Revolving-Legislator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.9%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-07 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

40% 30% -$10

Politics

29% 22% -$1

Sports

16% 21% $0

Crypto

11% 22% $0

Tech

4% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	6	$239	123	123	+0	No	$0	02-15 16:12
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$169	85	85	+0	No	+$1	01-29 14:59
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$160	81	81	+0	No	$0	03-09 12:19
trump out as president by march 31	4	$160	81	81	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-16 14:08
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	4	$140	70	70	-0	No	$0	05-05 13:01
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	3	$120	80	40	+40	No	+$0	02-20 14:35
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	09-07 15:46
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$86	44	44	+0	No	-$1	01-06 14:31
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-08 15:24
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-09 15:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$85	42	42	+0	No	+$0	01-11 13:30
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-12 14:07
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	01-13 12:09
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$84	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-14 11:54
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	$0	01-18 14:35
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	01-20 15:22
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$83	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-21 11:42
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$81	44	44	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 14:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	$0	02-27 15:01
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-04 12:07
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-06 15:14
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$81	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-08 15:10
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$1	02-25 16:18
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-10 14:23
will claude 5 be released on february 20 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	02-20 14:14
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-18 11:40
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-14 15:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-12 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 15:46:28	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdb77ad…
06-14 14:33:12	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x60af31…
06-14 14:29:00	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6c4a40…
06-12 03:52:21	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1b77c8…
06-12 03:45:30	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x61feea…
06-10 13:15:52	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x95dc9d…
06-10 13:13:16	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x85f846…
06-09 01:26:49	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x19884b…
06-09 01:24:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x1f7363…
06-03 14:03:13	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8abbd8…
06-03 13:31:03	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc389f3…
06-02 11:38:03	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd1bf4f…
06-02 11:35:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x47b039…
06-01 14:40:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x22b557…
06-01 14:37:05	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x51e28b…
05-31 00:16:44	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x958e72…
05-31 00:14:49	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x523212…
05-29 15:57:28	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf1b025…
05-29 14:01:44	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x82422e…
05-28 15:12:32	Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x22d39d…
05-28 15:08:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x5994c7…
05-26 14:30:12	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xa38d33…
05-26 14:24:33	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf42404…
05-24 13:51:09	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x04a7aa…
05-24 13:46:58	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc0404c…
05-23 14:45:26	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd546b3…
05-23 14:39:03	Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xae3e67…
05-22 18:01:57	Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x88c5ee…
05-22 17:54:57	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xccb97b…
05-21 15:15:56	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3f7996…
05-21 15:07:06	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xb27ca4…
05-21 00:08:15	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x732b7c…
05-21 00:06:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x008780…
05-20 00:27:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5984ee…
05-20 00:23:08	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7906ec…
05-18 23:23:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x10e9cd…
05-18 23:21:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x8ae9bb…
05-18 00:11:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xad8fe4…
05-18 00:09:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xbc2bfd…
05-15 00:15:37	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x9c150b…
05-14 23:07:32	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8cbec7…
05-13 00:33:05	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6d5fad…
05-13 00:31:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe7c0d1…
05-12 00:11:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x73e1a4…
05-12 00:09:26	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8c41fa…
05-10 14:17:20	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1df797…
05-10 13:56:11	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x11cdec…
05-08 15:26:15	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x0b643a…
05-08 15:23:50	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd364cc…
05-07 15:11:19	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x11b4f4…
05-07 15:08:26	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe1885b…
05-05 13:10:22	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdcf935…
05-05 13:01:44	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa933f6…
05-04 15:57:14	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xafd4f7…
05-04 15:54:18	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7a75bd…
05-04 00:15:48	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaff787…
05-04 00:12:34	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0xcacc2d…
05-02 15:13:42	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xacb00f…
05-02 15:04:14	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x91e113…
05-01 15:27:36	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x430301…
05-01 15:24:40	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xf8e434…
04-29 12:23:52	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xdb890d…
04-29 12:20:42	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xfcffbe…
04-28 15:20:28	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x03c2b4…
04-28 15:17:18	Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0x6040a3…
04-27 14:40:40	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa4e35c…
04-26 15:18:12	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x96b0a6…
04-24 16:04:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x43ec45…
04-23 14:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x91226a…
04-23 13:07:46	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$36	0x1d3d58…
04-21 15:11:10	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x40eb88…
04-21 15:06:46	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xa4cfb4…
04-19 00:37:34	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xc60dc9…
04-19 00:33:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$39	0xe573eb…
04-16 14:11:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0x161383…
04-16 14:08:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$39	0x064dad…
04-15 13:33:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3eb3cf…
04-10 12:37:31	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x97cf94…
04-09 14:26:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd7c3ed…
03-30 14:30:51	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0cecb5…
03-29 10:29:14	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe9c22f…
03-29 10:27:40	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x864652…
03-27 14:50:47	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdc4d6a…
03-27 14:49:19	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xabfc95…
03-26 13:41:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0d55ac…
03-26 13:28:25	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcc2c50…
03-25 14:55:45	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfc1b36…
03-25 14:53:39	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9bc57d…
03-23 13:58:07	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd3f5ae…
03-23 13:54:11	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x5bf3d7…
03-22 14:31:27	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x7ab1c0…
03-20 15:10:25	will akron win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc74b65…
03-20 14:39:59	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7fe154…
03-19 13:23:37	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xee0de4…
03-18 11:40:03	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf7c526…
03-16 14:13:21	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe0617d…
03-15 12:52:27	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xde9acd…
03-14 15:45:21	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x92bd9b…
03-14 15:37:15	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x2b74f7…
03-13 13:44:59	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb67706…