Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-09 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$4

Politics

21% 100% +$6

Sports

15% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	No		+55	$54	96¢	$53	-$1	08-04 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$122	64	64	+0	No	+$1	07-02 00:54
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$118	61	61	+0	open	—	10-09 18:13
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:17
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	3	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	06-29 23:51
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	7	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$1	06-13 04:39
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	4	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	09-16 19:29
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	6	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	08-09 12:33
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	3	$105	53	53	+0	No	+$0	06-11 19:04
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$105	53	53	+0	No	+$0	06-03 14:23
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$105	54	54	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 07:37
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	09-18 05:05
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	2	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$0	06-20 10:09
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	5	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	08-01 18:51
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	3	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	09-22 20:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	7	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-24 15:22
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-13 10:04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-09 18:17
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-23 18:26
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:02
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	4	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-17 11:11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-19 23:42
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 09:22
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$93	49	49	+0	No	+$1	05-22 10:52
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	1	$65	68	0	+68	open	—	10-04 14:14
Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	7	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	09-15 15:36
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	08-04 16:59
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	2	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	10-03 22:47
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$46	50	0	+50	No	+$4	05-09 09:48
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-30 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 18:13:46	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x7b8b2f…
10-04 14:14:17	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x175884…
10-03 22:47:29	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x776a77…
09-30 08:31:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4e8d71…
09-22 20:06:52	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xb29285…
09-22 00:57:46	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x93fb54…
09-19 07:12:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9e41c4…
09-18 13:29:59	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x38d3bb…
09-18 05:05:40	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xe36d5a…
09-16 19:29:51	Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xfc7cf3…
09-16 19:29:48	Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x677014…
09-16 17:53:27	Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x6ac02e…
09-15 16:35:58	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x557aa1…
09-15 15:36:40	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xb27021…
09-15 15:36:25	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd9ec35…
09-15 15:35:58	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xffad47…
09-15 15:35:15	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdb670b…
09-15 15:33:06	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfc383f…
09-15 15:32:51	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2fdd04…
09-15 15:32:18	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xebc8dd…
08-13 11:25:54	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xd3e3ec…
08-12 06:32:48	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x79d8c2…
08-09 12:33:43	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x49efcf…
08-09 09:22:52	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2e52b7…
08-09 09:06:01	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd09039…
08-04 16:59:56	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x8b51bd…
08-01 18:51:18	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xc59520…
07-31 17:17:29	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x15bc04…
07-30 18:54:39	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x03505c…
07-30 11:47:03	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x7443e4…
07-30 11:46:56	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xfd83dd…
07-25 07:26:30	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa1a228…
07-24 09:41:39	Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x01c131…
07-15 01:44:25	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8e9aa3…
07-02 00:54:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x97f2de…
07-01 04:56:11	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x46d705…
06-30 13:36:52	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x8b1612…
06-29 23:51:59	Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xccc5ef…
06-25 12:17:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xe21ae0…
06-24 06:42:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0xd8d66b…
06-23 07:37:53	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xcda6cc…
06-21 21:12:44	Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2284e3…
06-20 10:09:44	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x34afa4…
06-19 23:42:41	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x55a7ab…
06-17 18:00:10	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xebc5c1…
06-17 18:00:10	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4a1e2b…
06-17 08:23:49	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xfda807…
06-15 19:39:24	Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xb6e2ac…
06-13 04:39:46	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8797d4…
06-13 04:39:37	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf18553…
06-13 04:39:37	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe59393…
06-13 04:39:37	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x04df90…
06-13 04:39:31	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x330b24…
06-11 19:04:24	Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x625a9c…
06-11 19:04:22	Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb0e365…
06-05 14:21:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xd1ea7c…
06-03 14:23:33	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x9b39a2…
06-03 14:23:31	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6201f4…
05-28 15:29:05	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xd4f21b…
05-26 22:52:30	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xdbad0a…
05-26 21:47:59	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3f83f2…
05-26 13:48:10	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x287d88…
05-26 11:58:20	Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x4a6261…
05-24 15:22:45	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x9b5982…
05-23 18:26:31	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xa75b65…
05-23 18:26:22	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xe33f3f…
05-23 18:26:14	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x7c9488…
05-23 18:26:05	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x131dc4…
05-22 10:52:47	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xc9b9e1…
05-22 09:22:27	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x83f158…
05-21 06:02:55	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe59092…
05-20 11:43:11	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x99a8ae…
05-18 20:30:15	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7e936c…
05-17 11:11:06	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x5803af…
05-15 17:49:19	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6135a9…
05-15 17:10:45	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xcd4826…
05-15 14:35:28	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x2c6d99…
05-15 14:31:30	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe9bb9d…
05-15 02:26:08	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xa5fd8f…
05-14 16:36:46	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x086bc8…
05-14 14:31:42	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b671f…
05-13 10:04:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x526161…
05-13 08:35:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa6df7b…
05-09 18:17:04	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xfb0366…
05-09 09:48:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xf0df1b…
05-08 10:40:07	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x716f6f…
05-08 10:15:26	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaaf560…
05-08 07:37:44	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x28889c…
05-08 06:53:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0xcbe1d3…
05-07 22:41:55	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x7ef1df…
05-07 20:40:42	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x68ce97…
05-07 19:26:12	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x9c3a6b…
05-07 18:12:16	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x886583…
05-07 08:53:40	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x32ff03…
05-07 08:53:28	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$48	0xe849e9…
04-20 08:52:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2abfc8…