(anonymous) 0x4ea38d…48b7f3
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Realized P&L
-$64
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
2,733
Trades
5,730
lifetime
Volume
$19.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$133
25 positions
First seen
2026-08-29
last 10-27 04:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
74% 68% -$204
Crypto
20% 57% +$50
Politics
4% 77% +$58
Sports
2% 56% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 10-23 21:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 10-25 02:15
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +14 $11 96¢ $13 +$3 10-26 14:34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +13 $10 87¢ $12 +$2 10-22 15:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +14 $10 83¢ $12 +$2 10-21 09:18
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +16 $11 62¢ $10 -$1 10-24 14:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 78¢ $10 $0 10-09 11:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +10 $8 77¢ $7 $0 10-22 11:56
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 10-26 06:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-25 15:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $0 10-26 07:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +73 $20 6¢ $5 -$15 10-15 12:30
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 10-22 00:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 10-25 09:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-25 15:27
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-12 15:01
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-03 17:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-25 08:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-03 08:21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 10-11 14:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 16¢ $1 -$2 09-20 15:38
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? Yes +1 $1 57¢ $1 $0 10-25 08:59
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +19 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-04 01:01
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-08 00:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$2 10-17 04:12