Stupendous-Lid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$765

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-18 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 53% +$16

Other

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774863900	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-30 09:51
nba det okc 2026 03 30	6	$24	183	19	+164	open	—	03-31 04:31
eth updown 5m 1774870500	3	$22	39	12	+28	open	—	03-30 11:40
btc updown 5m 1775227500	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-03 14:50
btc updown 5m 1775245800	3	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-03 19:56
btc updown 5m 1775244300	8	$21	81	8	+73	open	—	04-03 19:29
btc updown 5m 1775231400	5	$21	20	14	+6	open	—	04-03 15:54
btc updown 5m 1774999800	4	$19	20	19	+1	open	—	03-31 23:32
btc updown 5m 1775247900	4	$16	35	0	+35	open	—	04-03 20:30
btc updown 5m 1774961400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 12:56
btc updown 5m 1775246100	2	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	04-03 19:59
btc updown 5m 1774885200	3	$13	34	6	+29	open	—	03-30 15:46
btc updown 5m 1775000100	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	03-31 23:41
btc updown 5m 1775002500	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775247600	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 20:25
btc updown 5m 1775000700	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-31 23:51
btc updown 5m 1774999200	3	$10	16	10	+7	open	—	03-31 23:23
btc updown 5m 1775227800	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-03 14:51
btc updown 5m 1775003400	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 00:33
btc updown 5m 1775065200	3	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	04-01 17:44
btc updown 15m 1775069100	3	$9	16	7	+9	open	—	04-01 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$9	13	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-12 06:27
btc updown 5m 1775248800	3	$8	14	5	+9	open	—	04-03 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 08:00
btc updown 5m 1775249100	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-03 20:46
btc updown 5m 1775248500	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-03 20:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$8	294	294	+0	open	—	05-15 00:01
btc updown 5m 1775037900	4	$8	11	10	+0	open	—	04-01 10:08
btc updown 5m 1775150700	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-02 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$7	9	3	+6	Up	$-3	05-12 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 16:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0ee7d1…
05-18 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe22293…
05-18 15:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa58f5b…
05-18 05:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x85f39d…
05-18 03:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x7c9b57…
05-18 03:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc90e5a…
05-18 02:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1faaaf…
05-17 14:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2d990d…
05-17 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x81dd31…
05-17 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xde1126…
05-15 00:01:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0x251af8…
05-14 03:16:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x1bf6e1…
05-13 02:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xa75f75…
05-13 02:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x378ff0…
05-13 01:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd5b920…
05-13 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x97bed1…
05-13 01:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7aa3b4…
05-13 01:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x731da7…
05-13 01:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xadc3f2…
05-13 01:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdff852…
05-13 01:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x09238d…
05-12 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x358034…
05-12 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x777282…
05-12 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe2f502…
05-12 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x2babb8…
05-12 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xfc5556…
05-12 15:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x62e488…
05-12 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xda23b9…
05-12 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5914c8…
05-12 14:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x526eb3…
05-12 13:12:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x85142a…
05-12 13:12:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x83566e…
05-12 08:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1371a0…
05-12 07:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x44c445…
05-12 06:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xdbdf8f…
05-12 06:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x16ec31…
05-12 06:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc47463…
05-12 06:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x2cedc0…
05-12 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x5174e4…
05-12 06:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x64c3c4…
05-12 06:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb6ff95…
05-12 06:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c4387…
05-12 06:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe7014…
05-12 05:38:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc42280…
05-12 05:38:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf3858b…
05-12 05:38:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x360c5b…
05-11 15:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc42011…
05-11 15:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5cb75e…
05-11 15:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1e35c6…
05-11 15:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xefe0af…
05-11 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x804763…
05-11 12:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf6a621…
05-11 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xee04ba…
05-11 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x81a34c…
05-11 12:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb82e00…
05-11 12:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x873494…
05-11 12:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x094011…
05-11 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9ab60f…
05-11 12:33:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xd0a4aa…
04-03 20:46:37	btc updown 5m 1775249100	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xffec16…
04-03 20:44:31	btc updown 5m 1775248800	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x719c60…
04-03 20:44:07	btc updown 5m 1775248800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x997bf9…
04-03 20:43:59	btc updown 5m 1775248800	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x717c5e…
04-03 20:40:49	btc updown 5m 1775248500	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x835183…
04-03 20:40:01	btc updown 5m 1775248500	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfffa1b…
04-03 20:35:01	btc updown 5m 1775248200	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xa04788…
04-03 20:30:05	btc updown 5m 1775247900	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe48eed…
04-03 20:29:55	btc updown 5m 1775247900	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x18e343…
04-03 20:29:11	btc updown 5m 1775247900	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf34b81…
04-03 20:28:49	btc updown 5m 1775247900	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x29689e…
04-03 20:25:37	btc updown 5m 1775247600	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x9bc609…
04-03 20:24:57	btc updown 5m 1775247600	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x53a6ad…
04-03 20:09:47	btc updown 5m 1775246700	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2bf587…
04-03 19:59:51	btc updown 5m 1775246100	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6b0191…
04-03 19:57:59	btc updown 5m 1775246100	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x2e0364…
04-03 19:56:13	btc updown 5m 1775245800	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x93f883…
04-03 19:54:55	btc updown 5m 1775245800	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xdb1fa8…
04-03 19:54:13	btc updown 5m 1775245800	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xaa58a9…
04-03 19:37:13	btc updown 5m 1775244900	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xba4bf0…
04-03 19:29:55	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x92c933…
04-03 19:29:51	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbdf95b…
04-03 19:29:45	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x0b00ad…
04-03 19:29:27	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x03fcbc…
04-03 19:29:21	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x087be1…
04-03 19:28:37	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xcd5df2…
04-03 19:26:09	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa46a34…
04-03 19:26:01	btc updown 5m 1775244300	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcefe8e…
04-03 15:54:21	btc updown 5m 1775231400	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1d08a7…
04-03 15:52:51	btc updown 5m 1775231400	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xb21cb9…
04-03 15:52:35	btc updown 5m 1775231400	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x572f63…
04-03 15:52:07	btc updown 5m 1775231400	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x6d577a…
04-03 15:51:31	btc updown 5m 1775231400	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xbce158…
04-03 14:51:45	btc updown 5m 1775227800	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xecd177…
04-03 14:50:57	btc updown 5m 1775227500	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xccb1c2…
04-03 14:48:37	btc updown 5m 1775227500	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x206579…
04-03 10:46:27	btc updown 5m 1775213100	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x320488…
04-03 10:44:47	btc updown 5m 1775212800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d05f9…
04-02 18:51:47	btc updown 5m 1775155800	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2c9d88…
04-02 18:44:11	btc updown 5m 1775155200	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x98b29c…
04-02 17:57:37	btc updown 5m 1775152500	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb72c8b…