Carefree-Depot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,601

lifetime

Volume

$55.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 83% +$4

Politics

12% — —

Other

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No		-12	$-10	92¢	$-11	$-1	06-21 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 7	2	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	open	—	01-07 16:48
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$2.3K	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	01-07 16:25
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	152	$2.1K	2,483	2,321	+162	open	—	07-13 16:12
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	2	$1.3K	1,349	0	+1,349	open	—	01-06 13:49
btc updown 15m 1767972600	26	$1.3K	0	3,276	-3,276	open	—	01-09 15:39
btc updown 15m 1767807000	33	$1.3K	0	1,592	-1,592	open	—	01-07 17:44
btc updown 15m 1767879000	22	$1.1K	0	2,632	-2,632	open	—	01-08 13:43
btc updown 15m 1767818700	62	$1.1K	0	2,523	-2,523	open	—	01-07 20:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	16	$1.1K	925	919	+6	open	—	07-20 20:52
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-05 13:10
btc updown 15m 1767875400	61	$999	0	3,947	-3,947	open	—	01-08 12:44
btc updown 15m 1767896100	21	$913	0	2,263	-2,263	open	—	01-08 18:28
btc updown 15m 1767970800	17	$847	0	2,787	-2,787	open	—	01-09 15:14
btc updown 15m 1767987900	4	$839	579	1,504	-925	open	—	01-09 19:57
btc updown 15m 1767866400	15	$794	0	1,902	-1,902	open	—	01-08 10:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	6	$790	493	493	+0	open	—	07-20 14:53
btc updown 15m 1767878100	13	$742	0	1,724	-1,724	open	—	01-08 13:25
btc updown 15m 1767809700	12	$732	0	2,793	-2,793	open	—	01-07 18:28
btc updown 15m 1767880800	27	$673	0	1,754	-1,754	open	—	01-08 14:12
btc updown 15m 1769866200	2	$665	334	334	+0	open	—	01-31 13:43
btc updown 15m 1767960000	2	$635	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	01-09 12:13
btc updown 15m 1767438900	30	$531	0	1,061	-1,061	open	—	01-03 11:29
btc updown 15m 1767962700	20	$527	0	1,285	-1,285	open	—	01-09 12:57
btc updown 15m 1767437100	2	$520	0	1,020	-1,020	open	—	01-03 10:58
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by december 31 983	1	$515	0	515	-515	open	—	01-01 07:31
btc updown 15m 1767444300	6	$479	0	483	-483	open	—	01-03 12:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	15	$437	290	300	-10	open	—	06-15 08:31
btc updown 15m 1767975300	16	$417	0	962	-962	open	—	01-09 16:24
btc updown 15m 1767974400	28	$415	0	1,222	-1,222	open	—	01-09 16:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	10	$394	0	788	-788	open	—	07-21 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:27:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	181	50¢	$90	0x3ac114…
07-21 15:52:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	111	50¢	$56	0x4e708a…
07-21 15:51:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0x9ca45b…
07-21 15:51:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0xe60a84…
07-21 15:51:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x72fafe…
07-21 15:50:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x330c39…
07-21 15:49:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	111	50¢	$56	0x589df2…
07-21 15:42:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	45	50¢	$23	0x3a50e0…
07-21 15:39:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x429943…
07-21 15:38:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xa67230…
07-20 20:52:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	485	61¢	$296	0x47452b…
07-20 20:28:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	485	61¢	$296	0x6b217a…
07-20 18:50:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	133	97¢	$128	0x843806…
07-20 18:27:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x2be9f1…
07-20 14:53:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	93	84¢	$78	0xdd612d…
07-20 14:17:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	247	84¢	$207	0xc18edd…
07-20 14:12:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	340	84¢	$286	0x94d561…
07-20 00:42:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0xa37a4f…
07-19 22:57:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x9d0671…
07-19 22:04:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	107	58¢	$62	0xd02cb8…
07-19 21:46:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xece3e6…
07-19 21:24:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	102	58¢	$59	0xe17d82…
07-19 12:55:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	145	72¢	$105	0x1d86d4…
07-19 12:47:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x305097…
07-19 12:37:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	153	71¢	$109	0xe9d33c…
07-19 10:58:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x9a455e…
07-19 10:47:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xfeb83d…
07-19 10:43:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x1d0590…
07-19 06:59:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x6589c3…
07-19 06:28:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	252	53¢	$134	0x537a01…
07-18 23:22:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xdb4148…
07-18 19:59:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd96675…
07-18 19:51:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x4f8dc3…
07-18 19:29:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	98	54¢	$53	0x11662a…
