Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$245.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-28 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

35% 43% -$8,767

Politics

33% 50% -$19,297

Crypto

13% 85% +$3,273

Tech

12% 60% +$885

Sports

7% 43% +$1,085

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$34.7K	37,488	37,488	+0	Yes	-$7,398	04-07 23:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	40	$27.1K	25,787	26,236	-449	No	-$8,361	04-18 13:00
another us government shutdown by february 14	36	$14.8K	19,781	5,421	+14,360	No	+$1,766	02-13 07:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$11.1K	6,871	6,871	+0	Yes	-$1,142	07-28 02:47
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	22	$10.7K	11,967	0	+11,967	No	+$1,292	02-23 17:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	33	$8.0K	7,750	7,750	+0	Yes	-$3,340	04-07 22:35
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	248	$7.9K	12,007	0	+12,007	Yes	+$4,059	02-16 05:02
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	38	$7.8K	8,723	1,324	+7,399	Yes	+$1,804	02-20 23:53
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$6.3K	7,488	0	+7,488	Yes	-$6,345	02-19 05:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	14	$6.3K	5,794	1,474	+4,320	Yes	+$228	07-02 20:04
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$6.0K	3,175	3,175	+0	Yes	+$352	02-20 19:31
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$6.0K	3,041	3,041	+0	No	+$98	02-19 05:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$5.4K	3,560	3,560	+0	Yes	-$1,334	02-28 14:24
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$465	03-04 16:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	30	$4.3K	4,700	0	+4,700	Yes	+$375	06-16 02:08
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$4.2K	4,295	0	+4,295	No	+$95	02-19 17:43
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	24	$4.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$550	02-20 16:40
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	1	$4.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$1,050	03-04 16:41
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$94	02-20 23:33
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	38	$3.8K	4,007	0	+4,007	Yes	+$231	04-20 14:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$3.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$1,216	04-07 21:00
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	17	$3.2K	5,000	1,038	+3,962	Yes	+$1,771	02-20 22:26
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	6	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$688	02-20 04:41
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	2	$3.0K	3,398	0	+3,398	No	+$374	07-01 20:02
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$3.0K	3,024	0	+3,024	No	+$24	02-17 16:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	9	$3.0K	3,244	0	+3,244	Yes	+$282	06-16 21:36
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	7	$2.9K	1,903	1,903	+0	No	+$104	02-28 14:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$118	07-20 18:00
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$2.7K	4,231	0	+4,231	No	+$1,540	03-04 16:39
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	8	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$15	02-21 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 02:47:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	71¢	$1,422	0x1de195…
07-27 16:02:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,185	73¢	$3,051	0xf18fff…
07-27 16:01:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	686	73¢	$500	0x72e635…
07-24 08:28:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x2344ef…
07-24 07:27:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb1d01a…
07-24 06:08:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5f0046…
07-24 04:49:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x99ea00…
07-24 04:48:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc96a4f…
07-24 04:41:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2e2521…
07-24 03:55:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x059ac5…
07-24 01:42:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x449f11…
07-24 01:42:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xc1f4c5…
07-24 01:40:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6874cb…
07-24 01:40:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x90a333…
07-24 01:39:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	90¢	$428	0xda2908…
07-21 08:25:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x30f564…
07-20 18:00:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xb49280…
07-19 03:01:22	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	1,596	94¢	$1,500	0xeafec1…
07-19 03:00:58	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Kamaru Usman	SELL	303	7¢	$22	0x78a45a…
07-19 02:36:37	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Kamaru Usman	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x84d56a…
07-04 00:03:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,291	14¢	$622	0xdb6f0e…
07-04 00:03:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	222	15¢	$32	0x9407ae…
07-04 00:03:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	276	14¢	$40	0x44b60b…
07-04 00:03:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	211	14¢	$31	0xc107ee…
07-03 19:47:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,328	89¢	$2,072	0x9d5079…
07-03 18:48:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb9694f…
07-03 18:48:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x691732…
07-03 18:30:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	325	89¢	$289	0x2e43e8…
07-03 18:28:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe5f2e9…
