Immaterial-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

24 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$114

$114 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-13 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 0% $-4

Other

48% 17% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	+6	$5	100¢	$5	+$1	05-13 05:17
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-13 05:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	05-13 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	+5	$5	66¢	$3	$-2	05-13 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	+44	$12	0¢	$0	$-11	05-12 23:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$12	44	0	+44	open	—	05-12 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	2	$9	41	41	+0	open	—	05-13 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 11?	2	$9	29	0	+29	No	$-9	05-10 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	1	$8	23	0	+23	Yes	+$15	05-10 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	1	$7	23	0	+23	No	$-7	05-10 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	1	$7	18	0	+18	No	$-7	05-11 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-13 05:08
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 03:42
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 03:38
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 05:37
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-4	05-07 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	1	$3	23	0	+23	No	$-3	05-10 23:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 05:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 02:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?	1	$0	25	0	+25	No	$-0	05-11 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 05:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6cf2ee…
05-13 05:37:45	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x90f9cb…
05-13 05:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8f6a9f…
05-13 05:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4cf97e…
05-13 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa8abed…
05-13 04:22:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1de7d0…
05-13 03:42:45	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x59da51…
05-13 03:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb097cc…
05-13 03:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x421d0a…
05-13 03:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x120108…
05-13 02:48:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x24b246…
05-13 02:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb3a2e9…
05-13 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcff049…
05-13 00:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xfe5dd3…
05-12 23:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	44	26¢	$12	0xb26364…
05-12 23:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x3f93b1…
05-11 23:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf60563…
05-11 23:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x2d2d73…
05-10 23:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x0daeaa…
05-10 23:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xfd6596…
05-10 23:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x142619…
05-10 23:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xd36636…
05-10 23:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x24c06e…
05-07 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd51b12…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.45K	86	05-13 05:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$1.07K	84	05-13 05:39
Previous-Opinion 0xc91d…26e1	7	$980	8	05-13 05:38
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	6	$563	50	05-13 05:22
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$2.63K	26	05-13 05:22
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	5	$1.03K	62	05-13 03:41
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	5	$516	10	05-13 05:21
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	4	$675	19	05-13 05:46