Immaterial-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

26,879

Trades

77,550

lifetime

Volume

$292.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-02 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% -$5,127

Other

1% 25% -$178

Politics

0% 33% -$28

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 2974 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	142	$1.1K	2,691	0	+2,691	Down	-$108	09-05 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	99	$960	2,082	0	+2,082	Down	+$7	09-05 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	105	$917	2,056	0	+2,056	Up	-$205	09-05 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	110	$908	1,859	0	+1,859	Up	+$254	09-05 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	84	$596	1,464	0	+1,464	Down	-$160	09-05 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	50	$458	1,074	0	+1,074	Up	-$16	09-05 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	78	$420	540	0	+540	Up	-$178	07-28 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	33	$374	693	0	+693	Down	-$92	09-06 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	61	$359	451	0	+451	Up	-$234	07-28 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	26	$346	611	0	+611	Up	-$36	09-05 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	39	$327	597	0	+597	Up	-$32	09-05 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	26	$325	598	0	+598	Up	+$25	09-05 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	29	$321	580	0	+580	Down	-$91	09-05 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:30 UTC	141	$319	740	0	+740	Up	-$44	07-28 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	112	$315	599	0	+599	Down	-$11	07-28 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:10 UTC	143	$315	670	0	+670	Up	-$68	07-28 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	27	$301	587	0	+587	Down	-$21	09-05 05:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:30 UTC	140	$299	612	0	+612	Up	-$8	07-28 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:10 UTC	123	$297	724	0	+724	Up	+$189	07-28 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:35 UTC	115	$296	600	0	+600	Up	+$77	07-28 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	119	$287	889	0	+889	Down	+$8	07-29 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:00 UTC	136	$285	755	0	+755	Down	-$16	07-28 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:10 UTC	134	$279	716	0	+716	Down	-$24	07-28 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	151	$279	748	0	+748	Down	-$24	07-28 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:50 UTC	146	$278	614	0	+614	Down	-$46	07-28 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	11	$275	300	0	+300	Up	+$25	09-06 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	24	$273	512	0	+512	Down	+$72	09-06 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:35 UTC	143	$260	901	0	+901	Up	-$24	07-29 18:38
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	9	$260	213	213	+0	Yes	+$60	06-19 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:10 UTC	87	$258	501	0	+501	Down	+$1	07-28 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa1bea0…
11-02 11:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xde77a5…
11-02 11:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdaec9b…
11-02 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb8795c…
11-02 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x17c443…
11-02 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x786204…
11-02 10:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xf588cc…
11-02 10:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x329330…
11-02 10:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x04a577…
11-02 10:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3172ef…
11-02 10:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x78ca7f…
11-02 10:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc020bc…
11-02 10:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x24708e…
11-02 10:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xd576bc…
11-02 10:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x6009f9…
11-02 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe6c9a1…
11-02 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd3e531…
11-02 10:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe3e19d…
11-02 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x28e3bb…
11-02 10:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xaa4283…
11-02 10:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x25d254…
11-02 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7324e1…
11-02 10:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8f8a7b…
11-02 09:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9fe645…
11-02 09:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xf93db1…
11-02 09:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0b8362…
11-02 09:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x7313ea…
11-02 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7e9711…
11-02 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcb419c…
11-02 09:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x6025f7…
11-02 09:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa03bc0…
11-02 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xbc36e1…
11-02 09:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x52f6e5…
11-02 09:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1b475c…
11-02 09:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd82374…
11-02 09:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3f4665…
11-02 09:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xfe2759…
11-02 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe2e53e…
11-02 08:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xff7894…
11-02 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xf5934b…
11-02 08:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe748df…
11-02 07:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4066a6…
11-02 07:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe9d9f4…
11-02 07:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x59ac20…
11-02 06:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x45f82a…
11-02 06:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x184587…
11-02 06:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb9c8fa…
11-02 06:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x56c07a…
11-02 06:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x33dc8d…
11-02 06:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3125ed…
11-02 06:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xda9d86…
11-02 06:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x63979a…
11-02 02:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa7df3d…
11-02 02:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa3f13c…
11-02 02:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x14000e…
11-02 02:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcce89f…
11-02 02:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2f4a16…
11-02 02:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x5b0567…
11-02 02:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x729d11…
11-02 02:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x9d3476…
11-02 02:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa10d28…
11-02 02:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0b0164…
11-02 02:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3eebd2…
11-02 02:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x389308…
11-02 01:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x411802…
11-01 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x68f89f…
11-01 18:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x27ddc6…
11-01 18:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x352ca4…
11-01 18:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x08f2b4…
11-01 18:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x1aef3d…
11-01 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x734d27…
11-01 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe3aada…
11-01 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9366cc…
11-01 17:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa9105a…
11-01 17:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf9f6b4…
11-01 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d7798…
11-01 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0f6047…
11-01 17:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x266961…
11-01 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94817c…
11-01 17:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf4a73d…
11-01 17:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x700a0b…
11-01 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x38c50a…
11-01 17:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x96b48c…
11-01 17:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x6857cc…
11-01 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x7fe6ec…
11-01 17:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6fcf11…
11-01 17:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe7c4f0…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8129db…
11-01 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe1e3b5…
11-01 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x836afa…
11-01 17:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xa85ae6…
11-01 17:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0x9eb82a…
11-01 17:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x742df2…
11-01 17:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x9ba6d1…
11-01 17:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x6502d6…
11-01 17:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x4298f7…
11-01 17:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x8b2700…
11-01 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x2b57b8…
11-01 16:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd10d5c…
11-01 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa069da…