Likely-Enigma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

15,178

Trades

17,795

lifetime

Volume

$66.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-23 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 18% +$5,596

Other

7% 19% +$2,197

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:55 UTC	1	$512	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	+$492	02-15 15:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:40 UTC	2	$381	410	381	+29	Up	+$402	04-18 07:45
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	2	$376	401	372	+29	Up	+$397	04-10 12:30
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:00 UTC	2	$364	392	364	+28	Up	+$384	04-18 02:05
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:30 UTC	2	$361	388	360	+28	Down	+$381	04-09 12:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:55 UTC	2	$349	376	349	+27	Up	+$369	04-06 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	2	$349	372	345	+26	Up	+$368	04-10 12:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:45 UTC	2	$330	355	330	+25	Up	+$348	04-05 09:50
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 07:45 UTC	2	$309	332	308	+24	Down	+$326	04-05 07:50
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 12:30 UTC	2	$308	331	307	+24	Up	+$325	04-01 12:45
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 03:30 UTC	2	$295	317	294	+23	Down	+$311	04-01 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 00:40 UTC	2	$280	301	280	+21	Up	+$295	04-22 00:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC	2	$263	263	263	+0	Down	+$258	03-21 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:45 UTC	1	$256	514	0	+514	Up	-$256	02-15 15:47
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:50 UTC	10	$234	257	257	+0	Down	+$229	03-21 09:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 20:00 UTC	2	$230	230	230	+0	Up	+$225	03-18 20:05
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 04:10 UTC	2	$228	228	227	+0	Up	+$222	03-31 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:25 UTC	2	$204	204	204	+0	Up	+$200	03-17 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 00:50 UTC	2	$201	214	199	+15	Down	+$208	04-22 00:55
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$197	197	197	+0	Up	+$193	06-16 00:15
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 21:30 UTC	2	$186	186	186	+0	Up	+$182	06-10 21:34
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 06:45 UTC	2	$182	182	182	+0	Up	+$178	06-09 07:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 11:15 UTC	2	$181	181	181	+0	Up	+$177	06-24 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$180	180	180	+0	Down	+$176	05-30 01:15
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:10 UTC	2	$169	168	168	+0	Down	+$165	03-17 05:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:55 UTC	2	$164	164	164	+0	Down	+$161	08-09 22:00
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:30 UTC	2	$159	158	158	+0	Down	+$153	03-28 01:35
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:00 UTC	7	$157	172	172	+0	Up	+$153	03-17 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$153	150	150	+0	Down	+$144	05-17 09:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:55 UTC	7	$148	160	149	+11	Down	+$153	04-05 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 12:29:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xcb4b61…
10-23 12:24:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe90c98…
10-23 12:24:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x873357…
10-23 12:24:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x074710…
10-23 12:14:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5a4ebe…
10-23 11:09:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x674acb…
10-23 10:44:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x2df2c2…
10-23 10:39:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x29d593…
10-23 08:04:54	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac99b1…
10-23 08:04:54	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61d8d7…
10-23 08:04:53	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc944da…
10-23 08:04:30	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb1c6fa…
10-23 07:14:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x64e7ad…
10-23 06:39:45	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd2eefe…
10-23 03:54:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf3dd5e…
10-23 03:29:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7dc670…
10-23 03:29:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd682a5…
10-23 03:28:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4447e3…
10-23 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5fa3cf…
10-23 00:29:51	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x15f81d…
10-23 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa17124…
10-22 23:29:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x03d091…
10-22 23:29:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf3593e…
10-22 23:28:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x9da235…
10-22 21:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xf34afc…
10-22 16:29:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8bad88…
10-22 14:59:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x028e63…
10-22 14:59:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x457d3a…
10-22 14:59:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xda2866…
10-22 14:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x4afa2b…
10-22 13:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x08c713…
10-22 12:09:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x2237e2…
10-22 10:54:50	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xe00f8b…
10-22 10:34:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd57406…
10-22 10:29:56	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x9ed7b6…
10-22 10:19:54	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc4fd1e…
10-22 09:45:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x471023…
10-22 09:45:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7d9286…
10-22 09:44:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xaa8470…
10-22 07:39:47	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xedc1f0…
10-22 06:44:50	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0186a3…
10-22 04:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6e27eb…
10-22 03:19:56	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xc9e363…
10-22 01:59:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc769ae…
10-22 00:24:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xee829d…
10-21 23:39:51	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x975e8c…
10-21 22:09:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa2d6b0…
10-21 21:29:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd565ae…
10-21 20:14:51	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x0a1710…
10-21 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9a6e71…
10-21 17:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd0efbb…
10-21 17:09:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x4bbd98…
10-21 17:09:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd66ab7…
10-21 16:29:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xec45e8…
10-21 15:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x780031…
10-21 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x642f11…
10-21 13:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x0f725e…
10-21 11:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x249f40…
10-21 10:09:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb223df…
10-21 06:29:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2e1fc9…
10-21 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb8bd19…
10-21 05:45:00	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf2df99…
10-21 05:29:51	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6b2cc9…
10-21 04:19:53	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x54d15c…
10-21 02:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xed9c58…
10-21 02:29:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x3aaad3…
10-21 02:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x206e85…
10-21 01:44:08	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xa92cac…
10-21 00:34:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa28a59…
10-21 00:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x19d867…
10-20 23:44:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x7afb1b…
10-20 23:29:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5321c3…
10-20 23:19:33	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x72464d…
10-20 22:54:48	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xfb2d11…
10-20 21:39:45	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xf92604…
10-20 21:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x40e6d5…
10-20 20:24:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x2e79ea…
10-20 19:19:45	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x058063…
10-20 17:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x75c53b…
10-20 16:04:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa285f8…
10-20 16:04:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xe01950…
10-20 15:19:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x614f3f…
10-20 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xeb63de…
10-20 13:29:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x6f9124…
10-20 12:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe66281…
10-20 11:44:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x35a36e…
10-20 11:24:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0x54d5c6…
10-20 11:14:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x3974d9…
10-20 10:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x01120d…
10-20 10:13:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbf293d…
10-20 09:29:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x7c6d61…
10-20 08:59:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xece531…
10-20 07:44:52	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x7689e0…
10-20 07:04:23	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x7effdf…
10-20 06:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xc70112…
10-20 05:49:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7a7cca…
10-20 04:59:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x85bceb…
10-20 04:44:53	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xf12252…
10-20 03:44:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xd63f37…
10-20 03:09:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9cfa2f…