Carefree-Depot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,928

lifetime

Volume

$69.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 83% +$4

Other

18% — —

Politics

17% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	26	$3.2K	2,076	2,076	+0	open	—	07-24 17:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	38	$2.6K	2,553	2,426	+128	open	—	07-27 21:21
bitcoin above 90k on january 7	2	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	open	—	01-07 16:48
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$2.3K	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	01-07 16:25
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	152	$2.1K	2,483	2,321	+162	open	—	07-13 16:12
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	2	$1.3K	1,349	0	+1,349	open	—	01-06 13:49
btc updown 15m 1767972600	26	$1.3K	0	3,276	-3,276	open	—	01-09 15:39
cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	15	$1.3K	1,423	1,423	+0	open	—	07-27 18:54
btc updown 15m 1767807000	33	$1.3K	0	1,592	-1,592	open	—	01-07 17:44
btc updown 15m 1767879000	22	$1.1K	0	2,632	-2,632	open	—	01-08 13:43
btc updown 15m 1767818700	62	$1.1K	0	2,523	-2,523	open	—	01-07 20:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-05 13:10
btc updown 15m 1767875400	61	$999	0	3,947	-3,947	open	—	01-08 12:44
btc updown 15m 1767896100	21	$913	0	2,263	-2,263	open	—	01-08 18:28
btc updown 15m 1767970800	17	$847	0	2,787	-2,787	open	—	01-09 15:14
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	37	$839	1,464	1,464	+0	open	—	07-22 17:16
btc updown 15m 1767987900	4	$839	579	1,504	-925	open	—	01-09 19:57
btc updown 15m 1767866400	15	$794	0	1,902	-1,902	open	—	01-08 10:13
btc updown 15m 1767878100	13	$742	0	1,724	-1,724	open	—	01-08 13:25
btc updown 15m 1767809700	12	$732	0	2,793	-2,793	open	—	01-07 18:28
btc updown 15m 1767880800	27	$673	0	1,754	-1,754	open	—	01-08 14:12
btc updown 15m 1769866200	2	$665	334	334	+0	open	—	01-31 13:43
btc updown 15m 1767960000	2	$635	0	1,500	-1,500	open	—	01-09 12:13
cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	4	$625	316	316	+0	open	—	07-26 16:19
atp onclin gentzsc 2026 07 24	17	$537	325	325	+0	open	—	07-24 11:36
btc updown 15m 1767438900	30	$531	0	1,061	-1,061	open	—	01-03 11:29
btc updown 15m 1767962700	20	$527	0	1,285	-1,285	open	—	01-09 12:57
btc updown 15m 1767437100	2	$520	0	1,020	-1,020	open	—	01-03 10:58
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by december 31 983	1	$515	0	515	-515	open	—	01-01 07:31
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	10	$501	342	342	+0	open	—	07-31 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 17:58:07	btc updown 15m 1786470300	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24c7ce…
08-11 17:58:01	btc updown 15m 1786470300	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0249c0…
08-11 17:57:58	btc updown 15m 1786470300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71f977…
08-11 17:57:54	btc updown 15m 1786470300	Up	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xb3ac20…
08-11 15:43:04	sol updown 15m 1786462200	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x545e20…
08-11 15:40:00	sol updown 15m 1786462200	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x2d4a8a…
08-10 21:25:48	btc updown 15m 1786396500	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x71ad40…
08-10 21:25:25	btc updown 15m 1786396500	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbee629…
08-10 07:56:54	sol updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xde29eb…
08-10 07:54:34	eth updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf3bbd7…
08-10 07:28:01	btc updown 15m 1786346100	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3a128a…
08-10 07:26:42	btc updown 15m 1786346100	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8303de…
08-09 19:29:21	doge updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x17dfc1…
08-09 10:29:09	btc updown 15m 1786270500	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x7a1095…
08-09 10:27:45	btc updown 15m 1786270500	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x578fe6…
08-09 10:25:40	btc updown 15m 1786270500	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x98d027…
08-09 09:43:54	btc updown 15m 1786267800	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xa23b1c…
08-09 09:14:42	btc updown 15m 1786266000	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe21639…
08-09 08:57:54	btc updown 15m 1786265100	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe3d6d2…
08-09 05:52:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x2f8488…
08-08 19:29:22	btc updown 15m 1786216500	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x15150b…
08-08 19:28:45	btc updown 15m 1786216500	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xfc03e5…
08-08 19:28:15	btc updown 15m 1786216500	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x78931f…
08-08 15:37:40	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	SELL	102	85¢	$87	0xf4b409…
08-08 12:00:48	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x43b736…
08-08 06:44:13	btc updown 15m 1786170600	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xcdb8b8…
08-08 06:13:21	btc updown 15m 1786168800	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x0b1c02…
08-08 06:11:07	btc updown 15m 1786168800	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x3d1d30…
08-08 06:10:40	btc updown 15m 1786168800	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x89c079…
08-07 17:49:24	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd705fc…
08-07 17:11:52	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x9cdcf7…
08-05 18:49:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd867c3…
08-04 18:23:44	btc updown 15m 1785867300	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xfe7c67…
