Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.1%

Resolved

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$8.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-27 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Sports

46% 19% -$2

Politics

24% 38% -$1

Other

24% 15% -$1

Crypto

4% 20% $0

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$560	295	295	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 02:01
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	13	$498	259	259	+0	No	$0	03-16 19:32
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$415	216	216	+0	No	$0	03-10 10:32
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$273	140	140	+0	No	$0	02-14 23:14
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	13	$262	139	139	+0	No	$0	03-06 18:04
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$239	125	125	+0	No	$0	03-01 13:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$235	122	122	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 00:23
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$230	118	118	+0	No	$0	02-11 06:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$225	119	119	+0	No	$0	02-27 02:43
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$202	122	87	+35	No	+$2	02-01 19:04
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	4	$200	104	104	+0	No	$0	02-12 10:59
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	10	$192	98	98	+0	No	$0	02-09 16:00
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$183	98	98	+0	No	$0	03-03 22:31
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$172	88	88	+0	No	-$1	02-05 05:33
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$164	84	84	+0	No	$0	03-02 21:26
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$161	86	86	+0	No	$0	02-09 15:54
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$160	83	83	+0	No	$0	02-27 17:36
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	8	$158	81	81	+0	No	$0	03-01 05:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$149	77	77	+0	No	+$0	03-02 00:35
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	4	$132	70	70	+0	No	$0	02-14 23:13
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$130	69	69	+0	No	$0	03-02 21:28
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	4	$128	65	65	+0	No	$0	02-14 22:52
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	18	$127	69	69	+0	No	-$1	02-05 05:19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$125	66	66	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 08:31
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$115	59	59	+0	No	$0	02-09 15:56
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$111	59	59	+0	No	$0	03-01 05:54
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$97	52	52	+0	No	$0	02-14 22:54
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$96	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	01-20 11:37
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$93	49	49	+0	No	$0	03-01 22:10
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$92	48	48	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:47:50	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2830ba…
10-26 22:46:42	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1dc4ff…
09-26 11:44:42	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x4bd6d9…
09-26 05:40:29	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xae12e1…
09-03 21:39:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xd16f8c…
09-03 13:34:48	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7e2eed…
08-06 03:10:12	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf4011e…
08-05 23:07:30	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x079a45…
07-29 15:02:14	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xe8d7b7…
07-29 07:53:08	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x24b65e…
07-02 14:49:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x226a09…
07-02 10:47:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xa2563c…
06-24 18:44:25	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xfd630e…
06-24 13:41:49	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5edd2d…
06-12 18:35:57	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xe1e1a4…
06-12 11:32:03	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xa68538…
06-01 00:25:51	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xf6d958…
05-31 20:25:10	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x5138fd…
05-18 05:19:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x1dce1a…
05-15 14:30:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x223a42…
03-16 23:38:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xeeae64…
03-16 19:37:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x97b2a0…
03-16 19:32:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xd56caa…
03-16 13:37:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x8e4afb…
03-16 13:32:29	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x88fff8…
03-16 08:31:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x2cc73b…
03-13 07:34:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x664893…
03-13 02:25:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0x254d89…
03-12 20:23:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x8f6783…
03-12 09:10:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x658f85…
03-12 04:09:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xe82003…
03-11 15:57:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8d7e8e…
03-11 08:56:01	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	34	97¢	$34	0xa1eb9b…
03-10 18:40:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x9e7de1…
03-10 10:38:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1c60df…
03-10 10:32:25	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x91f13f…
03-10 06:31:55	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x7f94a1…
03-08 21:50:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0xb65c1c…
03-08 15:48:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x8aceea…
03-06 18:04:37	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xbed71f…
03-06 12:02:23	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa08563…
03-03 22:31:37	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x4f82c2…
03-03 17:29:55	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x0adc04…
03-03 02:04:01	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xe8524f…
03-03 02:03:25	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x8ffea0…
03-03 02:01:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x4db8c3…
03-03 02:00:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x711259…
03-03 02:00:01	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x8536ed…
03-03 01:59:33	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf12f57…
03-03 01:58:59	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xd2686b…
03-03 01:58:29	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x2a5cbb…
03-03 00:23:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$32	0xafea19…
03-03 00:22:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$32	0xffcf14…
03-02 22:54:33	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xc7bd75…
03-02 22:54:05	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xec4222…
03-02 21:33:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x540133…
03-02 21:33:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x468a17…
03-02 21:28:43	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xa89676…
03-02 21:27:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0f80c5…
03-02 21:26:59	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x3ba34b…
03-02 21:26:25	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xe41c47…
03-02 21:25:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x573084…
03-02 21:25:11	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x079291…
03-02 21:23:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x6f269b…
03-02 21:23:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x73c8af…
03-02 20:01:51	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x537c1a…
03-02 20:01:17	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6ed562…
03-02 20:00:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x1ac163…
03-02 20:00:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x571b73…
03-02 19:59:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x16a244…
03-02 19:59:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xed2849…
03-02 18:28:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xb2c204…
03-02 18:28:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xb3ab39…
03-02 00:38:57	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x8019d6…
03-02 00:37:59	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x32eef8…
03-02 00:35:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x36173f…
03-02 00:34:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf23987…
03-02 00:33:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x5e1221…
03-02 00:32:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x7b005f…
03-02 00:32:21	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6f9666…
03-02 00:31:21	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x968eb5…
03-02 00:30:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x5a9e0a…
03-02 00:29:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe45a1a…
03-01 22:12:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x18f0e1…
03-01 22:11:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x5d8f8c…
03-01 22:10:25	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x9bea2a…
03-01 22:09:33	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xa5f07f…
03-01 14:04:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xc27fcb…
03-01 14:03:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x7d35e2…
03-01 14:03:09	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xdd7325…
03-01 14:02:43	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x56ec15…
03-01 14:01:51	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x7fdd67…
03-01 14:01:25	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x164539…
03-01 13:59:39	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x576af6…
03-01 13:59:09	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x2faec6…
03-01 09:42:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x68ffa1…
03-01 09:42:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x47d598…
03-01 09:38:49	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xf4b8ff…
03-01 09:38:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x118ad8…
03-01 05:54:41	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x7866ce…