Growling-Swordfight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:10
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:06
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:25
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb49f64…
11-02 14:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ed4d0…
11-01 10:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbe06d…
10-31 15:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x206667…
10-30 14:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2c7f2…
10-29 17:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc96934…
10-29 09:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb063…
10-28 07:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x210f1d…
10-27 08:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc85ff5…
10-26 09:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b5895…
10-24 11:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6dbf…
10-22 10:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc0a50…
10-20 07:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x131989…
10-19 09:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe82c7f…
10-18 09:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffd90c…
10-17 15:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0b83c…
10-16 09:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3332ee…
10-15 09:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6f889…
10-14 09:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04dcf9…
10-13 09:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dd4d9…
10-12 09:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20498…
10-11 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fe7f1…
10-08 09:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48ec0b…
10-07 15:24:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4a381…
10-06 08:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc2137…
10-05 01:58:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x049e8d…
10-03 08:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc34a5…
10-02 11:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x204537…
10-01 08:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb44333…
09-30 12:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50c745…
09-29 15:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8ab80…
09-28 09:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55f091…
09-27 08:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7427fa…
09-25 16:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfe9b1…
09-24 08:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb7248…
09-23 07:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x521731…
09-22 08:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0997c…
09-21 09:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c36f5…
09-20 05:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc0150…
09-19 08:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x292379…
09-18 06:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e4d77…
09-17 04:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91dabe…
09-16 08:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x111b4c…
09-15 10:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22c24d…
09-14 09:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60fdf3…
09-12 16:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x568419…
09-11 07:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14e9f7…
09-10 08:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x768d1a…
09-09 09:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa65e6f…
09-08 15:44:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x709907…
09-08 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x153020…
09-07 08:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x227e93…
09-06 17:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e4182…
09-06 09:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a9b5d…
09-05 01:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc110d4…
09-03 16:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb961ef…
09-02 07:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850d92…
08-30 09:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x985cd1…
08-29 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7ef45…
08-28 08:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa53f4c…
08-27 08:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7181ed…
08-26 08:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9719da…
08-25 09:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22c551…
08-24 13:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ca962…
08-23 14:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd635eb…
08-22 08:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e20f…
08-21 07:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60a149…
08-20 08:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x602969…
08-19 15:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x670a1d…
08-18 08:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25e9d8…
08-17 07:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4ec9…
08-16 11:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac164a…
08-15 09:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0167d7…
08-14 06:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x490234…
08-13 08:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x612889…
08-12 07:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x462702…
08-11 06:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec6505…
08-10 07:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29fd17…
08-09 02:12:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47af40…
08-08 07:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2239…
08-07 07:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70fe51…
08-06 06:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x161428…
08-05 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81ee6d…
08-04 08:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ef494…
08-03 07:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2dd7…
08-02 02:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8dd5eb…
08-01 07:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa502c…
07-31 13:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x830986…
07-30 06:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x179e00…
07-29 07:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13c344…
07-28 06:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe912…
07-27 08:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb84593…
07-26 07:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x069f35…
07-25 08:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeebe0d…
07-24 10:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb65bde…
07-23 08:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c28d2…
07-22 02:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33df19…
07-21 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e8498…
07-21 00:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23c89c…
07-20 07:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44c427…