Great-Slump — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved (90d)

3,009

Trades (90d)

3,427

38,664 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$50.8K

$885.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-13 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 68% -$1,088

Other

10% 58% +$309

Sports

0% 56% -$92

Politics

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$13	62¢	$12	-$1	10-02 13:49
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$16	38¢	$7	-$9	10-02 22:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tur bes ant 2026 04 10 ant	11	$10.6K	5,315	5,315	+0	No	+$19	04-10 18:43
epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	10	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$33	04-12 16:57
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	22	$9.1K	4,557	4,557	+0	Yes	+$14	04-12 17:14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$4.5K	2,684	2,684	+0	No	+$856	05-30 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:40 UTC	25	$4.0K	2,301	2,277	+24	Down	+$29	03-24 18:41
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	2	$3.3K	2,620	2,620	+0	Yes	+$891	05-27 20:25
tur goz gal 2026 04 08 goz	18	$2.4K	2,479	0	+2,479	No	+$49	04-08 18:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	9	$2.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$0	02-05 15:13
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	18	$1.7K	1,000	3,000	-2,000	Yes	+$0	04-14 15:18
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	1	$1.5K	2,633	0	+2,633	No	-$1,501	06-14 03:56
tur bes kon 2026 01 31 bes	2	$1.4K	1,032	1,032	+0	Yes	+$646	01-31 20:49
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?	1	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$640	05-01 19:06
lol lr gx 2026 01 24	20	$1.2K	899	752	+147	GIANTX	+$83	01-24 18:28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	11	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$840	05-02 19:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:00 UTC	26	$1.1K	1,000	125	+875	Up	+$14	02-04 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:00 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,000	125	+875	Down	+$14	02-03 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	17	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	05-19 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$11	05-19 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	12	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	05-19 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	51	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	05-19 16:30
tur bes ant 2026 04 10 bes	16	$1.1K	730	730	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	22	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	Down	+$11	05-19 16:09
arg iac vel 2026 01 22 draw	39	$1.1K	381	990	-609	No	+$319	01-23 05:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:55 UTC	19	$1.0K	749	736	+13	Up	+$2	03-25 11:58
epl new sun 2026 03 22 total 1pt5	1	$1.0K	1,299	0	+1,299	Over	+$286	03-22 13:08
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	3	$1.0K	1,062	1,046	+17	Michigan Wolverines	-$18	04-03 08:31
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 total 4pt5	1	$1.0K	1,562	0	+1,562	Over	+$562	03-22 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	20	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$10	05-13 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	14	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$10	05-19 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	9	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$990	05-13 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 09:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x404ce7…
10-13 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x501913…
10-13 08:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe128ed…
10-13 08:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5aa6d1…
10-13 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x539d28…
10-13 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x54a9df…
10-13 08:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x36f9e0…
10-13 08:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x8c580b…
10-13 08:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x6d3df4…
10-13 08:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x69c91e…
10-13 08:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x351f57…
10-13 08:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x98717a…
10-13 08:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x70f551…
10-13 08:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbf86b5…
10-13 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8c5486…
10-13 08:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbc388a…
10-13 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4f39f6…
10-13 08:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf7673d…
10-13 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x145951…
10-13 08:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2581d4…
10-13 08:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x99f59e…
10-13 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2bd968…
10-13 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe1363a…
10-13 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa2f123…
10-13 07:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x85567a…
10-13 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x68ac8f…
10-13 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd7a67f…
10-13 07:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5d37d6…
10-13 06:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa92029…
10-13 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4c38e9…
10-13 06:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xd415c6…
10-13 06:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1efad0…
10-13 06:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x2fb72f…
10-13 06:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1e73b7…
10-13 06:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1680a5…
10-13 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcf5e12…
10-13 06:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3214c5…
10-13 06:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x47fdb4…
10-13 00:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40a39b…
10-13 00:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc15ea…
10-13 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x981977…
10-13 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b9c1e…
10-13 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b8223…
10-13 00:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47acf1…
10-13 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa400da…
10-13 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7abe0d…
10-13 00:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e588f…
10-13 00:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0324bf…
10-13 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d6c45…
10-12 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7edd22…
10-12 23:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b481c…
10-12 23:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x91b4fc…
10-12 23:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x50ffc4…
10-12 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa37af…
10-12 23:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf72e5…
10-12 23:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbbcd9d…
10-12 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf3083…
10-12 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf886c3…
10-12 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x918915…
10-12 23:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a5920…
10-12 22:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6c7d1…
10-12 22:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc70d30…
10-12 22:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x331278…
10-12 22:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2daf5a…
10-12 22:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96c42b…
10-12 22:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f72ef…
10-12 22:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x041cbf…
10-12 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb1272…
10-12 21:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25a265…
10-12 21:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x860e0d…
10-12 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1dc3d6…
10-12 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bfc63…
10-12 21:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd088d2…
10-12 21:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x036f04…
10-12 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1fc554…
10-12 20:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x53257a…
10-12 20:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb802be…
10-12 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2bc72…
10-12 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8dbac0…
10-12 20:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16d9a1…
10-12 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbaf3aa…
10-12 19:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6cb85b…
10-12 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x982149…
10-12 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fa61b…
10-12 19:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x603463…
10-12 19:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fc527…
10-12 19:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b987b…
10-12 19:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15ba5c…
10-12 19:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x14cd94…
10-12 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c59d7…
10-12 18:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86000f…
10-12 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ce53e…
10-12 17:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0f500…
10-12 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f3da9…
10-12 17:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6ce3a…
10-12 17:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9afeda…
10-12 17:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x937020…
10-12 17:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfde1d2…
10-12 17:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x833614…
10-12 17:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc914e…