Verifiable-Lift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

27.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$139

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 28% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down		+12	$5	52¢	$6	+$2	05-12 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up		+12	$5	29¢	$4	$-2	05-12 04:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-10 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-12 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	16	+16	Down	+$10	05-10 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-11 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-11 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	$-5	05-10 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Up	$-5	05-10 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	05-11 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Down	$-5	05-10 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-12 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	$-5	05-10 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-12 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Up	$-5	05-10 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Down	$-5	05-10 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-11 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	$-5	05-10 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-12 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-12 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-12 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	$-5	05-10 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-10 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-11 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-10 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$4	14	+14	Up	$-4	05-10 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf0b6ba…
05-12 04:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xb59b65…
05-12 01:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x94ebc1…
05-12 00:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb35eaf…
05-12 00:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x84f203…
05-12 00:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0c7e52…
05-11 23:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0a4155…
05-11 23:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x28a12c…
05-11 23:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb2459c…
05-11 21:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7ffab4…
05-11 20:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x03eb7f…
05-10 12:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xe1a9dd…
05-10 11:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c998e…
05-10 11:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x0b450d…
05-10 10:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x6d4301…
05-10 08:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x36f0db…
05-10 03:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x37cf88…
05-10 02:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb1e04f…
05-10 02:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeb054d…
05-10 02:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfa7ac3…
05-10 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3a006a…
05-10 02:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0dd5b6…
05-10 02:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4cc31c…
05-10 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6b1d59…
05-10 01:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2cf643…
05-10 01:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf7f0d0…
05-10 00:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x3cd803…
05-09 04:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x48ed48…
05-09 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfc0729…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	29	$13.5K	600	05-12 04:40
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	29	$3.35K	281	05-12 04:40
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	28	$1.32K	235	05-12 04:40
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	28	$1.19K	140	05-12 04:41
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	28	$727	189	05-12 04:40
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$12.6K	284	05-12 04:41
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	27	$2.21K	243	05-12 04:34
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$2.05K	85	05-12 04:40