Judicious-Address — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$80.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$427

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-01 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

90% 33% -$20,655

Crypto

10% 34% -$857

Other

1% 0% -$495

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	19	$32.5K	39,836	39,836	+0	Yes	-$11,597	04-21 16:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$22.4K	14,983	14,983	+0	Yes	+$2,200	04-07 20:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$9.5K	25,598	0	+25,598	Yes	-$9,484	04-07 22:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	6	$3.4K	23,466	23,466	+0	open	—	06-01 19:26
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	15	$2.0K	10,455	0	+10,455	No	-$2,039	04-21 20:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$1.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$430	05-07 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:15 UTC	4	$807	100,418	415	+100,003	Up	+$10	03-30 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:55 UTC	5	$671	2,954	147	+2,807	Down	-$377	03-30 00:01
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$553	486	486	+0	No	+$73	04-08 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:40 UTC	4	$402	1,629	229	+1,400	Up	-$142	03-29 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:10 UTC	7	$400	1,905	0	+1,905	Up	-$400	03-30 02:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	8	$338	11,869	3,822	+8,047	No	-$57	05-07 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:40 UTC	5	$316	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$1,325	03-30 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	5	$301	50,600	257	+50,343	Up	-$134	03-30 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:45 UTC	3	$300	900	0	+900	Up	-$300	03-30 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:00 UTC	4	$300	2,553	0	+2,553	Up	-$300	03-30 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:30 UTC	4	$300	905	0	+905	Down	-$300	03-30 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:30 UTC	4	$296	758	360	+398	Up	+$46	03-30 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:20 UTC	3	$289	442	174	+268	Down	-$108	03-30 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:35 UTC	3	$265	778	0	+778	Down	-$265	03-30 01:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:15 UTC	3	$250	391	0	+391	Down	+$141	03-30 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:15 UTC	4	$250	6,925	0	+6,925	Up	-$250	03-30 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:25 UTC	4	$233	971	0	+971	Up	-$233	03-30 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$232	8,000	0	+8,000	No	-$232	05-06 10:56
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	1	$215	18,246	0	+18,246	No	-$215	03-31 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:55 UTC	2	$200	764	0	+764	Up	-$200	03-30 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:00 UTC	3	$200	1,487	0	+1,487	Down	-$200	03-30 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	4	$200	900	0	+900	Up	-$200	03-30 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:45 UTC	2	$193	457	0	+457	Up	-$72	03-29 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:55 UTC	2	$150	484	0	+484	Up	-$150	03-30 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 19:26:07	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,338	7¢	$234	0xe6dd20…
05-26 15:06:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	640	5¢	$32	0x8c1bca…
05-24 08:28:25	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xa6b4cb…
05-24 07:26:17	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xcc0d30…
05-24 07:26:05	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0xadb3fe…
05-23 22:15:01	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xc1735e…
05-23 22:04:24	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x741db2…
05-23 21:47:43	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xecd77b…
05-23 21:27:16	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0xee0ea3…
05-23 21:26:58	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x36eecf…
05-23 21:25:01	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xa7b7d8…
05-23 21:21:08	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x09c898…
05-23 21:17:07	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	101	8¢	$8	0xe68d84…
05-23 21:14:00	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x081686…
05-23 21:13:30	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	63	8¢	$5	0x2d37e9…
05-20 12:24:25	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	517	9¢	$49	0x02b88e…
05-07 22:08:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xd1999e…
05-07 22:08:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xdd7a2f…
05-07 21:21:46	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,346	7¢	$90	0x6d35f0…
05-07 20:28:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,992	6¢	$119	0x4d809f…
05-07 20:26:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	3,846	7¢	$285	0xa69046…
05-07 20:26:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x40c3d6…
05-07 20:26:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	6,154	7¢	$455	0xe15932…
05-07 19:33:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	2,498	4¢	$92	0xc631e1…
05-07 19:33:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	1,264	4¢	$47	0xa3ed8e…
05-07 19:25:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5,432	3¢	$162	0x761c80…
05-07 19:10:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0xe19bf0…
05-07 18:43:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xfce8d3…
05-07 18:40:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5,955	1¢	$32	0x327855…
05-06 15:39:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10,000	3¢	$310	0x39a4e8…
