Heavy-Treat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 20% $-1

Sports

20% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	04-01 14:37
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$312	156	156	+0	No	$-0	04-22 10:15
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	03-27 01:21
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$-0	03-23 13:08
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$228	114	114	+0	open	—	03-27 22:35
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	03-30 17:46
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	03-29 05:11
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	03-24 04:20
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	03-29 11:43
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-23 02:22
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$170	85	85	+0	No	$-0	04-12 18:24
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	04-05 10:05
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$154	77	77	+0	No	+$0	04-03 10:13
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	03-26 08:51
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	03-31 15:39
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-01 23:43
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	04-12 04:43
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-08 02:21
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-13 22:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-26 14:52
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-07 09:10
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-04 22:50
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$134	67	67	+0	open	—	04-05 08:00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	No	$-0	04-02 18:47
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	04-08 08:51
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-11 22:59
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-05 23:50
nba phi uta 2026 03 21	1	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	03-21 22:43
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	1	$26	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 22:44
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	03-31 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 21:44:16	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x250598…
04-26 14:52:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x018f8e…
04-26 07:32:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x116e70…
04-22 10:15:36	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xd17639…
04-22 07:48:16	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x31cb25…
04-14 20:12:58	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xbaeff5…
04-14 11:01:19	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x215566…
04-13 22:28:13	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x922360…
04-13 13:09:17	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7318e6…
04-12 18:24:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xa5da11…
04-12 12:21:59	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x60e217…
04-12 04:43:01	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x37eab3…
04-12 01:51:01	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x5990a5…
04-11 22:59:05	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xdfe3b4…
04-11 17:22:47	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x521098…
04-08 08:51:13	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x79f62d…
04-08 02:21:33	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x2c3d23…
04-08 02:21:15	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3ab18d…
04-07 23:59:05	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x53f90a…
04-07 09:10:09	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x07188c…
04-07 06:19:25	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x18b2c2…
04-05 23:50:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x61e6fa…
04-05 20:29:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x58f7c5…
04-05 10:05:25	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x3ea8e5…
04-05 08:01:15	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x037bbf…
04-05 08:00:57	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x16084f…
04-05 02:02:43	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf317b7…
04-04 22:50:15	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x6fba9f…
04-04 18:38:21	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x30813a…
04-03 10:13:47	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xf7fd31…
04-03 07:00:53	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa23ee0…
04-02 18:47:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x09f55f…
04-02 12:52:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xca71aa…
04-01 14:37:23	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x489dcd…
04-01 10:32:43	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4cb24e…
03-31 20:20:53	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xcc56d0…
03-31 15:39:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xcae738…
03-31 11:41:05	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9ade6c…
03-30 23:20:55	nba phx mem 2026 03 30	Grizzlies	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x641d77…
03-30 17:46:55	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xa58d83…
03-30 13:50:35	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9e3a79…
03-29 11:43:34	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x8e9d90…
03-29 07:47:26	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc130bf…
03-29 05:11:30	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x008460…
03-29 03:50:44	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x1f9247…
03-27 22:35:39	nba atl bos 2026 03 27	Hawks	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0x771b01…
03-27 22:35:17	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x825c5e…
03-27 17:33:19	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9f8395…
03-27 06:45:21	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xc43212…
03-27 01:22:05	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x93aa39…
03-27 01:21:51	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xfea66b…
03-26 19:59:19	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xa527df…
03-26 08:51:05	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xc3c535…
03-26 03:20:29	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x8bdaea…
03-25 23:26:09	nba tor lac 2026 03 25	Raptors	BUY	47	39¢	$18	0xb5de61…
03-25 23:25:41	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x19f142…
03-25 23:25:07	nba dal den 2026 03 25	Mavericks	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x4ee64e…
03-24 04:20:33	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x1321d1…
03-23 13:08:49	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x909431…
03-23 13:08:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xb8aa40…
03-23 07:45:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x44f11f…
03-23 02:22:37	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x10c284…
03-22 15:40:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4fbbf3…
03-21 22:44:51	nba mia hou 2026 03 21	Rockets	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x806736…
03-21 22:44:23	nba lac dal 2026 03 21	Clippers	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x40e481…
03-21 22:43:53	nba phi uta 2026 03 21	76ers	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x904723…
03-08 13:13:47	nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	Lakers	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0xfd53a3…
03-08 13:13:17	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x2ec03b…
03-04 23:23:15	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Pacers	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x9856ae…
03-04 23:22:45	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Grizzlies	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x103838…
03-01 23:43:59	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xf9228f…
02-28 03:06:23	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xb486ac…
02-25 22:13:12	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc9cca6…