Afraid-Serval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$486

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

952

lifetime

Volume

$472.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$497

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-01 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$268

Crypto

30% 100% +$143

Sports

15% 100% +$73

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+12	$9	98¢	$12	+$3	09-01 05:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+5	$4	8¢	$0	-$4	06-25 08:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 12 10am et	83	$51.6K	51,644	+51,644	Down	+$52	02-12 16:04
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12 game2	76	$43.5K	43,541	+43,541	BNK FEARX	+$44	02-12 10:11
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	53	$36.0K	35,998	+35,998	Down	+$36	02-11 15:07
lol gz cfo 2026 02 13 game2	49	$35.6K	35,603	+35,603	Ground Zero Gaming	+$36	02-13 08:17
nba mil okc 2026 02 12	26	$23.2K	23,193	+23,193	Bucks	+$23	02-13 04:49
dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	30	$22.6K	22,600	+22,600	Team Liquid	+$23	02-13 16:05
lol gz cfo 2026 02 13 game1	37	$19.0K	19,015	+19,015	Ground Zero Gaming	+$19	02-13 08:00
lol dk drx 2026 02 13	2	$16.4K	16,388	+16,388	Dplus KIA	+$16	02-13 12:55
lol dk drx 2026 02 13 game4	8	$16.3K	16,301	+16,301	Dplus KIA	+$16	02-13 12:31
cbb iowa mary 2026 02 11	22	$15.3K	15,289	+15,289	Maryland Terrapins	+$15	02-12 02:30
val ns1 rrq1 2026 02 13	1	$14.7K	14,666	+14,666	Nongshim RedForce	+$15	02-13 14:02
lol dk drx 2026 02 13 game3	6	$12.1K	12,141	+12,141	DRX	+$12	02-13 12:33
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	23	$11.6K	11,563	+11,563	Up	+$12	02-13 16:14
lol gam shg 2026 02 12 game2	44	$11.5K	11,526	+11,526	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	+$12	02-12 09:46
bitcoin up or down february 11 8pm et	8	$10.0K	10,000	+10,000	Up	+$10	02-12 02:05
nba dal lal 2026 02 12 total 236pt5	1	$10.0K	10,000	+10,000	Under	+$10	02-13 05:51
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	2	$9.6K	9,647	+9,647	Spurs	+$10	02-12 05:42
cbb ala miss 2026 02 11	2	$7.6K	7,650	+7,650	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$8	02-12 02:42
ethereum up or down february 12 10am et	2	$7.6K	7,622	+7,622	Down	+$8	02-12 16:02
nba mem den 2026 02 11 total 236pt5	14	$6.7K	6,663	+6,663	Over	+$7	02-12 06:49
ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	14	$6.3K	6,271	+6,271	Up	+$6	02-13 17:04
cbb uconn butl 2026 02 11	1	$6.0K	6,051	+6,051	Connecticut Huskies	+$6	02-12 02:39
bitcoin up or down february 12 5am et	26	$5.9K	5,900	+5,900	Up	+$6	02-12 11:35
nba atl cha 2026 02 11 spread home 5pt5	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Hawks	+$5	02-12 02:44
nba mem den 2026 02 11 spread home 14pt5	17	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	Grizzlies	+$5	02-12 05:08
cbb mich nw 2026 02 11	17	$4.7K	4,698	+4,698	Michigan Wolverines	+$5	02-12 05:36
arg aaj riv 2026 02 12 aaj	12	$4.6K	4,625	+4,625	Yes	+$5	02-13 03:52
cbb cah syra 2026 02 11	6	$4.6K	4,555	+4,555	Syracuse Orange	+$5	02-12 02:52
cbb colg holy 2026 02 11	13	$4.5K	4,529	+4,529	Colgate Raiders	+$5	02-12 02:04
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11 total 216pt5	7	$4.1K	4,135	+4,135	Over	+$4	02-12 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 05:51:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x33ec77…
08-28 05:54:16	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xda4f4f…
08-28 05:53:28	will xauusd reach 4900 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd69d7e…
08-28 05:53:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xd3f467…
08-12 01:44:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xbf1c45…
07-30 04:14:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x5c6c80…
06-25 08:34:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x85a22e…
06-25 08:34:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa163ee…
06-07 13:12:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x928416…
06-06 20:25:33	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xb87626…
06-06 05:50:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa744ac…
06-06 05:50:31	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x10f9c0…
06-06 05:50:24	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xea886a…
06-06 05:50:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8555af…
05-21 12:29:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeff7e6…
05-21 12:28:59	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x599a07…
05-21 12:28:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x58f97a…
05-21 12:28:19	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x81b188…
04-27 08:29:18	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x546eab…
04-27 08:06:34	Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe6adf8…
04-27 03:47:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x057504…
04-27 03:46:42	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6b111b…
04-27 03:43:40	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x604c89…
04-26 12:18:14	Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1f7564…
04-18 00:09:54	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc83f46…
04-17 14:50:40	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98e7a9…
04-15 12:16:12	will g2 win iem rio 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c8eb9…
04-15 10:59:02	will g2 win iem rio 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x97a954…
04-15 10:46:34	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc17afe…
