Imaginative-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$262

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-22 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-22 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 02:20
btc updown 5m 1781890200	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-19 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$4	22	0	+22	Down	$-4	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 04:17
btc updown 15m 1781890200	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-19 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-22 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$3	11	0	+11	Down	$-3	05-12 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 05:40
btc updown 15m 1781888400	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-19 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-20 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-23 05:05
btc updown 15m 1781892900	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-19 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-20 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 08:43:14	btc updown 15m 1782117000	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2c9e34…
06-22 08:31:44	btc updown 5m 1782117000	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc99182…
06-22 08:15:25	btc updown 5m 1782116100	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd347cd…
06-22 07:46:53	btc updown 5m 1782114300	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xea668b…
06-22 07:31:28	btc updown 5m 1782113400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x9a551e…
06-22 06:45:23	btc updown 5m 1782110700	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5ae51c…
06-22 06:30:31	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1d224e…
06-22 06:15:34	btc updown 5m 1782108900	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc13e3d…
06-22 06:00:44	btc updown 5m 1782108000	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1697cc…
06-22 05:45:22	btc updown 5m 1782107100	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xcaa7fc…
06-22 05:35:34	btc updown 15m 1782106200	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x3f3a7f…
06-22 05:30:10	btc updown 5m 1782106200	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x92fbd9…
06-22 05:16:52	btc updown 5m 1782105300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x42089f…
06-22 05:05:41	btc updown 15m 1782104400	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9d7c3d…
06-22 05:00:53	btc updown 5m 1782104400	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5436bd…
06-22 04:20:47	btc updown 15m 1782101700	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x88401a…
06-22 04:06:37	btc updown 15m 1782100800	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1e01a8…
06-22 04:04:02	btc updown 5m 1782100800	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4a4ef8…
06-22 03:48:23	btc updown 5m 1782099900	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd47136…
06-20 14:16:44	btc updown 5m 1781964900	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x85cb33…
06-20 14:00:23	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x5eccf4…
06-20 13:46:10	btc updown 5m 1781963100	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x913806…
06-20 13:30:47	btc updown 5m 1781962200	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc24206…
06-20 13:16:10	btc updown 5m 1781961300	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xab3978…
06-20 13:06:05	btc updown 15m 1781960400	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x7daee5…
06-20 12:46:56	btc updown 5m 1781959500	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x4a3ea0…
06-20 12:32:25	btc updown 5m 1781958600	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x81d56a…
06-20 12:20:22	btc updown 15m 1781957700	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5ba17f…
06-20 12:17:23	btc updown 5m 1781957700	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4d66f6…
06-19 18:16:13	btc updown 15m 1781892900	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x503cda…
06-19 17:51:49	btc updown 15m 1781891100	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x456ad8…
06-19 17:31:46	btc updown 15m 1781890200	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2b3bbb…
06-19 17:31:23	btc updown 5m 1781890200	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x92b57b…
06-19 17:15:52	btc updown 5m 1781889300	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8837dc…
06-19 17:00:40	btc updown 15m 1781888400	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xad5258…
06-19 16:50:28	btc updown 15m 1781887500	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe243c1…
06-19 16:35:56	btc updown 15m 1781886600	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xefe2ed…
06-19 16:31:31	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0a124f…
06-19 16:16:22	btc updown 15m 1781885700	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xa9d580…
05-23 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x96f9b7…
05-23 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x931f7d…
05-23 11:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xab7795…
05-23 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3bacf7…
05-23 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xcf64bc…
05-23 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd9d626…
05-23 06:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x69a368…
05-23 06:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x73ac51…
05-23 05:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8cb830…
05-23 05:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x59fd5a…
05-23 04:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4affdb…
05-23 04:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x574a18…
05-23 04:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xbe7e7b…
05-23 04:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x776968…
05-23 04:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf9bd7c…
05-23 02:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xef30ba…
05-23 00:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x904fe8…
05-23 00:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x7febdb…
05-22 17:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x3b3f40…
05-22 16:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa5090a…
05-22 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb95cd8…
05-22 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x13b888…
05-22 15:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x44816a…
05-22 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xec18e8…
05-22 14:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x2f21c4…
05-20 18:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4591fc…
05-20 17:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa822d2…
05-20 17:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb7c8d5…
05-20 07:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xabc5d8…
05-20 06:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x27dd41…
05-20 05:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xddb1fc…
05-20 03:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2d32fb…
05-20 03:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xdae2d6…
05-20 03:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6a5a29…
05-20 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9bb2f4…
05-20 02:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xff6854…
05-20 01:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x26b76f…
05-20 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x18b7dc…
05-20 00:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x46ec30…
05-19 15:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xdf23ed…
05-19 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfa8b3a…
05-19 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc91c09…
05-19 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x936a83…
05-19 13:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0d422e…
05-19 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe066b2…
05-19 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcab65b…
05-19 05:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x68f561…
05-19 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5d8506…
05-19 01:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3f6c7c…
05-18 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x431325…
05-18 05:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xccf98e…
05-18 05:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xd17f8a…
05-17 18:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x71dbd1…
05-16 08:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcfcb87…
05-15 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x97f8cd…
05-15 13:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x543c7f…
05-15 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe6e50c…
05-14 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe9c336…
05-14 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe89ff6…
05-14 11:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb48436…
05-14 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdec249…