08-04 18:21:47	btc updown 15m 1785867300	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x05671e…
08-04 13:59:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x6e6433…
08-04 13:41:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xc93d74…
08-04 13:17:18	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xbbee5e…
08-04 13:13:33	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x7bb435…
08-04 08:26:14	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x5f4c00…
08-04 08:20:12	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xcedb43…
08-04 08:20:12	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa71820…
08-04 08:20:08	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x1c5ce7…
08-04 06:51:33	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x539835…
08-04 06:44:24	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xe11f1f…
07-31 21:45:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	114	74¢	$84	0xf7fd3b…
07-31 19:20:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	114	74¢	$84	0x836b9e…
07-31 19:10:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	114	74¢	$84	0xbd5205…
07-31 18:32:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0x04a0e7…
07-31 18:31:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0x7f696c…
07-31 18:29:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8b3d91…
07-31 18:17:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	114	73¢	$83	0x5507e8…
07-31 17:57:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	45	72¢	$33	0x5caf84…
07-31 17:54:26	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x3a015a…
07-31 17:48:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xaf6f4c…
07-28 18:06:50	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	No	SELL	82	70¢	$58	0xfa6dd4…
07-28 17:54:04	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	No	SELL	247	68¢	$168	0xd3628d…
07-28 17:36:17	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	No	BUY	330	70¢	$231	0x05f0e3…
07-27 21:21:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x935b51…
07-27 19:45:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x9236de…
07-27 19:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x2d6d18…
07-27 19:29:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0xe5f299…
07-27 19:29:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x3be2ed…
07-27 18:54:37	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	526	41¢	$216	0x64815a…
07-27 18:53:27	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	526	41¢	$216	0xb453ff…
07-27 18:53:06	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Bebop	SELL	390	57¢	$222	0x1c33ce…
07-27 18:51:40	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Bebop	BUY	390	57¢	$222	0x800b9f…
07-27 18:50:21	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	SELL	79	23¢	$18	0x20ef90…
07-27 18:48:24	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xefc52a…
07-27 18:48:00	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x5f0780…
07-27 18:43:01	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	230	41¢	$94	0xae1b5e…
07-27 18:42:48	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xc7c431…
07-27 18:41:51	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	120	41¢	$49	0x995af2…
07-27 18:41:48	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0xfb0138…
07-27 18:41:45	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x0e40a1…
07-27 18:41:39	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xdc69e8…
07-27 18:41:39	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x5a4e22…
07-27 18:41:39	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x0c8caf…
07-27 18:41:37	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xe1bfa3…
07-27 18:41:37	cs2 bbp fal 2026 07 27	Falcons Force	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x02b44a…
07-27 18:04:31	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x36ba27…
07-27 18:04:07	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xaaf241…
07-27 18:04:07	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x4f433a…
07-27 18:04:06	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe0e6e1…
07-27 18:04:06	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x7bc8b6…
07-27 18:04:06	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x76d877…
07-27 18:04:04	will trump say usmca or nafta during michigan remarks 20260725221627587	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x114268…
07-27 09:23:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4800bb…
07-27 09:23:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x56a567…
07-26 16:19:27	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	TheMongolz	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0xf41020…
07-26 16:18:46	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	TheMongolz	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc101c6…
07-26 16:18:39	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	TheMongolz	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6dfd49…
07-26 16:18:16	cs2 wc1 mglz 2026 07 26	TheMongolz	BUY	316	99¢	$313	0xdfeba9…
07-26 13:46:51	cs2 btf sawy 2026 07 26	Butterfly	SELL	149	63¢	$94	0xed6a39…
07-26 13:46:36	cs2 btf sawy 2026 07 26	Butterfly	BUY	149	63¢	$94	0x0e76fd…
07-26 11:14:42	cs2 sparta benche 2026 07 26	SPARTA	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x0518f6…
07-26 11:14:07	cs2 sparta benche 2026 07 26	SPARTA	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x7ade34…
07-26 09:58:18	cs2 sparta benche 2026 07 26	SPARTA	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0xd5eaac…
07-26 09:58:09	cs2 sparta benche 2026 07 26	SPARTA	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0x4011be…
07-26 07:46:42	val rc qtd 2026 07 26	REJECT	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xac160f…
07-26 07:06:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	237	61¢	$144	0xf08f4f…