Equatorial-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-25 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$184

Other

31% 100% +$2

Sports

22% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$1.0K	800	800	+0	No	+$184	07-25 01:25
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$561	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	-$11	05-26 15:21
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$107	107	0	+107	No	+$0	02-27 09:33
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	02-27 09:34
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	02-27 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 08:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 02:16
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 08:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 09:31
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-17 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 09:33
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 01:25:24	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	800	77¢	$616	0xe4dc9d…
07-20 03:37:18	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0xe5b9be…
07-16 02:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa05a2c…
07-16 02:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8def5…
07-13 09:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7da60…
07-13 09:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cb254…
06-25 08:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f1d74…
06-25 08:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x58597b…
06-25 08:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f7aed…
06-25 08:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x300ebf…
06-25 08:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x598de6…
06-25 08:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c3b5c…
06-25 08:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc05851…
06-25 08:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc4fedc…
06-23 07:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1245a7…
06-23 07:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3e02b…
06-23 07:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc96077…
06-23 07:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b684e…
06-23 07:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb14554…
06-23 07:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5b6dec…
06-23 07:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3267e7…
06-23 07:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xda190d…
06-17 02:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4480fa…
06-17 02:21:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14b33b…
06-17 02:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7caf15…
06-17 02:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ac503…
06-17 02:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bef00…
06-17 02:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa65b33…
06-17 02:13:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b9696…
06-17 02:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3378d0…
06-16 09:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16b183…
06-16 09:49:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x00661e…
06-16 09:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa9ce99…
06-16 09:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08e305…
06-16 09:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x090ef3…
06-16 09:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb13b5a…
06-16 09:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x297a12…
06-16 09:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xddfa6d…
06-08 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x665405…
06-08 02:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7003ac…
06-08 02:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5c6a8f…
06-08 02:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x074a57…
05-29 07:42:03	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c96ff…
05-29 07:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51fd35…
05-29 07:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x640b96…
05-29 07:38:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x46d439…
05-29 07:36:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31f4e0…
05-29 07:35:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b4238…
05-29 07:33:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x963a39…
05-27 05:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad1325…
05-27 05:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90710f…
05-27 05:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ba6a9…
05-27 05:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3e5ee…
05-27 05:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ac288…
05-27 04:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4dc6b…
05-26 15:21:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0x98c38b…
05-26 07:24:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x0e86e5…
05-26 07:24:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x4efd92…
05-26 07:23:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x39a1c2…
05-26 07:23:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	257	62¢	$159	0xb2b03e…
05-26 07:22:56	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x7aefaf…
05-21 02:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x70d6b0…
05-21 02:15:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x0705cc…
05-21 02:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0878d8…
05-21 02:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021f33…
05-15 07:30:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x698345…
05-15 07:22:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x258a28…
05-15 07:20:53	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x0e1e98…
05-15 07:19:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5188e6…
05-08 09:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce1498…
05-08 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf96176…
05-08 09:22:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e9dd2…
05-08 09:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2464a…
04-23 09:57:30	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x385f48…
04-23 09:56:00	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4d9f1…
04-23 09:54:10	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda03e1…
04-23 09:52:36	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 7c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bcddd…
02-27 09:34:27	will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6c549e…
02-27 09:33:49	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd07f3a…
02-27 09:33:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb4a9ad…