05-06 10:56:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8,000	3¢	$232	0x8a4afe…
05-06 02:03:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	7,222	2¢	$130	0x44c1f9…
05-05 23:00:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20,128	6¢	$1,213	0xe0b217…
05-04 18:42:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,389	9¢	$125	0x5e1a88…
05-04 16:55:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,739	9¢	$1,643	0xf782ab…
04-21 20:09:24	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	461	8¢	$37	0x3b2a7e…
04-21 19:24:36	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x22cf7d…
04-21 19:08:16	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x432f9f…
04-21 19:03:46	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd8a85c…
04-21 19:03:46	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xa4831a…
04-21 19:03:46	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x1ca322…
04-21 18:52:52	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf9bfc3…
04-21 18:46:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdf10c7…
04-21 18:15:52	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	338	8¢	$27	0x1c33bf…
04-21 16:29:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	7,056	1¢	$71	0x299b79…
04-21 16:29:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdd6f26…
04-21 16:29:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xea1952…
04-21 16:29:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe4c306…
04-21 16:29:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	8,508	1¢	$85	0x77da54…
04-21 16:29:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0f7a2d…
04-21 15:23:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8,300	3¢	$257	0x4481aa…
04-12 12:55:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	7,271	62¢	$4,533	0xc56da8…
04-12 02:25:43	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,475	17¢	$761	0x2377f9…
04-09 18:39:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,468	43¢	$630	0x299f37…
04-09 18:37:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	530	43¢	$227	0x2e1e21…
04-09 18:25:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7adca1…
04-09 17:53:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	22,265	42¢	$9,424	0x0b8f15…
04-08 17:46:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x9abe97…
04-08 17:31:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x98d496…
04-08 17:31:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xaeaadd…
04-08 17:30:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdcb564…
04-08 17:26:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	203	68¢	$139	0x3669a2…
04-08 17:12:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10,979	71¢	$7,806	0xc2f4fb…
04-08 17:12:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	13,021	71¢	$9,258	0xa25985…
04-08 17:10:43	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,271	28¢	$636	0xabe4e6…
04-08 17:08:41	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	290	28¢	$81	0xaeefd7…
04-08 17:08:13	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x3b74b3…
04-08 17:04:15	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	736	28¢	$206	0xf70474…
04-08 16:23:33	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	454	28¢	$127	0xd69250…
04-08 14:43:27	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	479	64¢	$308	0x95ef8e…
04-08 14:43:27	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x618d77…
04-08 14:33:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	486	49¢	$240	0x79a080…
04-08 13:46:11	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,083	1¢	$50	0xf3e23a…
04-07 22:56:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,292	8¢	$250	0x7f7f71…
04-07 22:54:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,321	11¢	$255	0x93be05…
04-07 22:33:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5,000	20¢	$1,000	0x06bee7…
04-07 22:33:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	6,667	15¢	$1,000	0x8ab71b…
04-07 20:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8,318	84¢	$6,978	0x7bb90e…
04-07 20:46:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7,020	99¢	$6,978	0x638dfe…
04-03 11:27:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,999	76¢	$3,799	0x478905…
04-03 11:27:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x0d7b78…
04-03 11:26:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x99ca15…
04-03 00:30:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7,963	67¢	$5,335	0xbe18df…
04-02 17:47:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,446	60¢	$4,468	0xf06831…
04-02 17:44:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1f2270…
04-02 17:43:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x411b3c…
04-02 17:43:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x66a3d3…
04-02 17:41:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4859a9…
04-02 17:41:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	437	60¢	$262	0x6e3dda…
03-31 01:52:31	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	18,246	1¢	$215	0x93775a…
03-30 23:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	425	12¢	$50	0xa4c82b…
03-30 23:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x0872b2…
03-30 23:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x38724d…
03-30 23:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0xee316d…
03-30 23:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x972638…
03-30 23:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0x12f29d…
03-30 23:17:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0xb91db3…
03-30 23:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	257	32¢	$83	0xf3feed…
03-30 23:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	260	26¢	$68	0x6e2ee1…
03-30 23:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0x952c1f…