Mysterious-Plowman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

1,412

Trades

1,478

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

84% 93% -$11

Politics

9% 94% +$3

Sports

6% 95% +$1

Crypto

1% 90% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	09-07 22:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	-4	-$4	100¢	$-4	$0	09-29 23:17
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	09-27 22:54
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+2	$2	85¢	$1	$0	10-06 01:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	10-26 23:54
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	10-25 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-02 22:07
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-02 22:07
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-11 21:55
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 5%?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-10 21:53
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-29 02:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-28 21:51
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-29 02:35
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $110M and $130M at market close on IPO day?	2	$9	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-31 20:48
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by more than 50%?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-10 21:52
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	2	$9	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 22:31
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	2	$9	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-02 20:53
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-13 21:03
Will Safepoint's market cap be less than $900M at market close on IPO day?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-24 20:56
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 22:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-17 21:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-16 22:07
spl fay ahl 2026 04 07 spread home 1pt5	2	$8	4	4	+0	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$0	04-08 20:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 21:54
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-23 20:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 16 be between 2400000 and 2500000	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	01-20 20:40
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 16 be greater than 2500000	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	01-20 20:40
spl hil kho 2026 04 07 total 1pt5	2	$7	4	4	+0	Over	+$0	04-08 20:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	2	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	08-26 22:36
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 21:15
Exact Score: Manta FC 0 - 0 Orense SC?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-21 22:57
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	02-08 20:19
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 8?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-08 22:19
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-08 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:41:48	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92145f…
10-27 23:41:47	Spread: Goiás EC (-2.5)	Ceará SC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe574d9…
10-27 23:41:47	Spread: Flyers (-1.5)	Blue Jackets	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5fc1bc…
10-26 23:54:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbc71e…
10-26 23:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x752d1d…
10-26 23:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82a8e6…
10-26 23:54:21	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 3 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ae838…
10-26 23:54:20	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69d255…
10-26 23:54:18	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x976ee2…
10-26 23:54:18	Exact Score: Jaguares de Córdoba FC 2 - 2 Llaneros FC?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34fa5e…
10-26 23:54:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5309b3…
10-26 23:54:15	Spread: Llaneros FC (-2.5)	Jaguares de Córdoba FC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26c832…
10-26 23:54:12	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92f138…
10-26 23:54:11	Exact Score: CR Flamengo 5 - 2 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfef7c…
10-26 23:54:11	Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72698d…
10-26 23:54:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c3202…
10-26 23:54:06	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c4b68…
10-26 23:54:06	CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f81e0…
10-26 23:54:05	Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e617e…
10-25 22:30:32	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe30324…
10-25 22:30:30	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29a3fd…
10-25 22:30:29	Spread: Lakers (-26.5)	Jazz	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x108390…
10-25 22:30:27	Spread: Jazz (-13.5)	Lakers	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xada048…
10-25 22:30:27	Exact Score: SD Aucas 3 - 2 Barcelona SC?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x229403…
10-25 22:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e6ca3…
10-25 22:30:24	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe3ff9…
10-25 22:30:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a7078…
10-25 22:30:24	Portuguesa FC vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x716c19…
10-25 22:30:21	Will Portuguesa FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7aade4…
10-25 22:30:21	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02ae50…
10-25 22:30:20	Spread: Alianza FC (-3.5)	Internacional de Bogotá	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbf3fe…
10-25 22:30:18	Exact Score: SD Aucas 1 - 3 Barcelona SC?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27f727…
10-25 22:30:18	Exact Score: SD Aucas 0 - 3 Barcelona SC?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04c251…
10-25 22:30:15	Spread: Barcelona SC (-2.5)	SD Aucas	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaad123…
10-25 22:30:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7787fa…
10-25 22:30:14	Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf43437…
10-25 22:30:12	Spread: Lakers (-24.5)	Jazz	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d3d15…
10-25 22:30:11	Spread: Jazz (-11.5)	Lakers	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9db36…