07-18 19:11:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	202	54¢	$109	0x3223fb…
07-18 14:30:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x3e69c5…
07-18 14:18:46	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	109	7¢	$8	0xeac22d…
07-18 14:18:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x215e02…
07-18 14:17:54	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xf1cc0d…
07-18 14:14:28	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x6beafa…
07-18 14:12:15	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	145	15¢	$22	0xdadee3…
07-18 14:11:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x87d7bf…
07-18 07:38:03	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0xde6c61…
07-18 07:36:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa93980…
07-18 07:36:04	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xa368f3…
07-18 07:35:51	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0xa1daa6…
07-18 07:31:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xcbe925…
07-18 07:31:01	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3ce962…
07-17 21:48:58	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0x879604…
07-17 20:07:54	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x6e99dd…
07-17 20:07:54	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x48ce10…
07-17 20:07:54	will drake attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357127	No	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x26f72e…
07-17 10:50:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbce061…
07-17 08:51:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbd0f52…
07-17 08:33:30	will kathy hochul attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357118	No	SELL	96	23¢	$22	0xb11da0…
07-17 08:29:19	will kathy hochul attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357118	No	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0x0a1b2b…
07-17 05:16:16	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0xd6ce58…
07-16 12:45:53	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x937525…
07-16 10:47:07	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa0779e…
07-16 07:55:22	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2b6f67…
07-16 07:37:59	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x533232…
07-16 07:36:29	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc5a674…
07-15 20:57:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x54c364…
07-15 20:44:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xee494b…
07-15 17:40:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x4252c5…
07-15 17:31:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x21c7a4…
07-15 14:31:01	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	43	31¢	$13	0x4b446b…
07-15 14:28:56	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x4a693f…
07-15 14:01:38	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0x3e5767…
07-15 13:21:58	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xcb20b1…
07-14 12:58:50	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	220	15¢	$32	0xb6f6cb…
07-14 12:47:29	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	220	15¢	$33	0x5ed2c7…
07-14 10:54:58	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xa7f611…
07-14 10:00:02	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	SELL	92	10¢	$9	0x176fc3…
07-14 10:00:01	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	SELL	148	10¢	$14	0xc36937…
07-14 09:58:28	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	BUY	240	10¢	$24	0x25ae54…
07-14 09:35:26	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	SELL	230	11¢	$25	0x63f6c9…
07-14 09:31:01	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	BUY	230	12¢	$28	0x13e78d…
07-14 09:11:20	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x8ffce3…
07-13 22:58:16	xrp updown 15m 1783982700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa8a62…
07-13 22:57:49	xrp updown 15m 1783982700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe24269…
07-13 22:57:34	xrp updown 15m 1783982700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x165442…
07-13 16:12:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	75	35¢	$26	0xa4b8c1…
07-13 16:11:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	75	38¢	$28	0x9fbc87…
07-13 15:25:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xf6d8a2…
07-13 15:24:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x571505…
07-13 12:18:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x74042b…
07-13 12:18:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc1d3c8…
07-13 12:18:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x1a24e6…
07-13 12:13:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0xd93bce…
07-13 12:08:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0xd878fb…
07-13 12:07:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x07469d…
07-13 11:54:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	80	49¢	$40	0x553312…
07-13 10:48:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	114	43¢	$49	0x8ee2f7…
07-13 10:44:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xebff8b…
07-13 10:44:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x6ff912…
07-13 10:43:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0xd29380…
07-13 10:24:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6d98e4…
07-13 08:14:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa64bc2…
07-13 08:11:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x61841b…