Determined-Disgust 0x4cdcbb…1b0116 Create alert
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$877
Unrealized P&L
-$774
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
619
Trades
1,250
lifetime
Volume
$49.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$4.28K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-02 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
52% 58% +$271
Other
35% 56% +$841
Crypto
7% 55% -$95
Sports
6% 0% -$141
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,154 $1,973 96¢ $2.1K +$84 11-02 06:21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $810 72¢ $820 +$10 10-31 04:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,000 $700 74¢ $735 +$35 10-25 08:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +248 $169 80¢ $197 +$29 10-27 03:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +152 $100 74¢ $112 +$11 10-25 19:52
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +113 $101 92¢ $103 +$3 10-31 04:24
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +116 $100 86¢ $101 +$1 10-30 08:39
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +187 $101 52¢ $96 -$5 11-02 06:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +41 $34 96¢ $39 +$6 10-26 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:12
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +3 $1 35¢ $1 +$0 10-31 05:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-04 02:31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 10-13 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:17
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-01 22:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $333 14¢ $1 -$332 10-22 20:46
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 11-02 06:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $603 22¢ $1 -$603 10-13 10:14
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 10-31 18:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $13 26¢ $1 -$13 09-04 02:32