10-25 22:30:11	Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03ae4e…
10-25 22:30:09	Spread: Packers (-7.5)	Lions	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x026377…
10-14 23:06:54	CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0dce0…
10-14 23:06:52	col1 cjf dep 2026 08 10 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8bacb7…
10-14 23:06:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea8bba…
10-14 23:06:49	Exact Score: CA Mineiro 2 - 2 Montevideo City Torque?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c46d4…
10-14 23:06:48	col1 cjf dep 2026 08 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdfa9a6…
10-14 23:06:45	CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882ce6…
10-14 23:06:43	Spread: Bogota FC (-1.5)	Real Cundinamarca	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd1e1b7…
10-14 23:06:42	Exact Score: CA Mineiro 4 - 1 Montevideo City Torque?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98b82f…
10-13 23:45:07	Exact Score: Athletic Club 4 - 1 Londrina EC?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x786437…
10-13 23:45:06	nba nyk tor 2026 10 13 1h spread home 5pt5	Raptors	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb5ba1…
10-13 23:45:04	Will CD Tapatio vs. Tepatitlan FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3ec6f2…
10-13 23:45:03	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6af129…
10-13 23:45:01	Exact Score: CA Bucaramanga 3 - 0 Águilas Doradas Rionegro?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd1830…
10-13 23:45:00	Will CD Tapatio win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe14ac2…
10-13 23:44:58	nhl nj det 2026 10 13 spread home 1pt5	Devils	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbefcac…
10-13 23:44:57	Spread: Delaware (-13.5)	Middle Tennessee	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfe3362…
10-13 23:44:55	Spread: Delaware (-14.5)	Middle Tennessee	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc0457f…
10-13 23:44:52	Knicks vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce31fe…
10-11 23:33:11	Exact Score: EC Bahia 3 - 1 Mirassol FC?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x801f6c…
10-11 23:33:09	Exact Score: CD Limache 2 - 1 CD Palestino?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22f3f5…
10-11 23:33:08	Exact Score: CD Limache 1 - 2 CD Palestino?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3d9415…
10-11 23:33:06	Exact Score: CF Pachuca 3 - 1 Club Necaxa?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ef02c…
10-11 23:33:06	Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 1 Club Necaxa?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x39b1e0…
10-11 23:33:03	Exact Score: Atlético San Luis 1 - 2 Club Santos Laguna?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2774a7…
10-11 23:33:02	Exact Score: CD Limache 0 - 2 CD Palestino?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x982383…
10-11 23:33:00	Exact Score: Atlético San Luis 3 - 1 Club Santos Laguna?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x57d55e…
10-11 23:32:57	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4e8b79…
10-11 23:32:57	Exact Score: Racing Club 2 - 1 CA Belgrano?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3046a5…
10-11 23:32:56	Exact Score: Atlético San Luis 2 - 2 Club Santos Laguna?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe1b217…
10-11 23:32:54	Exact Score: Club Ciudad de Bolivar 2 - 0 CA San Telmo?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfe5fcb…
10-11 23:32:53	Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 0 - 1 Cúcuta Deportivo FC?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7b9db3…
10-11 23:32:51	EC Bahia vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd2b44…
10-11 23:32:51	Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a7e2f…
10-11 23:32:50	CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: CF Pachuca O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x564a81…
10-11 23:32:48	CF Pachuca leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x470d0e…
10-11 23:32:47	Escorpiones de Belén leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b3d2d…
10-11 23:32:45	Exact Score: EC Bahia 3 - 0 Mirassol FC?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x03d7e2…
10-11 23:32:44	Will Racing Club win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3d973d…
10-11 23:32:42	St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x04e3f2…
10-11 23:32:41	Will CSD Municipal vs. CD Marquense end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xff618d…
10-09 23:57:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdaaa52…
10-09 23:57:14	Spread: Louisville (-6.5)	Florida State	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x512bba…
10-09 00:18:12	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 3 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8dec45…
10-09 00:18:12	Canucks vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20509a…
10-09 00:18:11	Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)	Atlético Nacional	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35938c…
10-09 00:18:09	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 3 CA Mineiro?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x230a0e…
10-09 00:18:08	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 35.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4a9f6…
10-09 00:18:06	Sam Houston vs. Liberty	Liberty	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf38490…
10-09 00:18:06	Utah vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc32ff3…
10-09 00:18:05	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x913516…
10-09 00:18:03	1H Spread: UTSA (-7.5)	South Florida	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3746b0…
10-09 00:18:02	76ers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bbc4d…
10-09 00:17:54	Spread: UTSA (-20.5)	South Florida	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc092e0…
10-09 00:17:54	Spread: Missouri State (-14.5)	Western Kentucky	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b5120…
10-09 00:17:51	Sam Houston vs. Liberty: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf3887…
10-09 00:17:51	Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d4851…
10-09 00:17:48	Spread: Missouri State (-10.5)	Western Kentucky	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae3fb6…
10-09 00:17:42	South Florida vs. UTSA: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x404b48…
10-09 00:17:41	Spread: Liberty (-5.5)	Liberty	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa9f2f7…
10-09 00:17:39	Spread: UTSA (-16.5)	South Florida	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xccf992…