Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,001

lifetime

Volume

$6.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 04-06 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

26% 0% $-2

Sports

23% 100% +$6

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$93	61	61	+0	open	—	03-02 15:27
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	02-17 21:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	10	$65	83	83	+0	open	—	03-02 15:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	03-02 15:26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$59	51	51	+0	open	—	02-17 21:17
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	8	$57	111	100	+11	open	—	02-26 08:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$53	35	30	+5	open	—	03-14 03:57
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	11	$53	61	61	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 06:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 13:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-17 21:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$51	35	35	+0	open	—	02-28 07:55
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$49	56	56	+0	open	—	02-18 14:23
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	8	$48	32	27	+5	open	—	03-13 13:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$45	53	53	+0	open	—	02-18 12:18
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	4	$45	26	21	+5	open	—	03-13 13:28
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	6	$44	66	66	-0	open	—	03-04 02:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	6	$43	49	43	+6	open	—	03-13 13:27
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$43	76	76	-0	open	—	03-02 10:40
will trump visit greenland by march 31	3	$41	21	21	-0	open	—	03-02 10:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	03-02 10:40
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$40	117	106	+11	open	—	02-20 15:58
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	5	$38	31	26	+5	open	—	03-02 15:36
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	7	$38	36	36	+0	open	—	03-02 10:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$37	44	22	+21	open	—	02-19 08:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$37	39	39	+0	Yes	$-1	03-02 15:25
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$37	59	46	+14	open	—	02-17 21:18
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$36	40	40	+0	No	+$6	02-17 21:17
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	6	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	03-02 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-06 11:02:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xb613da…
04-01 12:14:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xdf3733…
03-22 15:56:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x24adfc…
03-22 15:47:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x82dc65…
03-21 21:13:31	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe5b650…
03-21 18:08:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x5cbfce…
03-19 00:11:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf83bf6…
03-17 08:23:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9e4adf…
03-16 13:17:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0xda2d5c…
03-16 11:44:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x361d2e…
03-16 10:14:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x38163c…
03-16 04:12:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x62c66f…
03-16 04:00:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x7faa84…
03-16 00:09:09	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x032808…
03-14 08:40:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4ff08d…
03-14 06:44:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x50e521…
03-14 03:57:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0af5e8…
03-14 01:57:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x57141c…
03-14 01:06:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x3ad8b6…
03-13 14:57:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x18d338…
03-13 13:28:21	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8b2f5…
03-13 13:28:19	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe70c2…
03-13 13:28:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x682a57…
03-13 13:28:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x450441…
03-13 13:28:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6fd273…
03-13 13:28:01	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x21774a…
03-13 13:27:57	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x02a642…
03-13 13:27:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xae7fc0…
03-13 13:27:49	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x74358b…
03-13 13:27:47	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x181cc1…
03-13 13:27:45	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x298b34…
03-13 08:06:27	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x2484c5…
03-12 17:38:13	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x768ad8…
03-11 12:45:21	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa079a2…
03-10 13:51:37	bitcoin up or down march 10 9am et	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5de819…
03-10 02:07:27	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcf9c89…
03-09 21:37:59	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xd807f8…
03-09 20:50:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x55d561…
03-09 16:45:11	spx up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x3223b6…
03-09 12:45:47	spx up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x17b907…
03-09 12:30:31	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9c4d92…
03-09 02:50:41	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x877e4e…
03-08 23:52:03	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe32c55…
03-08 23:04:31	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xce8aa1…
03-08 14:42:59	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0c9db7…
03-07 14:07:07	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x1b5d4a…
03-07 08:01:11	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb3b530…
03-07 05:15:43	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x2adb1e…
03-06 16:56:05	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcdc735…
03-06 15:10:37	nflx above 100 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44d946…
03-06 09:39:57	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0c397e…
03-05 21:10:11	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x2dd158…
03-05 14:07:29	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xde7a9d…
03-05 08:36:47	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcd9717…
03-04 23:38:41	will iran strike turkey in march	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9ddab2…
03-04 14:16:43	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x9bada3…
03-04 12:13:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xccfaa9…
03-04 12:13:43	will iran strike turkey in march	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3791f2…
03-04 10:26:07	will the cash initiative or counter proposal be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa402c6…
03-04 03:36:29	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x7ab945…
03-04 03:36:29	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x3e0e08…
03-04 03:24:31	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xa8b628…
03-04 02:36:37	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	No	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0xc470e8…
03-03 19:48:53	nflx up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x818f1d…
03-03 18:11:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xcdd0d2…
03-03 16:57:37	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x3f58b6…
03-03 16:57:31	nflx up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x49fd24…
03-03 16:07:03	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x19bb17…
03-03 13:50:23	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x13b884…
03-03 09:55:55	will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x68f745…
03-03 08:29:15	will a candidate win outright in the texas gop senate primary	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x62a2f9…
03-03 04:27:19	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x0da1a1…
03-03 03:27:55	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1f9413…
03-03 01:51:43	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x5a39d5…
03-03 00:39:15	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x512998…
03-02 23:14:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x452f96…
03-02 21:35:33	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbeb712…
03-02 20:58:35	ndx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xd8dc91…
03-02 20:33:33	ndx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbcc404…
03-02 18:41:39	ethereum up or down march 2 1pm et	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8984e1…
03-02 16:38:41	bitcoin up or down march 2 11am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f18ff…
03-02 16:26:27	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5d2800…
03-02 16:01:39	gc up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x20b8b6…
03-02 15:37:13	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0670df…
03-02 15:37:07	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3ad1b8…
03-02 15:37:01	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe1e429…
03-02 15:36:57	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfbb9b5…
03-02 15:36:47	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x58b212…
03-02 15:36:41	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1b78cf…
03-02 15:36:39	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xecb72b…
03-02 15:36:35	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7e1e4…
03-02 15:36:31	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x76dc89…
03-02 15:36:25	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaf73cc…
03-02 15:27:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x33d4e3…
03-02 15:27:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x65803c…
03-02 15:27:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x89f62d…
03-02 15:27:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x097cc0…
03-02 15:26:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6cfaf7…
03-02 15:26:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcfb51d…
03-02 15:26:41	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xaf8526…