Deficient-Impairment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$809

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved (90d)

12,269

Trades (90d)

53,331

69,296 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$133.5K

$135.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$179

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-13 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 16% -$188

Other

0% 0% -$75

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1393 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	—	+100	$99	98¢	$98	$0	11-13 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	—	+100	$1	81¢	$81	+$80	11-13 11:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$201	500	0	+500	Down	+$199	09-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$200	450	0	+450	Up	-$100	11-03 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$200	450	0	+450	Up	-$100	11-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$199	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	11-04 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$199	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	17	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$199	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	11-03 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$199	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$198	200	0	+200	Down	-$98	09-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	-$98	09-06 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$198	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	09-06 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	-$98	11-03 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	15	$194	95	100	-5	Up	+$1	11-04 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$103	500	0	+500	Down	-$3	10-03 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$103	500	0	+500	Down	-$3	10-03 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:20 UTC	8	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:35 UTC	5	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:15 UTC	6	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:55 UTC	2	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$103	500	0	+500	Down	-$3	10-03 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	13	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	12	$103	500	0	+500	Up	-$3	10-03 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 11:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1d622…
11-13 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe31fb1…
11-13 11:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc30b4…
11-13 11:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86ff47…
11-13 11:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x0212ad…
11-13 11:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x00d0ae…
11-13 11:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e0f97…
11-13 11:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa3521c…
11-13 11:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x836c18…
11-13 11:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc4b512…
11-13 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc4b711…
11-13 11:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xfe1974…
11-13 11:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xaccdbf…
11-13 11:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x076693…
11-13 10:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x12e2c9…
11-13 10:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2a83ee…
11-13 10:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1ee2de…
11-13 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7b70b5…
11-13 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb5b68c…
11-13 10:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8adb26…
11-13 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xd163f6…
11-13 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8f81e1…
11-13 10:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x02497e…
11-13 10:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x86f89c…
11-13 10:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x548abe…
11-13 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xda2e01…
11-13 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc5c92e…
11-13 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x3dbf6a…
11-13 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x207df0…
11-13 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x14f0df…
11-13 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb70908…
11-13 10:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xa33a43…
11-13 10:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed52f0…
11-13 10:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x3ba239…
11-13 10:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xe1773f…
11-13 10:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xd78edb…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc0745b…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb5b62f…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x98dbc9…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x98108d…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8a3b27…
11-13 10:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5c6bdd…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf81c62…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb0d7cf…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa528df…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x696a8b…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x52ae68…
11-13 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x2b8cea…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xef8c9e…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc605b6…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa5d164…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3a92d8…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x27d681…
11-13 10:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x2350e3…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdc7f36…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb3b88d…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa739c8…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7a2890…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5e7eff…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x517f6a…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x4c36e0…
11-13 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x408b78…
11-13 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xfadbcd…
11-13 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb06cf3…
11-13 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xad45ef…
11-13 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x21118e…
11-13 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xedadbe…
11-13 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb21a25…
11-13 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x88bba6…
11-13 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x17070a…
11-13 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xa7e756…
11-13 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5e0952…
11-13 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x475fe1…
11-13 09:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x953fc8…
11-13 09:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4f6990…
11-13 09:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x76ad22…
11-13 09:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x0094e8…
11-13 09:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe6e575…
11-13 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf04280…
11-13 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeed28a…
11-13 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x1e2647…
11-13 09:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xa3c7c8…
11-13 09:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x81d831…
11-13 09:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6a7108…
11-13 09:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x680b76…
11-13 09:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x964961…
11-13 09:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5dc820…
11-13 09:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x132895…
11-13 09:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x53ab39…
11-13 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xef4c35…
11-13 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xbe9020…
11-13 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0b796b…
11-13 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x02a00c…
11-13 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xccf4c5…
11-13 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x681c62…
11-13 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5ae394…
11-13 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4a02d1…
11-13 09:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x32c365…
11-13 09:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcacba1…
11-13 09:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc6570d…