% -$352

Politics

8% 68% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 1am et	4	$172	101	99	+2	Up	+$29	04-18 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$147	289	0	+289	No	-$147	05-14 11:55
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	94	$110	67	45	+22	No	+$0	04-16 11:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$104	60	60	+1	No	+$4	04-24 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$101	58	58	+0	No	+$1	05-03 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:05 UTC	3	$90	210	0	+210	Down	-$30	04-17 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:05 UTC	3	$90	181	0	+181	Up	+$28	04-18 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:55 UTC	3	$90	162	0	+162	Up	+$21	04-18 04:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:40 UTC	4	$90	159	0	+159	Down	-$46	04-17 22:41
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 7pm et	4	$90	166	0	+166	Down	+$76	04-17 23:14
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9pm et	3	$90	122	0	+122	Up	-$19	04-18 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:25 UTC	3	$90	120	0	+120	Down	+$30	04-18 01:29
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6pm et	7	$90	149	0	+149	Down	+$7	04-17 22:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	41	$84	48	47	+0	No	-$3	04-16 02:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$80	54	54	+0	No	+$19	05-15 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:35 UTC	3	$77	143	0	+143	Down	-$41	04-18 01:39
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	6	$71	37	37	+0	No	$0	04-16 03:53
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	04-17 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:30 UTC	2	$60	103	0	+103	Down	-$60	04-17 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:15 UTC	2	$60	113	0	+113	Down	-$60	04-17 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:40 UTC	2	$60	113	0	+113	Up	+$53	04-17 23:40
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 2am et	2	$60	69	0	+69	Up	-$60	04-18 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:15 UTC	3	$60	135	0	+135	Down	-$39	04-18 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:20 UTC	3	$60	92	0	+92	Up	-$38	04-18 05:24
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 62 63f	3	$55	73	0	+73	No	+$18	04-17 22:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	04-28 01:35
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	04-17 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	04-25 19:01
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	04-18 01:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	04-22 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 06:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x902e75…
07-18 23:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x7f30dc…
07-18 23:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb685b6…
07-18 16:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 19?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4c9bae…
07-18 05:45:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd4d6b5…
07-18 05:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x390f2a…
07-17 23:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x375b3c…
07-17 16:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xbc965e…
07-17 16:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x21522b…
07-17 15:32:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 17?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x01368f…
07-17 15:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 18?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x29fb2c…
07-17 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x91693a…
07-17 02:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xf07eb2…
07-16 23:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x1511f9…
07-16 23:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xedce26…
07-16 16:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x9a5f85…
07-16 16:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2ce4da…
07-16 15:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb3e05b…
07-16 15:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcacb2d…
07-16 06:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x3202eb…
07-16 02:55:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x12ba8a…
07-15 23:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x18b999…
07-15 16:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x4e6a82…
07-15 15:25:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3d11e4…
07-15 06:30:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x0e6a63…
07-15 05:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x694ded…
07-15 03:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x968b98…
07-14 23:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc0fbdb…
07-14 22:33:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x35f6f2…
07-14 22:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x1c243f…
07-14 16:46:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x8c81c7…
07-14 12:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x85cd8f…
07-14 08:30:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcc0fbb…
07-14 04:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x7c14d2…
07-14 03:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x650a21…
07-14 03:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x558037…
07-13 23:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0xca8b8c…
07-13 23:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 14?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1698f2…
07-13 22:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x9a8cac…
07-13 15:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 13?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa50f65…
07-13 05:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x462863…
07-13 05:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x95b66f…
07-12 23:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce9b20…
07-12 23:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x21ea42…
07-12 17:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x75323e…
07-12 16:41:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x6915ca…
07-12 15:45:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbbe42…
07-12 15:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 13?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x139473…
07-12 05:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x808bdd…
07-12 03:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb99d7b…
07-11 18:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x7cab7a…
07-11 18:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8887da…
07-11 18:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x996ac7…
07-11 17:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x7d8fa7…
07-11 16:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	No	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xd5f053…
06-15 01:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0xe29ef9…
05-30 03:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x503bc9…
05-29 11:31:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x4370ed…
05-29 11:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc1855b…
05-29 08:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x28e35b…
05-29 08:01:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe9cd29…
05-29 07:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 29?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa272a3…
05-29 06:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xfd0759…
05-28 22:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x939bd5…
05-28 10:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x1c21c1…
05-28 10:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x08559d…
05-28 09:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x87c106…
05-28 09:32:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x013d9b…
05-28 00:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xc88ef7…
05-28 00:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xa34796…
05-28 00:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x72ba27…
05-28 00:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0bdf95…
05-27 14:14:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2e8867…
05-27 10:49:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8d5435…
05-27 00:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 27?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x26d2c4…
05-26 16:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4dcc12…
05-26 14:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2797f5…
05-26 14:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x5b6816…
05-26 12:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x38dc24…
05-26 08:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 26?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe15fd6…
05-26 08:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 27?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x1d07c2…
05-26 05:18:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6cbf58…
05-26 05:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf7a275…
05-26 05:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x051347…
05-26 01:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa50033…
05-25 23:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe60495…
05-25 05:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x68d447…
05-24 18:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8bef97…
05-24 17:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xa227bb…
05-24 17:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 25?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x91fc1d…
05-24 06:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 25?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2018c3…
05-24 05:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x5a73fa…
05-24 04:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 24?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xfe8153…
05-24 04:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x528fff…
05-23 18:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb9908b…
05-23 18:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 23?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xed7cde…
05-23 17:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 24?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x947bb3…
05-23 17:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xbdda0c…
05-23 06:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0x1cc9a7…
05-23 06:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	26	84¢	$21	0x68a3eb…