(anonymous) 0x4c5c3c…52685d
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
336
lifetime
Volume
$1.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$340
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-28 15:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
54% 33% -$86
Other
40% 100% +$32
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$13
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +42 $32 88¢ $37 +$5 09-28 17:25
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +29 $22 88¢ $26 +$3 10-16 20:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +36 $24 66¢ $24 $0 10-22 14:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +25 $23 94¢ $23 +$0 10-28 20:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 +$0 10-26 01:55
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +24 $9 83¢ $20 +$10 10-27 00:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20 -$7 96¢ $19 +$26 10-23 13:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +15 $13 97¢ $14 +$1 10-20 05:51
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +19 $12 65¢ $12 +$1 10-21 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +17 $11 68¢ $12 +$1 10-23 22:46
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +11 $9 94¢ $11 +$2 10-25 05:39
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +11 $7 80¢ $9 +$2 10-28 11:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +10 $9 84¢ $9 $0 10-27 17:23
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +13 $9 62¢ $8 $0 10-24 16:34
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +13 $1 60¢ $8 +$7 10-28 15:18
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 68¢ $7 -$1 10-15 21:32
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 97¢ $7 +$1 10-13 15:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +11 $9 62¢ $7 -$2 10-15 19:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $6 68¢ $6 $0 10-24 22:10
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $6 70¢ $6 $0 10-24 21:55
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 09-28 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $4 96¢ $6 +$2 10-26 17:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +17 $13 34¢ $6 -$8 10-20 15:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $1 97¢ $6 +$5 10-08 12:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$0 10-11 18:23
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31 No +6 $4 96¢ $5 +$2 10-15 05:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +6 $3 97¢ $5 +$2 10-26 13:52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-24 21:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-28 20:09
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-14 01:33