Pure-Meatloaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

218

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$454

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-15 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

67% 25% -$3,324

Sports

28% 32% -$863

Crypto

3% 39% -$74

Politics

2% 23% -$100

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+4,255	$150	5¢	$194	+$44	11-15 10:15
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5,370	$140	3¢	$161	+$21	11-15 10:15
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+33,640	$57	0¢	$34	-$24	11-10 09:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+619	$25	4¢	$23	-$2	11-15 10:14
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+343	$19	5¢	$17	-$2	11-15 10:14
Bulls vs. Cavaliers	Bulls	+44	$12	24¢	$11	-$1	11-15 10:18
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves	Trail Blazers	+22	$10	44¢	$10	$0	11-15 10:20
Pistons vs. Spurs	Pistons	+19	$5	26¢	$5	$0	11-15 10:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	10	$1.8K	874,896	0	+874,896	No	-$1,787	03-15 10:44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	4	$668	619	619	+0	BetBoom Team	+$568	05-12 21:10
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$592	28,071	22,868	+5,203	No	-$162	05-13 04:23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	18	$446	12,128	12,628	-500	No	-$197	05-10 08:42
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	21	$414	7,303	4,591	+2,712	No	-$159	05-17 18:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	16	$398	1,102	1,102	+0	No	-$130	04-17 10:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$259	19,798	19,798	+0	No	-$10	09-11 11:22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	9	$251	538	323	+214	Weibo Gaming	-$38	05-14 14:02
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$221	7,143	3,891	+3,252	No	+$22	07-02 19:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$214	35,003	0	+35,003	No	-$214	03-13 08:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	14	$211	43,977	0	+43,977	No	-$211	06-15 13:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$210	26,096	11,111	+14,985	No	-$54	07-27 19:39
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$199	14,777	14,777	+0	No	-$62	04-27 07:25
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	12	$194	5,689	381	+5,308	No	-$184	04-16 19:47
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	34	$193	12,471	12,471	+0	No	-$168	05-22 15:48
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	8	$190	4,913	658	+4,255	open	—	11-15 10:15
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	4	$189	137	137	+0	magic	+$86	05-15 14:38
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$168	1,173	1,173	+0	No	+$18	05-19 21:11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	8	$163	108	108	+0	B8	+$26	05-12 17:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$157	9,999	3,499	+6,500	No	-$39	07-27 19:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$154	41,731	0	+41,731	No	-$154	03-09 12:36
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$153	12,007	12,007	+0	No	-$24	04-27 07:23
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	9	$152	255	255	+0	No	-$26	04-09 04:58
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	7	$140	5,370	0	+5,370	open	—	11-15 10:15
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$138	308	308	+0	No	+$8	05-18 03:51
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	3	$134	117	117	+0	PARIVISION	+$14	05-14 11:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	11	$131	14,431	0	+14,431	No	-$131	06-15 13:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	9	$127	11,907	3,776	+8,131	No	-$112	03-31 16:48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$121	91	91	+0	Legacy	+$61	05-14 03:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	8	$119	3,978	0	+3,978	No	-$119	07-24 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 10:22:04	Pistons vs. Spurs	Pistons	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xd86be4…
11-15 10:20:01	Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves	Trail Blazers	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc79102…
11-15 10:18:07	Bulls vs. Cavaliers	Bulls	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x0f8f50…
11-15 10:15:17	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x397212…
11-15 10:15:05	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x2fac2a…
11-15 10:14:56	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x3ef7a4…
11-15 10:14:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	476	4¢	$20	0x6be824…
11-14 10:00:46	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd26b67…
11-14 10:00:20	Bulls vs. Timberwolves	Bulls	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x23405e…
11-14 09:46:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x54122c…
11-13 05:08:40	Thunder vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xb571d2…
11-13 05:07:51	Jazz vs. Rockets	Jazz	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x440915…
11-13 05:05:48	Bucks vs. Magic	Bucks	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x64bedd…
11-12 05:31:27	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x94aac5…
11-10 09:49:42	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7ec60e…
11-10 09:47:43	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x812d7b…
11-10 09:42:30	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x7c7683…
11-09 04:56:13	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2ec9dd…
11-09 04:55:33	Bucks vs. Knicks	Bucks	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe616c0…
11-09 04:55:13	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Pelicans	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa71289…
11-09 04:53:52	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x700581…
11-09 04:53:31	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x1225d3…
11-09 04:51:21	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x46a879…
11-09 04:31:15	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x91c484…
11-09 04:28:04	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Pelicans	SELL	69	20¢	$14	0xd98cbc…
11-07 11:32:00	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	151	6¢	$9	0xd68b71…
11-07 09:53:16	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Pelicans	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x8a91d3…