07-03 18:26:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	89¢	$191	0xd07aa3…
07-03 18:24:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x0c0278…
07-03 18:11:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa787a9…
07-03 18:03:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	305	89¢	$272	0x67abc9…
07-03 00:39:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x6aa8cb…
07-02 20:51:28	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x99c4c7…
07-02 20:04:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x8bdbd8…
07-02 20:01:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x2ee204…
07-02 20:00:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	328	75¢	$246	0xe75313…
07-02 19:59:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,195	21¢	$251	0x3712c1…
07-02 19:54:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x2fdcb1…
07-02 19:43:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x38e2e9…
07-02 19:43:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,014	21¢	$213	0x8d9394…
07-02 19:32:25	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xea5579…
07-02 19:20:17	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x45cc32…
07-02 19:20:14	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x7032d8…
07-02 19:19:52	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x2028d8…
07-02 19:18:14	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xeedff3…
07-02 19:15:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xb6fbda…
07-02 19:13:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	533	75¢	$400	0x36b9b8…
07-02 19:12:49	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	40	79¢	$31	0x1a0f29…
07-02 19:12:25	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6e720b…
07-02 19:12:05	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x03e2ed…
07-02 19:12:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3f0cca…
07-02 19:07:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0x1526d4…
07-02 18:44:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,449	21¢	$300	0xe249b2…
07-02 18:25:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xdf3fd3…
07-02 18:23:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x8a134e…
07-02 18:16:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0x2e1938…
07-02 18:15:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xab3507…
07-02 17:55:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	18¢	$925	0x7c5452…
07-02 17:44:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0x45f242…
07-02 17:42:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	112	15¢	$17	0x738c1e…
07-02 17:42:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x5935eb…
07-02 17:09:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0x097935…
07-02 16:45:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,371	89¢	$3,000	0xc082bf…
07-02 16:40:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0xf830ee…
07-02 01:15:41	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x8fbcbb…
07-02 00:47:37	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x1d4d95…
07-01 21:14:52	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	479	58¢	$280	0x6a953b…
07-01 21:13:11	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xd60c09…
07-01 20:02:34	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x819c9c…
07-01 18:56:58	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3,353	89¢	$2,984	0xdf7322…
07-01 00:23:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,853	90¢	$2,568	0x23e6a8…
07-01 00:20:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,615	90¢	$2,354	0xed4f0b…
06-30 23:02:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x7bf73b…
06-30 22:20:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	135	51¢	$69	0x801ccf…
06-30 00:53:26	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x295165…
06-29 23:20:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x4cb6bd…
06-29 23:16:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x4f1f67…
06-29 16:16:25	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0xd14f8b…
06-29 16:12:14	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0xb01812…
06-28 20:46:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0x6e3e95…
06-28 20:42:34	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	188	69¢	$130	0xb7d10d…
06-27 01:47:07	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	221	68¢	$150	0x8847c2…
06-27 01:46:46	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	741	67¢	$500	0x6fa6ce…
06-27 01:46:07	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x21a43f…
06-27 01:43:20	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x61c8eb…
06-27 01:43:20	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x06360b…
06-27 00:40:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	280	48¢	$135	0x60f012…
06-27 00:40:22	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x87e7d3…
06-27 00:40:20	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	101	48¢	$49	0x117f03…
06-27 00:40:19	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	98	48¢	$47	0xbdc0ee…
06-27 00:40:19	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x1e847a…
06-27 00:40:14	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x0a4060…
06-27 00:40:08	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x3e39c1…
06-27 00:31:04	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xfb4aa4…
06-26 21:19:52	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x7f7bf1…
06-26 21:15:58	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x118617…
06-26 18:06:22	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xdfd647…
06-26 18:00:53	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	SELL	95	30¢	$28	0x6dd3a9…