Early-Admission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$203

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

137

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-24 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

65% 16% -$204

Crypto

35% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	2	$219	110	109	+1	No	+$0	05-14 00:12
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$104	55	54	+1	No	+$5	05-14 11:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 13?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-13 16:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	2	$70	50	50	+0	Yes	+$30	08-16 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	08-16 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$44	08-16 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	3	$35	90	0	+90	Yes	+$55	08-12 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	05-30 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?	1	$34	80	0	+80	No	-$34	08-13 06:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 12?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-12 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 13?	1	$31	80	0	+80	No	-$31	08-12 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 13?	1	$31	85	0	+85	Yes	+$54	08-12 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 19:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-25 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$24	8,000	7,500	+500	No	-$8	05-03 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 16?	1	$23	50	0	+50	No	-$23	08-15 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?	1	$22	80	0	+80	No	-$22	08-12 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?	1	$22	70	0	+70	No	-$22	08-14 06:19
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1?	2	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-01 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 13?	1	$21	75	0	+75	No	-$21	08-12 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?	1	$20	50	0	+50	No	-$20	08-15 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 14?	1	$20	85	0	+85	No	-$20	08-13 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?	1	$19	50	0	+50	No	-$19	08-15 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?	1	$19	50	0	+50	No	-$19	08-24 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?	1	$19	82	0	+82	No	-$19	08-13 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	1	$19	75	0	+75	Yes	+$56	08-13 06:51
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 1?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-01 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 25?	1	$17	50	0	+50	No	-$17	08-24 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 13?	1	$16	55	0	+55	Yes	+$38	08-12 07:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?	1	$16	85	0	+85	Yes	+$69	08-13 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 21:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9bb780…
08-24 20:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1f85aa…
08-24 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe40afd…
08-24 11:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6650d…
08-24 08:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x7439d4…
08-24 08:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x10f640…
08-24 07:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x61afd0…
08-24 07:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x5a665a…
08-24 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on August 25?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x53e06d…
08-24 07:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x685d95…
08-24 07:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe60a7f…
08-24 07:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x4fb36f…
08-24 07:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x3e6344…
08-24 07:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x50cc49…
08-24 07:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6af866…
08-24 07:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa47150…
08-24 07:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x89314b…
08-24 07:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6f1150…
08-24 07:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x2f0d08…
08-24 07:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbfa6e4…
08-16 17:19:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc0d696…
08-16 17:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x212979…
08-16 17:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdff8ad…
08-15 15:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x04cc47…
08-15 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xd6c5e8…
08-15 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x44e922…
08-15 15:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb8463f…
08-15 15:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7c05d0…
08-15 15:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x252bcc…
08-15 15:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4f30a6…
08-15 15:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xed9060…
08-15 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa9e611…
08-15 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa90630…
08-15 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1fb2ad…
08-15 14:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x40c884…
08-15 14:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc2b693…
08-15 12:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x830813…
08-15 12:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2905e9…
08-15 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xc7cac5…
08-15 12:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0d1c4c…
08-15 11:52:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58bd5d…
08-15 11:49:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6c27fb…
08-15 11:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc28b1d…
08-15 11:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xcb0b45…
08-15 11:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa8813a…
08-15 11:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x0af59b…
08-15 11:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6e4f20…
08-15 11:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xfc23ba…
08-15 10:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc632b6…
08-15 10:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xacc9ca…
08-15 10:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xed763c…
08-15 10:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x02f140…
08-15 10:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	162	0¢	$0	0x944957…
08-15 10:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x9d9657…
08-15 10:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9690d9…
08-15 10:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x909147…
08-15 10:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe35404…
08-15 10:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x369d53…
08-15 10:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x459483…
08-15 10:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x768361…
08-15 10:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xecdb70…
08-15 10:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x724868…
08-15 10:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb19282…
08-15 10:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x33799d…
08-15 10:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xe05bf6…
08-15 10:36:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xaef56b…
08-15 10:35:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc99254…
08-15 10:35:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xc7169c…
08-15 10:35:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x2a6b25…
08-15 10:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x425013…
08-15 10:35:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x20cd28…
08-15 10:34:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe29180…
08-15 10:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x64de77…
08-15 10:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf481a8…
08-15 10:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x075500…
08-15 10:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x666af0…
08-15 10:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe974b5…
08-15 10:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or below on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xcf63f2…
08-15 10:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xa33e5f…
08-15 10:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc58353…
08-15 02:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xfe49e0…
08-15 02:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xaf0fd4…
08-15 02:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4d4545…
08-15 02:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x28d8ad…
08-14 17:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xcdaa85…
08-14 17:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc19c4f…
08-14 14:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xe49478…
08-14 13:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc151d5…
08-14 12:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x638842…
08-14 12:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x399691…
08-14 12:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xafe94c…
08-14 11:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe591dd…
08-14 08:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xce943c…
08-14 07:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf6f070…
08-14 07:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4b856b…
08-14 07:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1b3ac4…
08-14 07:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xff4eb3…
08-14 06:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x372b85…
08-14 06:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf328fa…
08-14 06:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd2940e…