Clueless-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$576

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

194

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$144

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-14 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Politics

43% 74% -$375

Other

35% 82% +$129

Sports

11% 82% +$104

Crypto

8% 33% -$1,773

Tech

2% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes		+2,400	$720	6¢	$144	-$576	08-14 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$2.9K	3,202	1,154	+2,049	No	-$1,765	06-01 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$2.1K	1,005	1,178	-173	No	+$20	05-25 14:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	12	$1.6K	1,614	1,614	+0	open	—	08-13 11:13
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	10	$1.4K	888	888	+0	No	-$117	06-03 21:01
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	15	$1.4K	791	791	+0	No	+$4	05-24 03:02
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	12	$1.0K	533	533	+0	Yes	-$12	05-31 02:01
ebola case in the us by june 30	12	$980	555	555	+0	No	+$74	06-19 12:13
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$935	477	477	+0	No	+$18	05-27 00:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$882	1,050	1,170	-121	No	+$125	05-24 18:09
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	8	$732	430	430	+0	Yes	+$19	06-03 20:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	14	$720	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	08-14 08:41
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	7	$690	400	400	+0	No	+$26	05-29 23:58
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	9	$649	389	389	+0	Yes	+$11	06-03 20:43
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	4	$556	286	286	+0	Yes	+$7	05-16 07:58
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$553	311	311	+0	Yes	+$51	04-13 17:45
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	22	$546	663	663	+0	No	-$103	04-17 02:00
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	14	$545	542	93	+449	No	-$373	05-30 03:29
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	14	$541	430	430	+0	Yes	-$67	06-03 21:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$477	242	242	+0	No	+$2	05-27 08:28
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$460	235	235	+0	Yes	+$9	05-27 00:57
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	3	$409	210	210	+0	Yes	+$8	07-25 08:04
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$409	233	233	+0	Yes	+$55	04-12 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$385	200	200	+0	No	+$11	07-18 02:32
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	13	$364	189	189	+0	No	+$2	07-21 06:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$351	214	214	+0	No	+$5	05-30 09:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$340	468	468	+0	No	-$31	05-30 14:40
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	4	$322	170	170	+0	No	+$15	07-18 02:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	8	$313	720	720	+0	No	+$18	07-20 05:32
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	9	$296	190	190	+0	Yes	+$10	06-03 19:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$279	142	142	+0	No	+$1	05-27 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 08:41:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	112	30¢	$33	0xfc4246…
08-14 06:29:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x77048f…
08-14 05:44:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2dfded…
08-14 00:01:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xbf31d0…
08-13 23:15:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x1030fa…
08-13 11:18:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x3429ae…
08-13 11:18:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x8ccf13…
08-13 11:17:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x3b8327…
08-13 11:16:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x9b1c96…
08-13 11:15:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xeb085b…
08-13 11:14:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	1,005	30¢	$301	0x8193a7…
08-13 11:14:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xb80ef2…
08-13 11:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,614	45¢	$726	0x76c6fd…
08-04 21:52:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x421c0a…
08-02 08:54:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xb39ca9…
08-02 08:53:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfcaf9a…
08-02 08:52:02	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x988b6e…
08-02 08:51:41	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x9b0904…
08-02 08:51:38	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xd1dd58…
08-02 08:50:27	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0xadcbea…
08-02 08:50:02	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x2b3a12…
07-26 12:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	170	58¢	$99	0x8d1d05…
07-26 12:03:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x50a53a…
07-26 12:02:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xa1e1a6…
07-26 12:01:43	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0xbe3848…
07-26 02:43:30	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x18a650…
07-25 21:27:31	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfda426…
07-25 16:25:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x73795a…
07-25 14:45:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc38719…
07-25 08:04:51	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	210	99¢	$209	0x8dac2d…
07-24 14:34:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xa0bed7…
07-23 09:28:46	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x9ddbc2…
07-23 04:20:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x21ffe3…
07-21 14:54:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x22fa22…
07-21 11:06:21	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xd614d7…
07-21 06:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	320	56¢	$179	0xe31445…
07-21 06:54:13	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	189	97¢	$183	0xe21990…
07-21 06:40:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x611b26…
07-21 06:39:00	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	31	76¢	$23	0x0b525c…
07-21 02:00:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	490	55¢	$269	0x4e13a9…
07-21 01:59:28	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xa49b5d…
07-21 01:58:07	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x77b2c3…
07-20 09:57:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x15b319…
07-20 09:53:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xf3253e…
07-20 05:32:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	720	23¢	$166	0x4f755f…
07-20 04:00:37	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0x3807f2…
07-20 03:52:12	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x53998f…
07-20 03:52:06	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x5b034e…
07-20 02:08:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdaab24…
07-20 02:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xea827a…
07-20 02:02:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x771828…
07-20 00:01:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4a4c09…
07-19 19:47:42	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xabc9f5…
07-19 19:47:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x5e2190…
07-19 19:46:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x2b0d85…
07-19 19:44:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xe041a7…
07-19 11:00:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xaecdd4…
07-19 10:42:48	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xacc5f7…
07-19 10:33:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5b82e2…
07-19 03:36:45	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8e6c8d…
07-19 03:34:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x3f908e…
07-19 03:33:42	Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4abf7a…
07-19 03:33:00	Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x92df33…
07-19 03:24:58	Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf4a54c…
07-19 03:08:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x74110a…
07-19 03:01:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb0a8ea…
07-18 14:35:25	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5d120c…
07-18 10:05:58	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa8e02b…
07-18 08:52:16	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x49ab19…
07-18 08:31:48	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa33629…
07-18 08:31:39	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0a764…
07-18 08:31:19	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ae8e5…
07-18 08:31:18	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x176495…
07-18 08:31:04	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x04ba2b…
07-18 08:31:03	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab16bc…
07-18 08:30:24	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2597d7…
07-18 06:49:57	Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc02111…
07-18 06:48:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x63db89…
07-18 05:25:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x5fb4aa…
07-18 05:25:40	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x79e6fa…
07-18 05:25:31	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x4ee730…
07-18 05:20:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0d6465…
07-18 02:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x185c3c…
07-18 02:31:18	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9e9a05…
07-18 02:31:03	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xd00e0d…
07-18 02:29:15	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xedeae5…
07-18 02:28:30	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xb7c0e2…
07-13 19:11:25	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x97c29d…
07-12 15:34:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4b4599…
07-12 15:31:41	Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x83e59b…
07-12 15:28:37	Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xb1c549…
07-12 15:28:17	Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xcb3819…
07-12 04:30:07	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd3af58…
07-12 03:53:43	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x708120…
07-12 03:52:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x125f39…
07-12 03:51:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$41	0xb6d674…
07-12 03:51:02	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x62ee29…
07-12 03:50:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	153	39¢	$59	0x1646ce…
07-12 03:50:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x9665a4…
07-12 03:49:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0x19fca3…