11-07 09:52:46	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Grizzlies	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x63c14e…
11-07 09:52:07	Celtics vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9ab384…
11-07 09:49:52	Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1ad7d1…
11-07 09:46:22	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,777	3¢	$50	0x92925b…
11-07 09:46:09	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,917	3¢	$100	0x311a43…
11-03 19:56:49	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$9	0xbfc420…
11-03 19:56:27	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	292	4¢	$10	0x31665f…
11-02 19:27:43	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,140	0¢	$2	0x59f499…
11-02 19:27:22	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe4ae65…
11-02 19:26:55	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	261	4¢	$10	0x6dc8ae…
11-02 19:26:45	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	556	3¢	$15	0x4d5282…
11-01 15:59:58	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	559	3¢	$15	0x154bcd…
11-01 15:58:49	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5967f1…
11-01 15:58:36	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18,668	0¢	$37	0x87eb68…
11-01 15:58:34	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,332	0¢	$3	0x8f9ee4…
11-01 15:58:19	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,232	2¢	$30	0x2b8bf1…
11-01 15:58:10	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xb48b27…
10-28 13:39:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,025	1¢	$10	0xf42d68…
10-28 13:38:47	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	366	3¢	$10	0xfb6d65…
10-26 20:43:27	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xafde5c…
10-26 20:42:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$5	0x173dd3…
10-26 20:42:05	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	435	2¢	$10	0x74c863…
10-26 19:04:41	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xc4ba17…
10-26 18:58:38	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x231d57…
10-26 18:54:57	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xc6a8db…
10-26 18:54:41	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	916	3¢	$30	0x1e606b…
09-16 07:25:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,833	1¢	$27	0xfe4f1f…
09-16 07:24:43	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,863	1¢	$30	0x8ce9cc…
09-14 13:25:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	379	1¢	$3	0x285fa2…
09-14 13:24:58	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,863	1¢	$30	0x6b6687…
09-14 13:21:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0xef9b7c…
09-11 11:22:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18,600	0¢	$93	0xf0a46c…
09-11 11:00:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,508	1¢	$9	0xffcd80…
09-11 10:59:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,910	0¢	$10	0xfafd65…
09-04 15:50:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0x15099c…
09-03 16:26:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,910	0¢	$20	0xb54fbb…
09-03 16:26:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$30	0x925923…
09-02 14:53:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,663	1¢	$16	0x81c879…
09-02 14:53:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,892	1¢	$17	0xd1f5ee…
09-02 14:44:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,285	1¢	$38	0xcadedd…
08-28 17:51:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,225	1¢	$7	0xc14c9e…
08-28 17:45:45	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd150a6…
08-28 17:45:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x675a63…
08-28 17:44:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x6347df…
08-27 21:57:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0xbc4b79…
08-27 21:57:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	881	1¢	$11	0xf21455…
08-27 21:57:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,400	0¢	$4	0x48c05f…
08-14 20:39:36	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xa77906…
08-14 20:36:30	cs2 bst alkaa 2026 08 14	ALKA	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5e5b7d…
08-14 20:35:30	cs2 gls1 chama 2026 08 14	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x479d79…
08-14 20:34:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xfdc3b1…
08-14 20:34:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x18d380…
08-14 20:31:27	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in new york 20260811183234698	Yes	SELL	228	0¢	$1	0xa094c7…
08-14 20:31:09	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x0d75e1…
08-14 20:30:54	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	Yes	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0xc8e256…
08-14 06:43:30	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xb2327a…
08-14 06:43:09	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in new york 20260811183234698	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$8	0x05dcf2…
08-14 06:41:33	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8d1c13…
08-14 06:36:46	dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14	BoomBoys	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0e2beb…
08-14 06:35:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xc24ca5…
08-14 06:35:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x77d223…
07-27 19:39:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	257	1¢	$4	0x8b543b…
07-27 19:39:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xca899e…
07-27 19:39:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0x4ac587…
07-25 22:32:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	119	9¢	$10	0xf8adbe…
07-25 22:32:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x3d58a1…
07-25 22:32:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0x8fbd4b…
07-24 21:21:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	495	3¢	$17	0xd8ce30…
07-24 20:24:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	358	2¢	$6	0x653376…
07-24 16:38:10	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Liquid	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xd1c779…
07-24 14:05:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	745	3¢	$24	0x8caac1…
07-24 14:02:49	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Liquid	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xddf325…
07-24 13:56:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x5bb08a…