Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$292

Unrealized P&L

-$277

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$58.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

$1.77K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-11 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

57% 85% -$460

Other

33% 100% +$126

Crypto

10% 88% +$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-1,802	-$1,495	98¢	$-1772	-$277	05-11 05:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	32	$8.8K	4,617	4,833	-216	Yes	-$365	04-07 22:21
trump out as president by march 31	15	$6.0K	3,043	3,043	+0	No	+$27	03-20 05:43
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	6	$5.5K	3,062	2,436	+626	No	+$32	03-30 14:54
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$3.6K	1,799	1,799	+0	No	+$11	03-31 01:53
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	12	$3.0K	1,580	1,580	+0	No	+$25	03-23 16:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$2.8K	1,750	1,750	+0	Yes	-$120	04-07 22:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	9	$2.7K	2,724	0	+2,724	No	+$27	03-31 14:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$15	04-05 01:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$1.5K	1,540	0	+1,540	No	+$6	03-31 17:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1.5K	0	1,802	-1,802	open	—	05-11 05:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$28	04-07 22:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	7	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	+$7	04-28 00:01
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	6	$1.3K	687	580	+106	Yes	+$8	03-08 09:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	5	$976	500	500	+0	Yes	+$15	04-11 01:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$946	954	0	+954	No	+$8	04-26 14:06
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	6	$935	500	500	+0	Yes	+$15	04-03 03:51
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	10	$894	500	500	+0	Yes	+$4	04-05 14:25
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$733	370	370	+0	Yes	+$5	03-06 17:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	3	$725	366	366	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 04:53
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	2	$613	310	310	+0	Yes	+$6	03-05 14:18
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$611	312	312	+0	Yes	+$11	03-04 04:56
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$595	300	300	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 04:01
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$518	260	260	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 16:32
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	04-01 14:01
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	9	$460	600	600	+0	No	-$188	04-09 06:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$422	439	0	+439	Yes	+$17	02-28 07:19
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	1	$404	408	0	+408	Yes	+$4	03-01 02:10
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	01-23 15:13
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$400	410	0	+410	No	+$10	02-13 06:56
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	02-12 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:42:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,802	83¢	$1,495	0x7bb7c4…
04-28 00:01:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x82e6de…
04-28 00:00:38	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x192b48…
04-27 23:43:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9e44ab…
04-26 14:06:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	954	99¢	$946	0x018dfc…
04-13 20:42:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x172b96…
04-13 18:18:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x843794…
04-13 17:49:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	417	99¢	$412	0xec6191…
04-13 17:48:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x6f1f53…
04-11 01:54:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	330	99¢	$327	0xe86562…
04-11 01:26:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	158	99¢	$156	0x8088ea…
04-11 00:29:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc7757c…
04-10 15:52:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	383	96¢	$368	0x9bcbaf…
04-10 15:45:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	117	96¢	$113	0x55150d…
04-09 06:00:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0xd3bd0e…
04-09 05:59:35	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	99	23¢	$22	0x9100cc…
04-09 05:59:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	108	23¢	$25	0xcaa91f…
04-09 05:56:37	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	74	23¢	$17	0x95fde1…
04-09 05:19:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	193	23¢	$44	0xa55dc5…
04-09 05:14:11	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x2ba88e…
04-09 05:13:13	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x6770a0…
04-09 05:10:57	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	74	23¢	$17	0x18aba2…
04-08 14:37:49	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0x19ab63…
04-08 10:51:27	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	98¢	$228	0x139a25…
04-08 10:38:13	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x43ef3e…
04-07 22:50:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	700	68¢	$475	0x208a2b…
04-07 22:43:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	394	64¢	$253	0x22d246…
04-07 22:43:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x7b6c8f…
04-07 22:43:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x2876d7…
04-07 22:43:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x1487b5…
04-07 22:43:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x0e2349…
04-07 22:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0xdd29bc…
04-07 22:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8914dc…
04-07 22:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x5f1240…
04-07 22:39:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x0f445a…
04-07 22:31:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0xc65ea8…
04-07 22:21:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	242	86¢	$210	0x3e6060…
04-07 22:21:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd29e02…
04-07 22:18:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	249	86¢	$213	0x58d034…
04-07 22:18:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	194	86¢	$165	0x11cb22…
04-07 22:18:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x113a43…
04-07 22:18:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	186	86¢	$159	0xc00c06…
04-07 22:17:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xcfdbce…
04-07 22:17:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x44df6f…
04-07 22:17:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xdee639…
04-07 22:17:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x81ade6…
04-07 22:16:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	281	86¢	$240	0x8047eb…
04-07 22:15:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x7a09ba…
04-07 22:15:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x250b82…
04-07 22:12:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	133	87¢	$116	0x8dc37d…
04-07 22:09:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,392	81¢	$1,128	0x01bbe2…
04-07 22:08:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xcdc676…
04-07 22:07:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xc21a7a…
04-07 22:05:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x5ef6da…
04-07 21:54:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	109	84¢	$91	0xb2544d…
04-07 21:52:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x1585fc…
04-07 21:12:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	990	89¢	$882	0x643988…
04-07 21:00:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	500	71¢	$353	0x3df4c7…
04-07 11:19:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	349	99¢	$345	0xc1dc07…
04-07 11:04:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xeb072d…
04-07 11:02:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x7bcb3e…
04-07 10:57:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x2b6b68…
04-07 10:57:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xb5765a…
04-06 11:21:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	871	98¢	$854	0xd2994d…
04-06 10:52:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	275	96¢	$263	0x1357a5…
04-06 09:11:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	275	94¢	$259	0x94181f…
04-05 14:25:29	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	89¢	$123	0x426de8…
04-05 14:18:33	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf8863c…
04-05 14:05:53	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0x177a1a…
04-05 14:05:27	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xbdc065…
04-05 14:04:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xa575d0…
04-05 14:04:15	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x653efb…
04-05 13:57:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,484	99¢	$2,469	0x1b9359…
04-05 01:54:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x2be2c7…
04-05 01:07:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0xfa10e0…
04-05 00:47:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0xdf535a…
04-04 08:28:05	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xb0686d…
04-04 06:28:17	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0x18e480…
04-04 06:26:03	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xbc27c6…
04-04 00:05:19	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	89¢	$240	0xd4d1c4…
04-03 22:45:37	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc3a34d…
04-03 15:19:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	502	99¢	$495	0x807d9c…
04-03 15:19:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x2119b6…
04-03 15:03:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x850152…
04-03 15:03:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xdf0905…
04-03 15:03:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0x8c0316…
04-03 14:59:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	240	99¢	$237	0xaa77fe…
04-03 14:49:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	407	99¢	$402	0x0a0333…
04-03 13:36:33	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0x922994…
04-03 12:15:41	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x53e069…
04-03 07:19:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x6ccf39…
04-03 03:51:07	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x91f307…
04-03 03:18:43	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x6967a9…
04-03 03:15:35	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0x7da9a3…
04-03 03:02:29	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	95¢	$159	0x12cdda…
04-02 20:15:29	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0x1acc84…
04-02 13:31:41	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	87¢	$66	0x1632a7…
04-02 09:50:31	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	92¢	$289	0x12a6ee…
04-02 08:49:27	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	92¢	$171	0xf86475…
04-01 14:01:55	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xebfb39…