Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

130

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-20

last 11-05 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

42% 33% -$41

Crypto

27% 40% -$25

Sports

16% 36% -$305

Tech

15% 67% +$49

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$328	948	0	+948	No	-$328	07-02 09:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$177	118	118	+0	No	+$37	10-23 09:34
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	5	$176	144	144	+0	No	+$16	09-03 07:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$126	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	09-29 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	4	$121	81	81	+0	Yes	-$4	08-22 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$117	91	91	+0	Yes	+$39	10-09 14:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$111	174	64	+110	Yes	-$90	09-14 15:41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	5	$109	69	69	+0	open	—	11-05 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$96	55	55	+0	No	+$13	08-21 14:52
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	2	$80	42	42	+0	Yes	+$4	08-13 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:50 UTC	3	$79	51	51	+0	Down	+$11	08-22 16:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	2	$76	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	09-28 13:03
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	2	$69	39	39	+0	No	+$9	08-12 13:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$8	08-21 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 13:25 UTC	2	$60	48	48	+0	Up	+$20	06-20 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$58	112	79	+33	No	-$4	10-08 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:55 UTC	2	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	08-22 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:25 UTC	2	$56	38	38	+0	Down	+$16	06-20 12:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$54	71	0	+71	Yes	+$17	07-28 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:30 UTC	2	$52	34	34	+0	Down	+$12	08-18 14:31
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$43	867	833	+35	No	-$3	07-04 20:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$42	44	44	+0	Yes	+$32	07-31 05:05
O/U 4.5 Rounds	2	$38	28	28	+0	Under	+$18	08-29 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:20 UTC	2	$36	100	100	+0	Up	+$16	06-20 12:24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$32	87	87	+0	No	-$3	07-13 17:03
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	2	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	07-07 18:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:35 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	08-18 14:39
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 28	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	09-28 13:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	3	$29	70	17	+54	No	-$11	08-22 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$26	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	11-05 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x94a31e…
11-05 17:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x9dc08b…
11-05 17:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x47ea2b…
11-05 17:25:19	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xb36d9d…
11-05 17:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x380067…
11-05 17:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd3216d…
11-05 17:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x69901d…
11-05 16:12:57	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Yes	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x16a0a3…
11-05 09:13:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xe3c3fb…
11-04 08:51:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x5515ed…
11-03 18:10:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x8fe919…
10-28 20:03:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xfff532…
10-27 22:23:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x5d3973…
10-27 21:57:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb21ce8…
10-27 17:32:36	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb39770…
10-27 17:31:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x2be3c6…
10-24 15:01:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x85c362…
10-24 15:00:50	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xb54d28…
10-23 09:34:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	88	93¢	$82	0x573750…
10-19 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x58dd11…
10-19 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd9fec7…
10-19 12:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xe89a8a…
10-19 12:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x826125…
10-19 12:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbaceb2…
10-17 14:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x17fea9…
10-17 14:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xf7eb8c…
10-15 09:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xfdb88e…
10-15 09:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x07f435…
10-15 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x635769…
10-15 09:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x560476…
10-15 09:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x31dc67…
10-14 12:43:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x64ba4b…
10-14 12:31:00	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xcbf26d…
10-14 12:30:54	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xd8f6f6…
10-14 12:30:00	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x634f87…
10-13 20:11:54	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x316b42…
10-12 09:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfd5819…
10-11 18:08:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x19e37b…
10-09 14:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7116e4…
10-09 14:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	86¢	$78	0x7f90a8…
10-09 08:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbf5fe5…
10-08 21:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x88922c…
10-08 21:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa1ac27…
10-08 18:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	34¢	$27	0x40abb5…
10-08 16:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x0ad185…
10-08 16:47:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xcf02af…
10-08 16:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x3c61bf…
10-08 13:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x200964…
10-08 13:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xb49c54…
10-08 10:45:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3eb733…
10-08 10:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x6c9259…
10-08 10:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xc66603…
10-08 09:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xc63de5…
10-08 09:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x212ad6…
10-08 09:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xe0d7f8…
10-08 09:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x169142…
10-08 09:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf05386…
10-08 09:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfadfaa…
10-08 09:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7565a4…
10-08 09:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfdbe7a…
09-30 12:32:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xfdd85e…
09-29 15:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x0d5a14…
09-29 12:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xb4b213…
09-28 13:03:33	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 28	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6493de…
09-28 13:03:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1e35d9…
09-28 09:39:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x522f2e…
09-27 08:37:47	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 28	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa9f1c8…
09-27 08:35:00	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0xb03c54…
09-26 19:42:45	ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x94ca23…
09-16 11:35:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x076d98…
09-14 15:41:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	16¢	$10	0x6e1df2…
09-14 15:39:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x705170…
09-09 09:56:55	Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x09bc96…
09-06 11:58:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x615528…
09-04 13:04:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x1e0697…
09-03 07:11:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	SELL	62	82¢	$51	0xf6bee4…
08-30 21:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x310075…
08-30 20:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x9d9f92…
08-30 20:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbc1c08…
08-29 21:59:30	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x21dc32…
08-29 20:27:10	Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xf1f4d4…
08-29 18:13:58	Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xc5097b…
08-29 18:13:49	Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4bf4c7…
08-29 12:52:49	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4e802f…
08-29 11:51:58	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbf3ca2…
08-29 11:33:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0xc4dc6a…
08-28 19:05:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x7d3ad8…
08-26 12:29:28	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x0e114c…
08-26 12:29:21	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6a2dd0…
08-25 14:39:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x34dad0…
08-25 14:38:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	SELL	55	45¢	$24	0x94bf77…
08-25 12:52:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xc7796e…
08-23 16:50:28	Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x579659…
08-22 17:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0d95dd…
08-22 17:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0f8b0b…
08-22 17:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7ecaff…
08-22 17:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x42f167…
08-22 16:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x04149a…
08-22 16:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x03272c…
08-22 16:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0x21591e…