Clueless-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-05 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$5

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+25	$23	91¢	$23	$-1	06-24 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-250	$-75	0¢	$-0	+$75	05-30 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$2.9K	3,202	1,154	+2,049	open	—	06-01 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$2.1K	1,005	1,178	-173	open	—	05-25 14:23
ebola case in the us by june 30	12	$980	555	555	+0	open	—	06-19 12:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	34	$854	1,015	1,170	-155	open	—	05-24 18:09
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$553	311	311	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	22	$546	663	663	+0	open	—	04-17 02:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$409	233	233	+0	open	—	04-12 19:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$279	142	142	+0	open	—	05-27 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	7	$270	146	145	+1	open	—	04-25 03:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$269	135	189	-54	open	—	05-30 09:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	6	$269	140	140	+0	open	—	04-22 15:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	16	$260	170	170	+0	open	—	05-25 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$237	242	0	+242	open	—	05-27 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$234	218	468	-250	open	—	05-30 14:40
nba den sas 2026 04 12	6	$225	118	118	+0	open	—	04-13 02:54
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	6	$214	112	112	+0	open	—	04-20 12:05
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$199	156	56	+100	open	—	06-19 13:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$188	6,025	6,025	+0	open	—	04-06 07:05
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 03:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$159	271	271	+0	open	—	04-21 23:08
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	3	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	04-03 10:40
will canada have an ebola case in 2026	3	$146	127	66	+61	open	—	07-04 12:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 23:08
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	4	$133	85	85	+0	open	—	04-07 15:55
will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	2	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	07-04 01:54
nba mem hou 2026 04 12	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	04-13 02:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$119	75	75	+0	open	—	05-18 05:07
nba chi dal 2026 04 12	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 02:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	05-11 02:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	6	$107	70	70	+0	open	—	05-08 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 13:20:04	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xa29b4e…
07-04 13:04:58	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb79055…
07-04 12:59:37	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0xd2a4c3…
07-04 08:42:04	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf3b5f5…
07-04 08:17:53	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x3080a5…
07-04 03:42:49	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x15aa61…
07-04 01:57:01	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x1534e1…
07-04 01:54:29	will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x1548f6…
07-03 12:17:46	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x102908…
07-02 06:40:32	will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x171a4d…
06-29 03:26:25	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf04b9f…
06-28 05:02:14	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xafb1eb…
06-27 00:59:52	will ghana reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149756	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xcd41c9…
06-27 00:59:19	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2b376d…
06-25 01:03:01	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x46b73c…
06-24 23:15:29	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x196ace…
06-24 02:52:11	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf5e5e5…
06-24 02:50:59	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x6eaa7f…
06-24 02:50:43	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x925742…
06-19 14:40:44	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xc0e6bd…
06-19 14:35:04	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1c6aff…
06-19 13:39:38	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3eefd6…
06-19 13:17:19	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe9146a…
06-19 13:16:16	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x73db51…
06-19 13:15:58	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd01c8a…
06-19 13:15:25	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x947993…
06-19 13:14:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x01b64f…
06-19 13:08:44	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x9abe0d…
06-19 13:04:44	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x70d917…
06-19 12:13:59	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	555	95¢	$527	0x258422…
06-18 07:22:46	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb742cd…
06-18 06:53:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x367abf…
06-17 01:41:46	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x0785a0…
06-15 09:29:18	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe62f5b…
06-15 09:28:39	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x91dd57…
06-15 09:27:03	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x68d300…
06-15 08:18:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0x34dfcb…
06-15 07:52:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x820f64…
06-15 00:08:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x8df5e4…
06-14 13:55:40	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xe5abc2…
06-12 04:19:37	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x0a25ab…
06-10 20:17:03	will india have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x3299d6…
06-10 09:23:37	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xa126f2…
06-10 06:19:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xc5ed66…
06-10 05:45:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7e7b30…
06-09 17:20:46	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	85	80¢	$68	0x697f92…
06-09 14:10:10	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x3efd30…
06-09 13:20:10	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0x8caf76…
06-09 06:33:16	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x7ff168…
06-09 05:07:57	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa6c807…
06-08 04:31:16	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc7b813…
06-08 02:08:55	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x199322…
06-07 17:37:46	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xab7214…
06-07 13:02:46	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x5cd480…
06-05 18:02:42	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x52dd86…
06-05 17:21:15	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa02981…
06-05 13:58:15	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x309348…
06-05 13:18:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd7db43…
06-05 10:36:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x94dc7d…
06-05 10:04:37	will india have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xcd5207…
06-05 10:04:03	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0fa642…
06-05 10:02:34	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x46e835…
06-05 10:02:33	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x01debe…
06-05 09:59:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x61f25f…
06-05 03:37:28	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf54954…
06-05 03:32:51	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x79a37f…
06-05 02:46:07	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x82ae8c…
06-04 10:46:31	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	110	84¢	$92	0xcb1a9a…
06-04 09:04:27	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x095551…
06-04 05:17:34	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x50676f…
06-04 05:06:45	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4d27c0…
06-04 00:30:00	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x67b5a8…
06-03 23:44:24	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x3ff86d…
06-03 23:00:16	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xed9c88…
06-03 22:01:18	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	77	80¢	$62	0xca1611…
06-03 21:57:24	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xdf535f…
06-03 20:09:51	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x686063…
06-03 19:23:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xd6f7a8…
06-03 19:19:10	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8d5185…
06-03 19:18:34	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x6f515c…
06-03 11:09:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x05c206…
06-03 05:34:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x07f453…
06-03 04:33:39	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbd9b34…
06-03 04:32:07	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x188101…
06-03 04:29:57	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x15c9b4…
06-03 04:28:45	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf16479…
06-03 00:17:03	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0xe93265…
06-02 07:12:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x5a185f…
06-02 06:52:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x86bab5…
06-01 12:38:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x480ba0…
06-01 12:38:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xcb0492…
06-01 12:37:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x92eae0…
06-01 12:13:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xad6ac0…
06-01 12:07:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x85c516…
06-01 12:07:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	75¢	$600	0x8c7485…
06-01 12:06:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x851f0e…
06-01 12:05:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,154	50¢	$578	0xca557e…
05-31 10:20:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x6fbb23…
05-31 10:02:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x01de68…
05-31 07:30:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	84¢	$113	0x6fdbeb…