Whimsical-Stepson — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved (90d)

1,312

Trades (90d)

4,159

8,359 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6.65K

$141.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Other

76% 39% -$288

Crypto

15% 46% +$34

Politics

9% 50% -$648

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	22	$20.7K	10,428	10,428	+0	No	-$10	01-25 09:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	12	$8.0K	4,005	4,005	+0	No	-$4	01-23 18:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	8	$7.7K	3,850	3,850	+0	No	-$4	01-23 18:56
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	118	$6.0K	3,920	4,218	-299	Yes	-$6	02-25 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	175	$3.8K	21,549	22,275	-726	No	-$517	02-06 07:39
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	73	$3.1K	2,010	1,677	+333	Yes	+$192	02-04 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	3	$3.1K	1,750	1,750	+0	No	+$438	02-24 04:40
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	34	$3.0K	1,536	1,636	-100	No	+$20	02-01 22:06
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	2	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$261	02-23 14:12
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$2.7K	1,894	918	+976	No	+$33	01-26 09:55
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	16	$2.6K	1,438	1,438	+0	No	+$246	02-14 18:00
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	20	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$5	01-25 07:54
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$2.5K	1,496	1,196	+300	No	+$137	02-14 11:11
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	27	$2.1K	1,245	1,245	+0	No	+$88	02-06 16:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	38	$2.0K	1,309	1,275	+35	No	+$119	01-29 22:17
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 115 139	2	$1.8K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$736	02-21 18:19
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	4	$1.8K	882	882	+0	No	+$7	01-25 02:49
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	22	$1.6K	819	958	-138	No	+$169	02-04 15:09
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	30	$1.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	-$452	02-06 16:24
will the 2026 state of the union have between 43m and 45m viewers	14	$1.0K	740	542	+198	No	+$66	02-19 02:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	581	581	+0	No	+$35	01-30 18:58
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	15	$1.0K	792	792	+0	No	+$18	02-27 08:20
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	3	$1.0K	540	540	+0	No	+$59	01-28 17:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	21	$979	1,377	256	+1,121	Yes	-$794	02-15 19:43
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	26	$962	690	612	+78	Yes	+$80	03-06 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	16	$934	492	492	+0	No	-$3	02-24 12:15
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	10	$932	860	860	+0	No	-$14	02-17 18:47
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	5	$875	534	534	+0	Yes	-$40	02-18 02:56
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	12	$808	429	419	+10	No	+$15	02-09 15:15
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	10	$784	787	507	+280	Yes	+$59	03-07 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x23d25b…
10-28 09:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf73590…
10-28 09:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9e06ad…
10-28 09:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x706e3d…
10-28 09:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfad0eb…
10-28 09:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x37ec79…
10-28 09:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xe12cce…
10-28 09:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc0b7c2…
10-28 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x940749…
10-28 09:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc36b40…
10-28 09:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4f0360…
10-28 09:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9ecf53…
10-28 09:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x48fc20…
10-28 09:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x6a5301…
10-28 09:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x638948…
10-28 09:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xfe07ee…
10-28 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe89163…
10-28 09:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x23cca6…
10-28 09:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5f3279…
10-28 09:23:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x91bea7…
10-28 09:17:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8c1e1e…
10-28 09:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x819451…
10-28 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80ec78…
10-28 09:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x44307d…
10-28 09:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xab2763…
10-28 09:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbfe872…
10-28 09:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7e0f38…
10-28 09:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd40d54…
10-28 09:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x3e2b92…
10-28 09:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x886406…
10-28 09:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xffd2d3…
10-28 09:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x122e44…
10-28 09:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x40a9fd…
10-28 09:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x66925b…
10-28 09:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x2f5fc8…
10-28 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x690002…
10-28 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4b9331…
10-28 08:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0cce4f…
10-28 08:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x2df159…
10-28 08:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f4492…
10-28 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x20bca4…
10-28 08:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe26a28…
10-28 08:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x494747…
10-28 08:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3b4dc0…
10-28 08:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x22981e…
10-22 17:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x5c7c4b…
10-22 17:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf13108…
10-22 17:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3b6d3c…
10-22 17:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xb5663b…
10-22 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec6e21…
10-22 17:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf8ace4…
10-22 17:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x660347…
10-22 17:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x8e1a82…
10-22 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd0cb10…
10-22 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x305641…
10-22 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6fe26f…
10-22 17:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xa673ed…
10-22 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf66781…
10-22 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1b2435…
10-22 17:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x65f418…
10-22 17:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc36208…
10-22 17:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x7a92aa…
10-22 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa193ed…
10-22 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x7366d7…
10-22 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1d88ba…
10-22 17:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4abb2e…
10-22 17:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1cbba…
10-22 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x51d092…
10-22 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67db8a…
10-21 05:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xce9ee7…
10-21 05:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x05657d…
10-21 05:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7f674b…
10-20 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x80ba4b…
10-20 12:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x34bab8…
10-20 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb365a7…
10-20 12:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x776876…
10-20 12:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0ec152…
10-20 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xdf048b…
10-20 12:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x936f7e…
10-20 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x745bdf…
10-20 12:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x74fba1…
10-20 11:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x5f6f22…
10-20 11:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe5f441…
10-20 11:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x477f53…
10-20 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0x232848…
10-20 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f6be7…
10-20 11:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x925d79…
10-20 11:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa6b302…
10-20 11:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x60fff2…
10-20 11:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x72ae68…
10-20 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc938ea…
10-20 11:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x9e00c2…
10-20 11:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x79a9a0…
10-20 11:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x27e80e…
10-20 11:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbd1d29…
10-20 11:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x322626…
10-20 11:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaec23c…
10-20 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x76b501…
10-20 11:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b4ac8…
10-20 11:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x3d7117…