Clueless-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

496

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-26 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$5

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

14% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$2.9K	3,202	1,154	+2,049	open	—	06-01 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$2.1K	1,005	1,178	-173	open	—	05-25 14:23
ebola case in the us by june 30	12	$980	555	555	+0	open	—	06-19 12:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	34	$854	1,015	1,170	-155	open	—	05-24 18:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$837	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	07-26 12:03
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$553	311	311	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	22	$546	663	663	+0	open	—	04-17 02:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$409	233	233	+0	open	—	04-12 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$385	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 02:32
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	13	$364	189	189	+0	open	—	07-21 06:54
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	4	$322	170	170	+0	open	—	07-18 02:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	8	$313	720	720	+0	open	—	07-20 05:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$279	142	142	+0	open	—	05-27 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	7	$270	146	145	+1	open	—	04-25 03:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$269	135	189	-54	open	—	05-30 09:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	6	$269	140	140	+0	open	—	04-22 15:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	16	$260	170	170	+0	open	—	05-25 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$237	242	0	+242	open	—	05-27 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$234	218	468	-250	open	—	05-30 14:40
nba den sas 2026 04 12	6	$225	118	118	+0	open	—	04-13 02:54
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	6	$214	112	112	+0	open	—	04-20 12:05
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$199	156	56	+100	open	—	06-19 13:15
will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	07-18 02:31
will canada have an ebola case in 2026	5	$193	127	127	+0	open	—	07-21 11:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$188	6,025	6,025	+0	open	—	04-06 07:05
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	07-26 12:03
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 03:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$159	271	271	+0	open	—	04-21 23:08
will india have an ebola case in 2026	3	$155	101	101	+0	open	—	07-08 10:18
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	3	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	04-03 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 12:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	170	58¢	$99	0x8d1d05…
07-26 12:03:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x50a53a…
07-26 12:02:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xa1e1a6…
07-26 12:01:43	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0xbe3848…
07-26 02:43:30	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x18a650…
07-25 21:27:31	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfda426…
07-25 16:25:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x73795a…
07-25 14:45:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc38719…
07-24 14:34:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xa0bed7…
07-23 09:28:46	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x9ddbc2…
07-23 04:20:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x21ffe3…
07-21 11:06:21	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xd614d7…
07-21 06:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	320	56¢	$179	0xe31445…
07-21 06:54:13	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	189	97¢	$183	0xe21990…
07-21 06:40:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x611b26…
07-21 06:39:00	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	31	76¢	$23	0x0b525c…
07-21 02:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	490	55¢	$269	0x4e13a9…
07-21 01:58:07	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x77b2c3…
07-20 09:57:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x15b319…
07-20 05:32:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	720	23¢	$166	0x4f755f…
07-20 03:52:12	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x53998f…
07-20 03:52:06	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x5b034e…
07-20 02:08:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdaab24…
07-20 02:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xea827a…
07-20 02:02:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x771828…
07-20 00:01:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4a4c09…
07-19 19:44:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xe041a7…
07-19 10:33:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5b82e2…
07-19 03:34:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x3f908e…
07-19 03:01:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb0a8ea…
07-18 14:35:25	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5d120c…
07-18 10:05:58	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa8e02b…
07-18 08:52:16	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x49ab19…
07-18 08:31:48	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa33629…
07-18 08:31:39	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0a764…
07-18 08:31:19	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ae8e5…
07-18 08:31:18	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x176495…
07-18 08:31:04	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x04ba2b…
07-18 08:31:03	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab16bc…
07-18 08:30:24	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2597d7…
07-18 02:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x185c3c…
07-18 02:31:18	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9e9a05…
07-18 02:31:03	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xd00e0d…
07-13 19:11:25	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x97c29d…
07-12 15:34:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4b4599…
07-12 04:30:07	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd3af58…
07-12 03:53:43	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x708120…
07-12 03:52:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x125f39…
07-11 23:24:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe76bea…
07-11 03:14:34	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb22431…
07-11 01:20:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xbe0714…
07-11 00:13:43	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x008a7f…
07-08 10:18:19	will india have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	101	81¢	$82	0x15e13d…
07-07 00:13:56	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x00b1aa…
07-05 13:20:04	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xa29b4e…
07-04 13:04:58	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb79055…
07-04 12:59:37	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0xd2a4c3…
07-04 08:42:04	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf3b5f5…
07-04 08:17:53	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x3080a5…
07-04 03:42:49	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x15aa61…
07-04 01:57:01	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x1534e1…
07-04 01:54:29	will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x1548f6…
07-03 12:17:46	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x102908…
07-02 06:40:32	will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x171a4d…
06-29 03:26:25	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf04b9f…
06-28 05:02:14	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xafb1eb…
06-27 00:59:52	will ghana reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149756	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xcd41c9…
06-27 00:59:19	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2b376d…
06-25 01:03:01	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x46b73c…
06-24 23:15:29	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x196ace…
06-24 02:52:11	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf5e5e5…
06-24 02:50:59	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x6eaa7f…
06-24 02:50:43	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x925742…
06-19 14:40:44	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xc0e6bd…
06-19 14:35:04	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1c6aff…
06-19 13:39:38	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3eefd6…
06-19 13:17:19	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xe9146a…
06-19 13:16:16	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x73db51…
06-19 13:15:58	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd01c8a…
06-19 13:15:25	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x947993…
06-19 13:14:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x01b64f…
06-19 13:08:44	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x9abe0d…
06-19 13:04:44	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x70d917…
06-19 12:13:59	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	555	95¢	$527	0x258422…
06-18 07:22:46	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb742cd…
06-18 06:53:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x367abf…
06-17 01:41:46	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x0785a0…
06-15 09:29:18	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe62f5b…
06-15 09:28:39	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x91dd57…
06-15 09:27:03	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x68d300…
06-15 08:18:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0x34dfcb…
06-15 07:52:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x820f64…
06-15 00:08:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x8df5e4…
06-14 13:55:40	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xe5abc2…
06-12 04:19:37	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x0a25ab…
06-10 20:17:03	will india have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x3299d6…
06-10 09:23:37	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xa126f2…
06-10 06:19:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xc5ed66…
06-10 05:45:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7e7b30…
06-09 17:20:46	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	85	80¢	$68	0x697f92…