Sturdy-Nestling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$64.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-04 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	6	$915	487	486	+1	open	—	04-07 14:59
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	6	$869	447	446	+1	open	—	04-14 09:45
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	6	$867	523	516	+7	open	—	04-14 16:14
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	3	$848	430	430	+1	open	—	04-11 15:21
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	4	$815	419	419	+0	open	—	04-03 15:59
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	4	$785	402	402	+1	open	—	04-15 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	2	$783	397	397	+0	open	—	03-17 16:20
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	2	$765	388	388	+1	open	—	04-09 10:18
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$756	387	387	+0	open	—	03-17 12:05
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	2	$743	373	373	+0	open	—	03-09 18:10
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	3	$742	376	376	+0	open	—	03-11 16:26
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	5	$696	355	355	+0	open	—	03-18 10:13
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	4	$676	360	359	+1	open	—	04-14 14:26
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	4	$667	336	336	+0	open	—	02-13 17:36
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 190 214	2	$664	335	335	+0	open	—	03-11 10:24
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 bar	4	$664	337	337	+0	open	—	02-22 18:24
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	2	$661	334	334	+0	open	—	04-18 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	2	$653	333	333	+0	open	—	03-27 14:32
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	2	$642	322	322	+0	open	—	02-25 16:21
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	2	$633	320	320	+0	open	—	03-28 15:23
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	3	$625	322	321	+1	open	—	04-10 16:42
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	2	$624	315	315	+0	open	—	03-28 10:13
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	2	$607	308	308	+0	open	—	03-01 12:10
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	2	$605	306	306	+0	open	—	03-04 16:33
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	2	$605	306	306	+0	open	—	03-06 10:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	2	$605	303	303	+0	open	—	03-10 15:11
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	2	$602	304	304	+0	open	—	02-25 15:01
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	2	$596	301	301	+0	open	—	02-28 15:07
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	2	$581	301	301	+0	open	—	07-04 00:50
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	4	$578	304	304	+1	open	—	04-14 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:50:50	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x586cef…
06-30 17:18:23	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	301	93¢	$280	0xd78a56…
06-30 17:10:16	will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x73c5c4…
06-23 17:27:26	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5f4b0a…
06-23 17:27:08	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3e7928…
06-23 15:17:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x40b7bb…
05-11 17:36:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x6d4cfc…
05-09 13:58:55	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7882f7…
05-05 16:21:42	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xa9cc2a…
04-28 00:10:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x1adf53…
04-28 00:09:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xa11dd4…
04-27 10:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	118	91¢	$107	0xe072c3…
04-27 10:19:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x132ca7…
04-26 13:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0xc8e42a…
04-26 13:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$102	0xa6e364…
04-25 17:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8de568…
04-25 17:19:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	106	90¢	$95	0x25dd74…
04-25 17:14:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x8d2eb6…
04-25 02:18:20	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	198	60¢	$119	0x190d70…
04-25 02:17:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x8d51f3…
04-24 16:08:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5fd609…
04-24 15:43:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	150	60¢	$89	0x8fe016…
04-24 15:42:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0x0e601c…
04-24 14:23:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	292	64¢	$187	0x1876ec…
04-24 14:22:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	SELL	186	99¢	$185	0x27e08e…
04-24 10:01:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0x011b3d…
04-24 10:01:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xf3fa1d…
04-23 18:37:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5d944f…
04-23 10:18:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	SELL	179	97¢	$174	0x7004c5…
04-22 23:18:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	93	91¢	$84	0xfb89b5…
04-22 23:18:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	179	95¢	$170	0x3a4ec6…
04-22 23:15:16	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x3d38f6…
04-22 11:56:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0x78754d…
04-22 10:15:32	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x87a156…
04-22 10:14:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	No	SELL	269	74¢	$199	0xebddc1…
04-22 01:27:14	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x601d96…
04-22 01:26:26	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	No	BUY	269	97¢	$260	0x7546a5…
04-22 01:25:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x96c3e6…
04-21 17:21:00	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	No	BUY	271	98¢	$266	0x5f2db3…
04-21 17:20:36	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7e12a6…
04-21 17:19:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xc5766b…
04-21 17:19:44	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0xd573b8…
04-21 10:30:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	231	96¢	$222	0x218bbd…
04-21 10:29:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	SELL	223	99¢	$222	0x4b3fb6…
04-19 20:19:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	BUY	224	92¢	$206	0x0478a2…
04-19 20:18:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	SELL	209	98¢	$206	0x8b7e00…
04-19 12:54:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	210	98¢	$205	0x7cb34c…
04-19 12:53:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	SELL	206	99¢	$205	0x88a742…
04-18 15:55:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x0c5c07…
04-18 15:54:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x51ad66…
04-18 15:52:40	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	No	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0x629a8d…
04-17 16:24:24	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	No	BUY	334	98¢	$328	0xf1ecb1…
04-17 16:09:28	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xbc6e34…
04-17 16:09:24	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x0000aa…
04-17 12:52:12	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x7529de…
04-17 00:55:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3fc05a…
04-17 00:54:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x05336a…
04-17 00:53:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x9c890b…
04-15 21:32:26	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0x443d3f…
04-15 21:30:46	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x8f1e55…
04-15 17:57:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xdc312d…
04-15 17:57:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xaa50fa…
04-15 15:45:02	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x4a6b22…
04-15 15:44:14	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0x921dc7…
04-15 10:05:44	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0x2ec07b…
04-15 10:05:18	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	Yes	SELL	59	57¢	$34	0x150dc1…
04-15 10:05:06	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	No	SELL	122	59¢	$72	0xb30b0c…
04-15 10:05:00	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x4a967a…
04-14 20:30:10	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xefb8e1…
04-14 20:25:16	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x208be4…
04-14 20:24:58	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	SELL	68	79¢	$54	0x59aa80…
04-14 20:21:32	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	No	BUY	124	75¢	$93	0x538b83…
04-14 20:20:12	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x02258d…
04-14 20:19:48	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	SELL	138	96¢	$133	0x47d5d0…
04-14 16:21:01	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0xe2f8cf…
04-14 16:20:47	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	No	BUY	139	94¢	$130	0xab7b74…
04-14 16:17:45	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe0fee2…
04-14 16:14:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x8a13a2…
04-14 14:27:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	BUY	277	55¢	$153	0xfae3f5…
04-14 14:26:31	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0x880e67…
04-14 12:14:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	BUY	155	93¢	$144	0x4a198b…
04-14 12:14:03	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x641ebe…
04-14 11:50:25	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xb448b2…
04-14 09:46:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	141	98¢	$139	0xfcb54d…
04-14 09:45:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x1fc9c8…
04-14 01:58:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x8edc93…
04-14 01:57:35	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0ece5f…
04-14 01:57:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0xa19b10…
04-14 01:55:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0xed010b…
04-14 01:54:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	SELL	162	90¢	$147	0x957968…
04-13 17:41:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	163	94¢	$153	0xc80a41…
04-13 17:40:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0x7a5497…
04-13 15:38:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xe024c8…
04-13 10:29:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x898209…
04-13 02:15:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	219	96¢	$210	0x763adc…
04-13 02:14:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x510285…
04-12 21:04:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	BUY	151	98¢	$147	0x336562…
04-12 21:02:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x472860…
04-12 21:01:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0xffe5f4…
04-12 19:25:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	212	84¢	$178	0xbac4ec…