04-15 10:42:30	will g2 win iem rio 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1625ad…
03-26 10:52:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x2117f3…
03-23 03:42:59	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xd6189b…
03-22 08:36:09	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x6b2879…
03-22 08:35:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x8af99f…
03-22 08:35:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x379379…
03-22 08:35:07	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6a240f…
03-16 13:25:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x019ffa…
02-21 07:49:30	Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd7db15…
02-14 02:24:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x876ee2…
02-14 02:23:19	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	408	100¢	$406	0x4b8e29…
02-13 17:04:05	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x41dc35…
02-13 16:41:29	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x586abd…
02-13 16:20:05	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3a26cf…
02-13 16:17:19	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x5d9eda…
02-13 16:16:15	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa25bd3…
02-13 16:14:35	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16d178…
02-13 16:14:07	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xfea30c…
02-13 16:12:53	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x25aa9f…
02-13 16:10:09	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6df13b…
02-13 16:10:09	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x25c5bf…
02-13 16:10:05	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd90db0…
02-13 16:09:29	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04777d…
02-13 16:05:31	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xc6c3b6…
02-13 16:05:21	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f5b66…
02-13 16:04:11	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	5,617	100¢	$5,612	0x4711fe…
02-13 16:03:45	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf6cf5…
02-13 16:03:31	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xae747e…
02-13 16:03:21	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xdcae1a…
02-13 16:01:31	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x10f4bb…
02-13 16:01:27	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x313e0e…
02-13 16:01:09	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc0a12…
02-13 16:01:05	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xe8ce79…
02-13 16:01:05	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf8714…
02-13 16:01:05	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0x50a0a4…
02-13 16:01:05	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	860	100¢	$859	0x0bfb23…
02-13 16:00:41	ethereum up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x92212b…
02-13 16:00:33	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x7661b3…
02-13 16:00:29	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa64715…
02-13 16:00:27	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed3e46…
02-13 16:00:27	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0x23a5fc…
02-13 16:00:13	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f617b…
02-13 16:00:09	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x70c25d…
02-13 16:00:07	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5598c0…
02-13 16:00:05	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09a621…
02-13 15:59:41	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3ac7ab…
02-13 15:58:45	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xdff7ca…
02-13 15:58:35	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7521a8…
02-13 15:58:33	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	6,834	100¢	$6,827	0xa683a2…
02-13 15:58:17	solana up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0x42d6ec…
02-13 15:58:03	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1be1ae…
02-13 15:56:33	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x319c72…
02-13 15:54:25	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xedd6ff…
02-13 15:38:59	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x425123…
02-13 15:38:15	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	2,093	100¢	$2,091	0x6cc206…
02-13 15:17:45	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x3ac4b2…
02-13 15:17:07	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71bff0…
02-13 15:15:25	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x0c263e…
02-13 15:14:53	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0xb5cc69…
02-13 15:14:13	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x9d2126…
02-13 15:14:09	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	617	100¢	$617	0x0bbff5…
02-13 15:13:55	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	2,753	100¢	$2,751	0x515ff1…
02-13 15:13:45	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	1,033	100¢	$1,032	0x180fba…
02-13 15:13:41	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2685a9…
02-13 15:13:17	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6add6…
02-13 15:13:07	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xb88696…
02-13 15:13:07	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	7,758	100¢	$7,750	0x773725…
02-13 15:12:15	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf9a587…
02-13 15:12:01	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x09182a…
02-13 15:11:59	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdaab54…
02-13 15:11:45	dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd9d4b6…