Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$54,040

Trades

4,179

Unique wallets

873

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

90¢

Latest NO mid

10¢

End date

2026-10-20

First seen

2026-10-20

last 10-20 11:46

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +2,706 Illiterate-Pod +2,100 Vague-Hourglass +2,022 Sweltering-Fashion +1,340 Embellished-Doorknob +1,252 (anon) +1,138 (anon) +1,133 (anon) +1,045

NO holders

(anon) +2,974 Instructive-Pain +2,784 Vague-Hourglass +2,167 (anon) +1,521 Worse-Rectangle +1,500 Lonely-Dresser +1,351 (anon) +1,320 Fitting-Entree +1,271

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +1.0¢ (top1%: 90% YES on $28.9K vs crowd: 89% YES on $50.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	167	$29.8K	$3.3K	+$26.6K
🐬 Dolphin	246	$11.1K	$1.3K	+$9.8K
🐟 Fish	279	$3.1K	$915	+$2.1K
🦐 Shrimp	181	$1.1K	$258	+$837

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	160	$25.9K	$3.0K	+$23.0K
🏆 Top 5%	112	$3.6K	$494	+$3.1K
✅ Top 10%	57	$751	$58	+$693
Median	52	$442	$41	+$402
Below median	202	$1.7K	$426	+$1.3K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	109	$2.0K	$255	+$1.7K
🔻 Bottom 5%	119	$5.3K	$457	+$4.9K
💀 Bottom 1%	62	$5.3K	$1.0K	+$4.3K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d	Down	+2,974	$96	$96	95	10-20 11:44
Instructive-Pain 0x10bc…76be	Down	+2,784	$28	$28	1	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x22ca…9d1b	Up	+2,706	$1,396	$1,396	4	10-20 11:38
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+2,167	$77	$77	96	10-20 11:44
Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b	Up	+2,100	$2,079	$2,079	1	10-20 11:43
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+2,022	$1,868	$1,868	54	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Down	+1,521	$72	$72	28	10-20 11:44
Worse-Rectangle 0x6ba2…8d0e	Down	+1,500	$15	$15	1	10-20 11:44
Lonely-Dresser 0x3b84…f487	Down	+1,351	$24	$24	4	10-20 11:44
Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79	Up	+1,340	$1,326	$1,326	3	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Down	+1,320	$94	$94	53	10-20 11:44
Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87	Down	+1,271	$41	$41	24	10-20 11:44
Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79	Up	+1,252	$1,200	$1,200	4	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0x2266…1ef1	Down	+1,250	$25	$25	1	10-20 11:44
Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15	Down	+1,144	$544	$544	20	10-20 11:39
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Up	+1,138	$1,017	$1,017	39	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279	Up	+1,133	$1,110	$1,110	7	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b	Up	+1,045	$1,035	$1,035	1	10-20 11:44
Writhing-Cure 0xb17a…f7e5	Up	+1,000	$990	$990	1	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212	Up	+1,000	$990	$990	1	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xa4f8…e6a0	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x3618…ce00	Down	+952	$200	$200	1	10-20 11:40
Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183	Up	+934	$854	$854	33	10-20 11:44
Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183	Down	+895	$44	$44	57	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Up	+859	$832	$832	24	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8	Down	+858	$233	$233	20	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Down	+800	$16	$16	1	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Up	+777	$733	$733	31	10-20 11:44
Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e	Up	+750	$742	$742	3	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xdced…92c6	Up	+750	$726	$726	15	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+745	$654	$654	29	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+717	$96	$96	29	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e	Up	+709	$688	$688	2	10-20 11:44
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Down	+700	$7	$7	4	10-20 11:43
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+678	$23	$23	35	10-20 11:43
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+667	$451	$451	21	10-20 11:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+661	$577	$577	4	10-20 11:41
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	Down	+660	$317	$317	9	10-20 11:38
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+624	$205	$205	53	10-20 11:41
(anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8	Up	+622	$589	$589	15	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1	Down	+612	$71	$71	37	10-20 11:44
Phony-Stepmother 0xe684…ac43	Down	+599	$75	$75	2	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0x7743…fb42	Up	+577	$521	$521	7	10-20 11:42
Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85	Down	+553	$29	$29	1	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0xc192…0366	Up	+550	$544	$544	2	10-20 11:44
Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae	Down	+540	$7	$7	2	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xbaed…9e66	Down	+525	$164	$164	2	10-20 11:41
(anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc	Up	+500	$495	$495	2	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0xab29…e63c	Down	+500	$43	$43	1	10-20 11:40
Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c	Down	+498	$37	$37	29	10-20 11:44
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+497	$429	$661	38	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d	Up	+490	$457	$457	52	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9	Down	+465	$39	$39	29	10-20 11:44
Numb-Bedroom 0x64a4…c103	Up	+455	$431	$431	26	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2	Down	+452	$47	$47	24	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+447	$360	$360	16	10-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0	Up	+438	$405	$405	3	10-20 11:41
(anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9	Up	+434	$385	$385	22	10-20 11:44
(anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2	Up	+426	$376	$376	25	10-20 11:44
Salty-Look 0xf5d5…c9d4	Down	+425	$23	$23	1	10-20 11:44