Perfumed-Meringue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

22.3%

Resolved

190

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$85

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-02 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

51% 15% -$61

Politics

34% 10% -$99

Tech

7% 20% -$30

Sports

5% 50% -$3

Crypto

2% 75% -$51

Pop-Culture

1% 25% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+50	$39	88¢	$44	+$5	07-01 00:53
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	+40	$20	88¢	$35	+$15	08-02 02:06
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	+50	$26	12¢	$6	-$20	06-27 00:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	27	$397	428	428	+0	No	+$0	06-20 06:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$263	200	200	+0	No	-$1	05-13 22:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	05-08 03:16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	2	$235	500	500	+0	Gen.G	-$5	04-26 06:36
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	3	$230	500	1,000	-500	Deep Cross Gaming	+$70	05-10 03:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	13	$221	210	210	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 00:47
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	7	$217	294	294	+0	Up	+$4	03-11 10:09
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$195	314	314	+0	T1	+$0	05-10 01:58
Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)	8	$190	500	500	+0	Kocaelispor	+$50	04-26 12:46
wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	5	$176	200	200	+0	Under	+$0	07-25 03:45
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	13	$172	150	150	+0	No	-$10	06-18 21:59
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	7	$172	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	06-28 09:17
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	8	$172	150	150	+0	No	-$6	06-28 01:40
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$162	200	200	+0	No	-$2	05-16 05:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	4	$149	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 20:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$145	100	100	+0	No	-$3	04-28 09:41
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	6	$143	150	150	+0	Up	-$3	06-25 03:10
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	6	$139	150	150	+0	No	+$2	06-19 16:27
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	4	$137	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	06-14 22:30
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	7	$131	150	150	+0	No	-$9	06-20 09:25
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$126	150	50	+100	open	—	07-01 00:53
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	4	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	06-14 14:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	9	$121	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	07-25 04:21
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$118	150	150	+0	No	-$4	06-18 08:44
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	7	$117	118	118	+0	No	-$5	06-14 13:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	6	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 15:22
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	4	$115	100	100	+0	No	-$12	06-18 21:59
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	4	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 16:12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$113	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-11 01:39
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$113	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	07-20 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 02:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1b1d3e…
08-02 02:06:33	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x818458…
08-02 02:06:29	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x88cc23…
08-01 03:05:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xf32bcd…
08-01 03:05:39	Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x0c0b79…
08-01 03:05:33	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8c27fd…
08-01 01:49:33	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7d3f16…
08-01 01:04:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xfcc7e5…
08-01 00:47:09	Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x85c83b…
07-31 08:20:29	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x8e531a…
07-31 06:42:56	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf08c3c…
07-31 04:44:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x10bebe…
07-31 04:44:20	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd4cc4b…
07-31 04:36:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xb9221f…
07-31 02:56:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8e57b5…
07-30 09:01:35	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x6180eb…
07-30 07:59:39	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x74e9ee…
07-30 04:50:36	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x6fa95c…
07-30 04:50:23	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb6c413…
07-30 02:52:17	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0xf4dba3…
07-30 02:52:09	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x7978ff…
07-30 00:52:54	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x9091ab…
07-30 00:52:47	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x7211a2…
07-30 00:42:59	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x4ca591…
07-28 05:45:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0xa9dd2d…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x020619…
07-28 05:44:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xecaa3a…
07-28 05:20:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x600735…
07-28 05:20:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0xf109f4…
07-28 05:20:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcba394…
07-28 03:34:51	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x237594…
07-28 02:29:36	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x8d4e7d…
07-28 02:29:34	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x410da4…
07-28 01:27:21	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x56a3d0…
07-28 01:20:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x7e40c4…
07-28 01:20:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xdbd282…
07-28 01:19:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x953da5…
07-28 01:19:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x05c31d…
07-28 01:03:40	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8673b3…
07-27 23:52:19	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb81de4…
07-27 23:52:07	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xf88b1a…
07-27 08:36:18	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x4ed6ef…
07-27 08:35:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xc4db7e…
07-27 08:34:30	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xbe3eec…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 06:58:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc688b3…
07-27 06:53:54	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xc1752e…
07-27 05:25:45	Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x4f9309…
07-27 05:25:40	Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x14a9f9…
07-27 04:28:28	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xb24446…
07-27 04:10:34	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xc6ba06…
07-27 00:13:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x7fa141…
07-26 09:24:12	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xdb19cb…
07-26 09:24:00	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x0817fb…
07-26 08:10:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xff648e…
07-26 08:10:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x09224b…
07-26 08:01:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xe10b95…
07-26 06:02:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x8312cd…
07-26 06:02:16	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x67697f…
07-26 05:20:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x49e746…
07-26 03:15:52	will there be 20260723192532702	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x202a33…
07-26 02:48:39	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x00da89…
07-26 01:10:12	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xe8b4e9…
07-26 01:10:12	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x46d440…
07-25 07:31:12	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xbac518…
07-25 07:31:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xc18f07…
07-25 07:30:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x790fcc…
07-25 07:25:27	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xe9d9c8…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:36:12	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x53d959…
07-25 05:36:09	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x5ce414…
07-25 05:36:07	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbbef39…
07-25 05:24:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x8e1e42…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…
07-25 04:21:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	32	21¢	$7	0xb653f1…
07-25 03:45:01	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	33	44¢	$14	0xbadf22…
07-25 03:45:01	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	67	43¢	$29	0x6f5487…
07-25 03:44:58	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x6369c0…
07-25 03:21:09	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x83d060…
07-25 03:15:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x427d97…
07-25 03:15:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9d1c60…
07-25 03:13:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x4e7547…
07-25 03:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x827888…
07-25 03:07:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xad5f70…
07-25 01:38:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x86b3b8…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x54bab6…
07-25 00:39:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0xa5fefd…
07-25 00:37:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xd347b1…
07-25 00:37:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x8bc914…
07-23 15:34:24	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0xe2fd55…
07-23 15:16:24	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x2fcd70…
07-22 04:09:30	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4f5c12…
07-22 01:07:16	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x7284bd…
07-21 03:51:57	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0xde3cac…
07-21 03:50:16	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0x5dbce9…
07-21 03:09:09	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x3d66c0…
07-21 02:38:00	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x3babb7…
07-21 02:15:52	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x18b8eb…