Stimulating-Gas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$801

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-23 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

58% 41% -$55

Sports

20% 38% +$7

Politics

12% 40% +$14

Tech

7% 100% +$6

Crypto

2% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$5	15¢	$2	-$3	05-04 19:36
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+33	$5	4¢	$1	-$3	05-14 22:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+67	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	05-14 22:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	2	$72	92	92	+0	Yes	+$12	07-26 13:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$56	33	33	+0	Yes	+$6	05-14 11:43
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-24?	1	$50	114	0	+114	No	-$50	08-22 15:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$35	35,000	0	+35,000	Yes	-$35	04-24 10:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	2	$32	23	23	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$2	05-14 22:19
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?	1	$30	61	0	+61	Yes	+$31	08-22 15:33
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$8	07-26 20:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$27	83	83	+0	No	+$7	04-24 20:38
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?	1	$25	78	0	+78	Yes	+$53	05-14 11:50
Will RKS Radomiak Radom vs. Gornik Zabrze end in a draw?	2	$24	69	69	+0	No	-$16	08-08 13:37
wta snigur tagger 2026 07 26	2	$22	16	16	+0	Lilli Tagger	+$2	07-26 13:17
Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	3	$21	66	0	+66	No	-$21	07-27 12:08
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	1	$20	100	0	+100	No	-$20	06-10 20:42
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	235	0	+235	No	-$20	06-10 20:35
Will SSC Bari win on 2026-05-15?	1	$20	71	0	+71	No	-$20	05-15 18:09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	1	$20	47	0	+47	No	-$20	08-23 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:25 UTC	1	$20	65	0	+65	Up	-$20	08-23 05:25
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Modena FC end in a draw?	1	$20	74	0	+74	No	-$20	07-28 11:59
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	2	$18	30	30	+0	No	-$12	07-27 05:47
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	08-22 15:32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	37	0	+37	Yes	-$15	04-24 20:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$11	42	42	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1	05-15 18:55
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	-$10	08-08 12:53
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?	1	$10	37	0	+37	Yes	+$27	07-26 20:42
Will Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	1	$10	45	0	+45	No	-$10	05-17 10:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	07-26 13:25
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	05-17 05:52
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	07-26 20:13
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	1	$10	19	0	+19	Under	-$10	05-14 22:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	206	0	+206	Yes	-$10	04-24 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 19:21:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x8f86b7…
08-23 19:20:48	Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xeab6bd…
08-23 14:13:19	Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1d4e0c…
08-23 05:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x193913…
08-22 15:33:43	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x42c85c…
08-22 15:32:37	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x57dd02…
08-22 15:05:37	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x8eef05…
08-09 20:11:09	Will Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8c11a4…
08-09 03:47:46	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6c337a…
08-08 22:45:42	Will Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xae4348…
08-08 19:03:51	Will Korona Kielce vs. Legia Warszawa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x051b15…
08-08 19:00:25	Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeabb99…
08-08 13:37:01	Will RKS Radomiak Radom vs. Gornik Zabrze end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	69	6¢	$4	0x4359af…
08-08 12:53:06	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3a795a…
08-08 12:37:01	Will RKS Radomiak Radom vs. Gornik Zabrze end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x5a4b23…
07-28 11:59:53	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Modena FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x377549…
07-28 07:28:00	Will Udinese Calcio vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xca601b…
07-27 17:21:19	Will Thiago Motta be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x62b37d…
07-27 12:08:09	Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7e2a5b…
07-27 05:47:45	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x91053d…
07-26 21:38:42	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe700b7…
07-26 20:59:46	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xa79ead…
07-26 20:42:28	Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc3d61e…
07-26 20:13:09	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7bf4ee…
07-26 20:09:49	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x768913…
07-26 20:04:24	Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe1d07a…
07-26 20:02:13	Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x8e41b1…
07-26 13:47:54	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x28cf26…
07-26 13:41:42	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	92	45¢	$42	0x114a3d…
07-26 13:25:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9c1073…
07-26 13:17:45	wta snigur tagger 2026 07 26	Lilli Tagger	SELL	16	79¢	$12	0x558555…
07-26 13:02:25	wta snigur tagger 2026 07 26	Lilli Tagger	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x63c074…
07-26 12:58:03	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	92	32¢	$30	0x15a12a…
06-10 20:42:52	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6a3c7b…
06-10 20:42:24	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x2688a6…
06-10 20:35:09	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$20	0x2563bd…
05-25 22:30:41	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x430aaf…
05-19 19:57:38	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf6965c…
05-19 19:57:20	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x97e7c3…
05-19 19:50:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6bdc9f…
05-19 19:48:28	Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xde9d95…
05-17 10:19:24	Will Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x67f504…
05-17 05:52:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4a248f…
05-15 18:55:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x356d6f…
05-15 18:10:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6eed98…
05-15 18:09:12	Will SSC Bari win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x565e7a…
05-14 22:52:41	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf6f856…
05-14 22:44:40	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x101379…
05-14 22:37:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x4326a9…
05-14 22:19:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x32752d…
05-14 22:16:07	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x648642…
05-14 22:14:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xdf05c2…
05-14 11:50:47	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x04158c…
05-14 11:43:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0xf4be3e…
05-08 05:23:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9e3f71…
05-08 05:15:05	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8a79d…
05-04 19:36:24	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xda64c3…
05-04 19:26:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x7114f8…
04-24 20:38:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	21¢	$17	0xd25c83…
04-24 20:29:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	5¢	$10	0xc2d8a2…
04-24 20:08:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xb3b8c8…
04-24 10:24:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3b116f…
04-24 10:21:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x50aade…
04-24 05:19:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x2710ba…