Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$2.95K

15 positions

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-03 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

57% 85% +$46

Politics

30% — —

Sports

10% 80% -$34

Tech

2% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	+1,097	$1,087	96¢	$1.1K	-$28	10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+702	$653	92¢	$649	-$4	11-02 23:12
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+286	$285	100¢	$285	$0	11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	+264	$263	100¢	$263	+$0	11-02 22:58
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+293	$158	52¢	$151	-$7	11-01 23:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+127	$117	94¢	$120	+$3	10-31 20:24
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+90	$88	98¢	$88	+$0	11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	No	+76	$76	100¢	$76	+$0	11-02 02:43
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	+76	$74	98¢	$74	+$0	10-31 15:41
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+74	$73	99¢	$73	+$0	11-03 08:26
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+41	$41	99¢	$41	$0	11-03 09:14
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+39	$32	85¢	$33	+$1	10-31 23:54
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+18	$14	80¢	$15	+$1	11-01 08:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+14	$12	78¢	$11	$0	11-01 20:29
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-02 03:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	60	$1.1K	1,097	+1,097	open	—	10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$653	702	+702	open	—	11-02 23:12
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	1	$297	307	+307	open	—	11-02 18:17
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	4	$285	286	+286	open	—	11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	15	$263	264	+264	open	—	11-02 22:58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	11	$223	238	+238	No	+$15	11-01 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	20	$220	223	+223	No	+$2	10-31 18:49
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	12	$204	204	+204	No	+$0	10-31 15:52
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	10-31 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	20	$193	198	+198	No	+$4	11-01 13:14
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	1	$158	293	+293	open	—	11-01 23:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	13	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	10-30 21:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	4	$117	127	+127	open	—	10-31 20:24
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	7	$103	105	+105	No	+$3	11-01 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	10	$102	119	+119	No	+$17	11-01 04:59
Will Robert Miranda be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	11-01 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	12	$89	203	+203	Yes	-$89	10-31 10:31
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$88	90	+90	open	—	11-03 09:14
Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	10-31 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	9	$81	117	+117	No	+$36	10-30 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	10	$78	151	+151	No	+$73	10-31 01:44
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	5	$76	76	+76	open	—	11-02 02:43
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	2	$74	76	+76	open	—	10-31 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	4	$74	75	+75	No	+$2	10-30 13:09
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$73	74	+74	open	—	11-03 08:26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$73	87	+87	open	—	11-03 19:50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	2	$68	82	+82	Yes	-$68	11-01 19:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	3	$66	79	+79	No	+$13	10-31 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	9	$64	69	+69	No	+$5	10-31 17:45
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	2	$61	88	+88	No	+$27	11-01 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:04:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf5096a…
11-03 20:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x214bc2…
11-03 20:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 5?	No	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xfd99a2…
11-03 19:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2008f8…
11-03 19:50:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0x7c4dbe…
11-03 19:48:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x50db14…
11-03 19:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xd34870…
11-03 19:31:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x3a8d8b…
11-03 18:54:27	Will Japan take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4ab089…
11-03 18:14:12	Will Japan take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa224cd…
11-03 18:07:00	Will Japan take third place in Miss Universe 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xee3204…
11-03 17:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa3ac95…
11-03 17:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x06f6c4…
11-03 15:29:36	Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x49f03a…
11-03 15:29:07	Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x14ceb6…
11-03 14:16:39	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x38646f…
11-03 12:11:30	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7520e9…
11-03 09:16:03	Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x8c4722…
11-03 09:14:27	Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x57d24a…
11-03 09:14:19	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x219a35…
11-03 09:14:16	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x586f99…
11-03 09:14:13	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x1af095…
11-03 09:13:25	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc24e62…
11-03 09:11:36	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf34a77…
11-03 08:26:07	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x2e4664…
11-03 08:26:03	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf38048…
11-03 08:01:55	will thailand come in 3rd place at eurovision asia 2026	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x8e1d00…
11-03 02:47:49	Will Providence win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x66a229…
11-03 01:43:13	Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe0a2bc…
11-03 00:30:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x039e12…
11-02 23:47:10	will revolut have the third highest private market valuation on november 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcafebe…
11-02 23:34:49	will anduril have the third highest private market valuation on november 30 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3393c5…
11-02 23:12:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	295	93¢	$275	0xe404e1…
11-02 23:10:22	Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5fc3e2…
11-02 23:02:21	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0xec60d7…
11-02 23:02:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	295	93¢	$275	0x466be1…
11-02 22:58:24	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f996a…
11-02 22:44:03	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x49cf46…
11-02 22:43:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe28378…
11-02 22:26:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x096cb1…
11-02 22:20:27	will ted lieu be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9de350…
11-02 21:56:07	Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfa8ba5…
11-02 21:54:31	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd526cb…
11-02 21:53:51	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ef56…
11-02 21:39:30	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x710760…
11-02 21:37:13	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x09fb16…
11-02 21:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf06d2e…
11-02 21:19:55	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xd84af8…
11-02 21:19:51	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x928ce2…
11-02 20:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x35ff25…
11-02 20:44:00	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0e6a3a…
11-02 20:43:54	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x74b1d6…
11-02 20:40:51	will spacex be the third largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x139b92…
11-02 20:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa78867…
11-02 20:10:40	will meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2fb83a…
11-02 19:55:00	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xfce111…
11-02 19:44:57	Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xafb961…
11-02 19:41:25	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5eb7f1…
11-02 19:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x00918c…
11-02 19:28:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x101549…
11-02 19:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc4f006…
11-02 19:27:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x182f85…
11-02 19:07:13	Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49e2c5…
11-02 18:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc7da29…
11-02 18:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x38dbaf…
11-02 18:17:12	Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	307	97¢	$297	0x1cc1b2…
11-02 18:01:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xddbc74…
11-02 16:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49fd6f…
11-02 16:23:00	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7d17dc…
11-02 16:20:31	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x394cc1…
11-02 16:19:48	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x103d05…
11-02 15:32:37	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x794c53…
11-02 15:21:45	Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4971a2…
11-02 14:56:15	Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bad27…
11-02 14:52:52	Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3e519d…
11-02 14:21:22	Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29a91a…
11-02 13:28:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb26be3…
11-02 12:35:06	Will Chile host the 2028 Copa America?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf1a861…
11-02 11:02:04	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x432e0d…
11-02 10:24:07	Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x84de10…
11-02 09:40:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 3?	No	BUY	27	61¢	$16	0x04969e…
11-02 09:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb6bc9a…
11-02 08:53:55	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xc0dd23…
11-02 08:20:40	Will Rachel Rohrabacher / Parris Todd win the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships (Women's Doubles) tournament?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x50578d…
11-02 06:38:13	Will Rachel Rohrabacher / Parris Todd win the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships (Women's Doubles) tournament?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x0ec6c2…
11-02 06:30:19	Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x9c615f…
11-02 05:26:16	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x7a2cb6…
11-02 04:11:15	Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8a56ce…
11-02 03:44:22	Will the New Orleans Pelicans be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e5ee7…
11-02 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x210d59…
11-02 03:13:46	Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa9953…
11-02 03:13:25	Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9dba86…
11-02 02:43:00	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xb37791…
11-02 02:38:46	Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa2408a…
11-02 02:33:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x7d79c3…
11-02 01:56:40	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa0ac7b…
11-02 01:04:54	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x74a50a…
11-02 01:04:48	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04c694…
11-02 01:04:34	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x930518…
11-02 00:48:31	Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcee920…