Determined-Disgust 0x4cdcbb…1b0116
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$877
Unrealized P&L
-$717
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
619
Trades
1,245
lifetime
Volume
$49.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$4.43K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-31 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
52% 58% +$271
Other
35% 56% +$841
Crypto
7% 55% -$95
Sports
6% 0% -$141
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,370 $2,176 96¢ $2.3K +$87 10-31 04:01
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,147 $810 74¢ $855 +$45 10-31 04:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,000 $700 74¢ $745 +$45 10-25 08:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +248 $169 82¢ $202 +$34 10-27 03:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +152 $100 72¢ $110 +$10 10-25 19:52
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +116 $100 88¢ $103 +$3 10-30 08:39
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +113 $101 90¢ $102 +$2 10-31 04:24
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +41 $34 94¢ $39 +$5 10-26 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:12
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-04 02:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 10-31 05:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 10-31 18:22
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-01 22:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 43¢ $1 $0 10-13 10:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $333 14¢ $1 -$332 10-22 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 09-17 23:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 09-17 23:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $603 22¢ $1 -$603 10-13 10:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $13 28¢ $1 -$13 09-04 02:32