Unacceptable-Nectarine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$402

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$149

Other

22% 100% +$92

Sports

6% 0% $-403

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$4.8K	4,803	0	+4,803	open	—	01-05 14:41
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$4.4K	4,462	0	+4,462	open	—	02-03 09:07
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$2.2K	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	03-02 15:11
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	3	$1.8K	1,795	0	+1,795	open	—	01-11 06:10
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	04-02 08:50
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	3	$1.6K	2,179	0	+2,179	open	—	04-05 05:21
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	5	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-01 16:32
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$1.1K	1,222	0	+1,222	open	—	01-05 14:44
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	3	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-05 21:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$705	538	538	+0	open	—	02-27 05:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	1	$666	676	0	+676	open	—	03-01 15:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$502	513	0	+513	open	—	05-08 05:57
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$500	549	0	+549	open	—	01-05 14:44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	1	$496	501	0	+501	open	—	04-16 05:49
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$403	1,222	0	+1,222	No	$-403	02-08 21:46
Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	3	$391	444	0	+444	open	—	02-12 17:47
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	1	$333	351	0	+351	open	—	03-01 06:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$277	286	0	+286	open	—	04-03 04:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$222	247	0	+247	open	—	04-02 08:47
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$222	331	0	+331	open	—	02-03 09:16
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	01-05 14:43
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	1	$177	192	0	+192	open	—	04-02 08:54
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	1	$111	131	0	+131	open	—	03-01 06:24
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?	1	$111	116	0	+116	open	—	02-03 09:06
will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	2	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	02-16 03:13
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$104	200	0	+200	open	—	03-02 15:10
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	3	$85	177	0	+177	Yes	+$92	02-06 07:51
will lisandro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$77	91	0	+91	open	—	06-08 08:22
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$77	138	0	+138	open	—	02-27 05:36
sea cre int 2026 02 01 int	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:22:40	will lisandro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	91	85¢	$77	0xcb4e2d…
06-08 08:18:03	will denzel dumfries score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	99	42¢	$42	0x08a49c…
06-08 08:17:39	will marcus thuram score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xfa42ca…
06-08 08:17:10	will rafael leo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	99	48¢	$48	0xcb4a23…
06-08 08:16:30	will hakan alhanolu score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	125	61¢	$76	0x1ba7a3…
06-08 08:14:58	will dsir dou score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0x04252b…
06-08 08:13:40	will son heung min score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	99	69¢	$68	0xdcb0b2…
06-08 08:13:12	will jrmy doku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xdfec49…
06-08 08:12:04	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x2e06af…
06-08 08:11:30	will donyell malen score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0xea2901…
05-08 05:57:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	513	98¢	$502	0xfecc72…
05-07 09:34:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	BUY	171	13¢	$22	0x24dda8…
04-16 05:49:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	501	99¢	$496	0x419630…
04-06 13:49:41	sea juv gen 2026 04 06 spread away 1pt5	Juventus FC	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x454aaf…
04-06 13:49:17	sea juv gen 2026 04 06 spread home 2pt5	Genoa CFC	BUY	59	79¢	$47	0x28b7bd…
04-06 13:48:41	sea juv gen 2026 04 06 gen	No	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x032d20…
04-05 05:21:03	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	139	74¢	$103	0xac0efb…
04-03 04:40:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1,711	72¢	$1,234	0x6625bf…
04-03 04:38:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	286	97¢	$277	0x2a9d6b…
04-02 08:54:51	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	No	BUY	192	92¢	$177	0x151aa1…
04-02 08:50:25	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,702	98¢	$1,666	0xce65aa…
04-02 08:47:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	247	90¢	$222	0xa2bdbf…
03-03 07:00:59	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	298	26¢	$77	0x6f6d1f…
03-03 07:00:47	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x765f9e…
03-02 15:11:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,700	80¢	$2,160	0xda4a37…
03-02 15:10:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xc20d8d…
03-01 16:32:49	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xacfb15…
03-01 16:24:31	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x27e235…
03-01 16:00:51	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0x012eb1…
03-01 15:46:39	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	676	98¢	$666	0x5a1ffa…
03-01 15:41:15	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xce43cb…
03-01 15:38:31	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x97e659…
03-01 06:24:55	Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	131	84¢	$111	0xd44f68…
03-01 06:22:59	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	351	95¢	$333	0x57867e…
02-27 05:36:18	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	138	56¢	$77	0xbf32c3…
02-27 05:35:58	will dr congo qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	108	72¢	$77	0xd972cc…
02-27 05:35:34	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	118	65¢	$77	0xdcd65c…
02-27 05:32:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	538	94¢	$505	0xf6f610…
02-16 21:08:51	Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xde6c56…
02-16 03:13:53	will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	Yes	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0x15670a…
02-13 12:09:21	Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x984acb…
02-12 17:47:41	Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x639ca9…
02-09 03:35:43	will unitree robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	Yes	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x63e2fe…
02-08 21:46:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1,222	33¢	$403	0x855c79…
02-07 13:17:35	Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	425	88¢	$374	0x789253…
02-07 04:47:21	Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$15	0x40dbb8…
02-06 07:51:49	Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	165	48¢	$79	0xa57416…
02-06 05:52:19	Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x90b8a4…
02-05 03:20:31	Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x95389a…
02-03 09:18:14	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	329	68¢	$222	0x9166cf…
02-03 09:16:10	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	331	67¢	$222	0x3b76b3…
02-03 09:07:16	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	4,462	100¢	$4,444	0x994ef7…
02-03 09:06:06	Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x471f1a…
02-01 06:19:56	bun bay hof 2026 02 08 bay	Yes	BUY	99	78¢	$77	0x1bbbcc…
02-01 06:19:26	sea cre int 2026 02 01 int	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2ecec2…
01-11 06:10:04	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0xa442cf…
01-05 21:50:11	will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe37908…
01-05 20:29:47	will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	No	BUY	330	94¢	$310	0x67c09c…
01-05 20:24:41	will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	No	BUY	766	94¢	$720	0x10ae0c…
01-05 14:45:11	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x19425f…
01-05 14:44:29	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	1,222	90¢	$1,100	0x41e068…
01-05 14:44:11	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xbed5f3…
01-05 14:43:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	538	37¢	$200	0xc4de93…
01-05 14:43:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x46bab4…
01-05 14:43:09	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	1,128	98¢	$1,100	0x7ba2d1…
01-05 14:41:05	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	4,803	99¢	$4,777	0x7fd286…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$189.5K	4,084	06-10 02:19
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	31	$2.59K	1,557	05-29 18:15
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	27	$2.63K	606	05-07 06:13
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	24	$19.6K	6,436	04-16 14:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	23	$31.8K	259	05-24 13:38
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	20	$972	114	05-30 12:41
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	19	$59.9K	4,237	05-03 22:20
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	19	$16.2K	1,692	03-29 00:53