Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
62
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$1.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$271
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 10-27 07:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
60% 50% +$55
Other
33% 40% -$130
Sports
6% 36% +$5
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +91 $64 74¢ $67 +$3 10-23 19:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +51 $37 94¢ $48 +$11 10-15 09:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $25 83¢ $28 +$3 07-18 06:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +38 $20 66¢ $25 +$5 10-27 07:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +25 $20 94¢ $23 +$3 10-17 14:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $19 66¢ $20 +$1 10-16 06:34
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +26 $16 64¢ $17 +$1 10-27 07:07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $14 66¢ $14 +$0 10-13 09:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +15 $10 56¢ $9 -$1 09-21 06:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 09-07 08:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $10 37¢ $7 -$3 10-03 19:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-04 18:24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 09-07 08:33
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +20 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-18 10:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 09-04 18:01